griteater Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Euro for Sat night to Sun night 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Really? That's what the evolution looked like on F5wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: That's what the evolution looked like on F5wx. I'm not sold on it yet but I do think this is the best chance for CAD areas north of 40. The source cold is the coldest of the season by far even though the storm track is far from optimal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: That's what the evolution looked like on F5wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Wedgie looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The euro is a much better look than the UKMET, I will say that. If the UKMET verified with those maps, there's no way thats anything meaningful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Wedgie looking. but with the SLP so far west, I just cant see it being a big deal. If it was coming up through Huntsville and Knoxville then maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: but with the SLP so far west, I just cant see it being a big deal. If it was coming up through Huntsville and Knoxville then maybe. That air mass to the north is just so cold, it would probably overcome a bad placed LP. One thing I just saw on the 12Z ICON that bears watching is that it’s popping a meso high in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: That air mass to the north is just so cold, it would probably overcome a bad placed LP. One thing I just saw on the 12Z ICON that bears watching is that it’s popping a meso high in VA. that a good or bad thing for snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ghicks said: that a good or bad thing for snow? That’s a good thing. Would re-enhance the wedge and keep cold air locked in longer. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Ghicks said: that a good or bad thing for snow? To have a parent high to the north and a meso pop in VA acts as reinforcement to colder air. So yes that would be a good thing if you want snow/ice in CAD regions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, Buddy1987 said: That’s a good thing. Would re-enhance the wedge and keep cold air locked in longer. Beat me to it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: That air mass to the north is just so cold, it would probably overcome a bad placed LP. One thing I just saw on the 12Z ICON that bears watching is that it’s popping a meso high in VA. Agreed. Most models specifically cad favored models like Canadian had single digits in the northeast, which lets people know the preceding airmass is solid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 We’ll know soon whether the 06z GFS was a fluke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: That air mass to the north is just so cold, it would probably overcome a bad placed LP. One thing I just saw on the 12Z ICON that bears watching is that it’s popping a meso high in VA. Other thing that I really like is the fact the high almost slides in tandem verbatim with icon as the LP is moving in toward the area. Recently we’ve seen the HP haul ass to the north and east prior to LP arriving. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 7 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: That air mass to the north is just so cold, it would probably overcome a bad placed LP. One thing I just saw on the 12Z ICON that bears watching is that it’s popping a meso high in VA. I certainly hope you're right and I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: I certainly hope you're right and I'm wrong. I think most models have been trending south/southeast with that LP in prior runs. The ICON just made a big push south with it. Partly because the HP to the north was further south and 2mb stronger. We’ll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The GFS just smoked the triad and triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Max of 9" in NE Durham Co. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: The GFS just smoked the triad and triangle. Yeah. Someone explain this without the customary, “Ah, it’s just the GFS.” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Icon showed a pretty good deform band swinging through as well so there’s some hope for some of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Holy Hell the Cutoff From like Hwy150 Iredell/Rowan and South lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, magpiemaniac said: Yeah. Someone explain this without the customary, “Ah, it’s just the GFS.” What in the Joe Bastardi is going on here?? Somebody please offer a red tag quality explanation cuz I'm lost among these bi-polar models today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Euro for Sat night to Sun nightThat looks juicy. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The Para maintains its consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Fv16 has warning criteria snow too, just a smidge less than the old GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said: What in the Joe Bastardi is going on here?? Somebody please offer a red tag quality explanation cuz I'm lost among these bi-polar models today. I’m supposing that cold air advection and good rates overcome borderline temps, but I did not sleep in a Holiday Inn Express last night. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC2Winston Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Model mayhem inside 36-48 hours. Fun times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Fv16 has warning criteria snow too, just a smidge less than the old GFS. The v16 has been consistent for days with the old model just now catching up. It’s weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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