FLweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 2 hours ago, BullCityWx said: 18z GEFS mean would imply a storm that progresses from ZR -> IP -> SN(potentially just IP -> SN) for much of NC. I’m not really worried about the snow maps so much as pattern recognition. So... Backwards ehh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 11 minutes ago, FLweather said: So... Backwards ehh? Yes. Honestly, my gut says more IP than ZR. Bufkit had a 21:1 ratio for RDU at 180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 20 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Yes. Honestly, my gut says more IP than ZR. Bufkit had a 21:1 ratio for RDU at 180. 21:1???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, CaryWx said: 21:1???? Rain ratio. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Yes the progression of the storm seems just a bit unusual. What's even more unusual to me though is the fair agreement among the models for over a week out. TW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Only reason I’m skeptical is because all models agree. Just not use to seeing that at day 7 these days. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Only reason I’m skeptical is because all models agree. Just not use to seeing that at day 7 these days. And also we've been snake bit so many times , gotta keep the excitement in check at least for now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: And also we've been snake bit so many times , gotta keep the excitement in check at least for now. I agree. I sure would be excited if I lived in North central NC and maybe S Va. I’m nervous I’m just too far south but my internal weenie keeps hope alive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, Grayman said: I agree. I sure would be excited if I lived in North central NC and maybe S Va. I’m nervous I’m just too far south but my internal weenie keeps hope alive. Sounds painful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 13 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Sounds painful Lol. Being a weenie in Southern NC is not for the faint at heart. Who’s staying up for the 00z Gfs and Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Def trying to keep my expectations tempered here. Good to see continuity from a model standpoint but like I alluded to the other day models have multiple s/w flying around and keying on the final wave now hopefully will be the right call and there will be enough spacing to allow the wave to strengthen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 So, aallll that precip in TN even up into KY, is that all going to just disappear once it hits the Appalachians? Charlotte and the rest of the western and central piedmont get nothing? The radar looks juicy and I'm sitting at 31 with dew point of 24!!!! What givez? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonathan Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Well there's your 200+ mile north shift on the GFS. Congrats Maryland! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 00z Gfs just too warm for most but does throw some snow back into Northern NC. The Virginia boys should be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFS still has the storm but further north this time, but still brings a big snow to more Eastern sections of VA and NC this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Norfolk gets a blizzard.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 It’s early folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFSv16 has a 1044MB high pressure at 174 in lower Ontario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Eastern VA gets slammed this run.... another solid hit for mby per GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 1044 MB Should help if it verified and is positioned well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Incoming on the GFS PARA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Snow breaking out across almost the entirety of NC except the area around Murphy at 180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 GFS PARASent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Heavy snow from Greenville to southside VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Really gets cranking and buries New Bern and Jacksonville and all the sound adjacent areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 How has para verified relative to gfs lately anyone? Should we just wait for European and Canadian? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Gfsv 16 is a real beauty folks. Almost Entire state of NC hit and S va. Even parts of SC. Make it happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 I know it's still a ways to go but what a beauty on the PARA tonight. This is Kuchera Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: I know it's still a ways to go but what a beauty on the PARA tonight. This is Kuchera Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk If this were to verify(it won't) all of us NC weenies would be happy, at the same time, for once! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 21, 2021 Share Posted January 21, 2021 Is it the strength and position of the high that makes a huge difference on Gfs vs GfsV16? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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