nchighcountrywx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Our good winter for snow in the NC High country continues. Has been a generally good run for 48 days since 11/29 above 4500’ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 8 hours ago, griteater said: Yeah we’re not far off in the mid and extended range. One thing to watch for is to see if the pattern can become more suppressed than currently shown - sometimes that happens on the modeling in the bigger -NAO’s like this Not a huge fan of the tendency for lower heights out west. But with a tPV up in central/eastern Canada and a big -NAO you can get NW to SE moving systems kind of like what's shown on the 6z GFS, out in time anyway. I think pretty soon, we'll start to see some legit big dogs show up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 1 hour ago, Cold Rain said: Not a huge fan of the tendency for lower heights out west. But with a tPV up in central/eastern Canada and a big -NAO you can get NW to SE moving systems kind of like what's shown on the 6z GFS, out in time anyway. I think pretty soon, we'll start to see some legit big dogs show up. Hey, been waiting for you to show up. Turn those Shields off!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 So it looks like we have burned much of prime climo time and it is on to February. It won't be long before we have to fight sun angle etc. The GFS had a light event at month's end but obviously that is fantasy range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Honestly was surprised this morning, a quick trace in Mt. Pleasant that was sticking to the roads for about 15-20 minutes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Bullcitywx was correct, not much to see but it was something that wasn’t expected! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Ensembles look pretty good towards the tail end of this upcoming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 hours ago, eyewall said: So it looks like we have burned much of prime climo time and it is on to February. It won't be long before we have to fight sun angle etc. The GFS had a light event at month's end but obviously that is fantasy range. That's one way to look at it... but really it is only "half" of prime climo time. The average snowfall for RDU for February/March is only slightly lower than the average snowfall for December/January... I'll start getting worried if we haven't seen anything (observation, not models), by Valentine's. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 2 hours ago, eyewall said: So it looks like we have burned much of prime climo time and it is on to February. It won't be long before we have to fight sun angle etc. The GFS had a light event at month's end but obviously that is fantasy range. I would not be so quick to write off the end of January. There’s a lot of things to like in the overall pattern the last week or so of the month 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Surprise this morning in Dry Fork Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 The 12z GFS PARA with over 200" of snow in the 10 day range. LolSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 34 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Surprise this morning in Dry Fork Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk I was at the farm in Stuart this morning and getting the very light flurries but noticed the radar really filled in nicely with the heavier returns just east towards Martinsville. Glad you got a surprise! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 6 hours ago, Cold Rain said: Not a huge fan of the tendency for lower heights out west. But with a tPV up in central/eastern Canada and a big -NAO you can get NW to SE moving systems kind of like what's shown on the 6z GFS, out in time anyway. I think pretty soon, we'll start to see some legit big dogs show up. This was a nice call. GFS immediately delivered a big dog fantasy run within just a few hours lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Snowing north of 40 on the euro at day 6.5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 15 days from now. Make it so! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 35 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Snowing north of 40 on the euro at day 6.5 That's the one I'm not going to sleep yet on. Possibilities out there for supportive temps are not totally out of the picture. At least not yet anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 Pretty good support for a classic wedge event around day 9. Block over Greenland with split Lows under it creates a nice stationary high on the modeling. Just need a system to eject before it breaks down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 7 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Pretty good support for a classic wedge event around day 9. Block over Greenland with split Lows under it creates a nice stationary high on the modeling. Just need a system to eject before it breaks down. Yeah that was lights out for someone if it was right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowJoMoJo Posted January 16, 2021 Share Posted January 16, 2021 On 1/15/2021 at 12:29 PM, BullCityWx said: Dont sleep on tomorrow. Nice call BullCity. Not skunked this year! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 10 hours ago, eyewall said: So it looks like we have burned much of prime climo time and it is on to February. It won't be long before we have to fight sun angle etc. The GFS had a light event at month's end but obviously that is fantasy range. I’ll be honest, been back in Raleigh this winter, and it has accidentally snowed more than I can ever remember. Just today we had an intense snow squall that coated the ground. And it has rarely been mild or warm this winter. While we may have missed on the blockbuster snow so far, it has certainly felt like winter. Having grown up in the South, that is something to talk about. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 What part of Raleigh? I normally score just north of Leesville and didn’t get anything today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: What part of Raleigh? I normally score just north of Leesville and didn’t get anything today. Creedmoor/540 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Im off 540 and 40 and had not one flake here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Had flakes in Cary this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 1 hour ago, Avdave said: Im off 540 and 40 and had not one flake here Have had nothing so far by Jordan Lake. Not even a flurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheels2 Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 13 hours ago, Snowacane said: Have had nothing so far by Jordan Lake. Not even a flurry. We had a good 10 minutes of snow in Rolesville. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 Nice snow on Day 9 of the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 6 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Nice snow on Day 9 of the Euro. Looks like snow breaks out for most of NC then turns back to raging ice storm on last frame if I’m looking correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 That signal has been there for about 3 days now right? Give or take a day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 17, 2021 Share Posted January 17, 2021 I haven't seen a true CAD wedge snow to ice storm in years like modeled on the day 9/10 Euro. Would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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