CaryWx Posted September 2, 2021 Share Posted September 2, 2021 Looking into the 60 day forecast thru Oct 31st I don't see one evening after this weekend forecast below 60 in Sept nor one below 50 for Oct. Not going to be very fall like from this early view anyway. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 3 hours ago, CaryWx said: Looking into the 60 day forecast thru Oct 31st I don't see one evening after this weekend forecast below 60 in Sept nor one below 50 for Oct. Not going to be very fall like from this early view anyway. Please tell me you’re joking 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 4 hours ago, CaryWx said: Looking into the 60 day forecast thru Oct 31st I don't see one evening after this weekend forecast below 60 in Sept nor one below 50 for Oct. Not going to be very fall like from this early view anyway. Models can't get it right in 10 days, let alone 60 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted September 3, 2021 Share Posted September 3, 2021 21 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Please tell me you’re joking For northern VA? No, I'm sure you'll see lower but for Cary, NC. In the accuweather forecast though (nothing of value for sure) I was surprised it did not show any mini cool/cold snap which is kind of unusual. Could be all different next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted September 5, 2021 Share Posted September 5, 2021 GFS LR has some decent fall air coming into the east in about 2 weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 Read where the CPC is predicting 70% chance of weak La Nina from November through January. Weak La Nina's, generally speaking, are much better for the southeast than moderate or strong La Nina's. Years with weak LN's that produced bouts of wintry weather in the Southeast include 95/96, 83/84, and 00/01. Interestingly, 10/11 and 84/85 were moderate LN years and those were pretty active winters for the SE. Who knows. Not sure what I will see next...A SE snowstorm or a Clemson touchdown. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormchaserChuck! Posted September 15, 2021 Share Posted September 15, 2021 2nd year La Nina's are usually not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted September 15, 2021 Share Posted September 15, 2021 Driving out of Charlotte to Concord at 930am today... man did it look hazy. That 85N drive in the am has the sun in your face. It's basically due EAST on 85 from Gastonia to the 29/49 split past Sugar Creek. I'm so sick of humidity and mosquitoes!!! Any signs of a nice cold front soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted September 15, 2021 Share Posted September 15, 2021 On 8/2/2021 at 10:14 PM, LakeNormanStormin said: Could really use the rain over here by Lake Norman. Driest summer in the five years I've lived here. Looks like we miss out on most of the precipitation this week as well. Ditto here in SW Concord on the Harrisburg/Concord line. I really observe the radars especially in summer and something strange this year. Seemed like Highland Creek and NW Cabarrus from about 85 and points N got the rain. It's like 85 has an invisible wall that just didnt budge much this year. I honestly sat on my porch and with the quietness of nighttime could hear the hum of the wind and rain of nearby storms but nothing. Strange. If you study satellite maps of NE Charlotte into Cabarrus, a TON of tree canopy has been wiped out in last 15yrs. The Speedway area has no trees. Burton Smith and Concord Mills BLVD were clear cut for all the stuff in that area. 485 saw clear cutting. And the industrial parks around Concord Airport saw more loss of trees. Tree canopy and loss of it changes an area and I think were seeing some proof of this recently in this area. Just my 3 cents. Good luck on rain in LKN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 15, 2021 Share Posted September 15, 2021 55 minutes ago, 85snowline said: Driving out of Charlotte to Concord at 930am today... man did it look hazy. That 85N drive in the am has the sun in your face. It's basically due EAST on 85 from Gastonia to the 29/49 split past Sugar Creek. I'm so sick of humidity and mosquitoes!!! Any signs of a nice cold front soon? Nope, no sign of a good strong front. The haziness is from the smoke from distant fires. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 Euro and GFS both show a nice cool down around day 6/7 with a fairly strong cold front. Seeing the 564 dm pressing into parts of NC,impressive for late September. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
85snowline Posted September 16, 2021 Share Posted September 16, 2021 On 9/15/2021 at 12:25 PM, yotaman said: Nope, no sign of a good strong front. The haziness is from the smoke from distant fires. Oh that's right.. I remember Al Conklin mentioning that on WBTV now. And people still think Climate change doesn't affect all of us. SMH. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 17, 2021 Share Posted September 17, 2021 Autumn is coming! The fact that there are more and more systems like this popping up in long range modeling is very promising... #ncwx #scwx https://t.co/gif6y2P2Ih 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 17, 2021 Share Posted September 17, 2021 Right on time 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 17, 2021 Share Posted September 17, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 17, 2021 Share Posted September 17, 2021 Lows in the 40s coming in about a week! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 17, 2021 Share Posted September 17, 2021 The Big Chill 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 18, 2021 Share Posted September 18, 2021 On 9/16/2021 at 5:02 PM, NC_hailstorm said: Euro and GFS both show a nice cool down around day 6/7 with a fairly strong cold front. Seeing the 564 dm pressing into parts of NC,impressive for late September. What are you seeing wrt solar that might impact the upcoming cold season? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 18, 2021 Share Posted September 18, 2021 For me, reaching 40s in September is a litmus test of whether we have attained ideal early fall weather. It looks like many will attain that goal this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 18, 2021 Share Posted September 18, 2021 Outlook 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phelps Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 Just glancing at the GFS over the last few days there have been several runs that don't bring the humidity back at all for the next couple of weeks. LFG. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 It was a mild summer, except in Virginia/DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 Well the big cooldown for next week has become much less of a cooldown. For our area the forecast has gone from the low 70's for highs and low 50's for low to upper 70's to around 80 for highs and lows in the low 60's. Better than now but not the cooldown I was hoping for. Guess I will have to wait for Oct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RT1980 Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 On 9/17/2021 at 7:50 AM, WinstonSalemArlington said: Lows in the 40s coming in about a week! You almost had it! Got to be a little quicker with that one! One day in the 70’s and mid 50’s for lows. I hope it comes back though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 19, 2021 Share Posted September 19, 2021 1 hour ago, RT1980 said: You almost had it! Got to be a little quicker with that one! One day in the 70’s and mid 50’s for lows. I hope it comes back though. Actually, 40s are still likely this week for me and many others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 This solution says prolonged chill upcoming http://twitter.com/ScottSabolFOX8/status/1439920530673569792 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 55 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: This solution says prolonged chill upcoming http://twitter.com/ScottSabolFOX8/status/1439920530673569792 The key word is IF! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: This solution says prolonged chill upcoming http://twitter.com/ScottSabolFOX8/status/1439920530673569792 The GFS and the euro are both showing something similar to this. The GFS has been bouncing this around for a few runs. Also this type pattern matched the telleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 CFS outlook to October 21 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted September 20, 2021 Share Posted September 20, 2021 Hurricane Repellant 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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