LakeNormanStormin Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Could really use the rain over here by Lake Norman. Driest summer in the five years I've lived here. Looks like we miss out on most of the precipitation this week as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Periods of heavy rain Tuesday through Friday could bring anywhere from 5 to 10 inches of rain to the area this week, increasing the potential for flooding. Visit https://t.co/PIf7VMK4Ne for the latest information. #ncwx #scwx #ilmwx https://t.co/f973hBxV7J Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted August 3, 2021 Share Posted August 3, 2021 .NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 245 AM Tuesday... The forecast for today looks quite different than it did 24 hours ago, or even 12 hours ago. The stalled front that has been across the eastern Carolinas for the last few days will still be the main player in the forecast, but all models, synoptic and convection- allowing, have shifted the front farther east. While this will still result in extensive cloud cover and cool temperatures across the region, it will bring a lower chance of rain to every location west of I-95. Pops will be the highest across western counties between sunrise and noon before diminishing as the shortwave moves east. However, the entire precipitation shield should be shifted east since the frontal boundary will be farther east. Across an area from Burlington to Raleigh and Roanoke Rapids, have dropped pops down to chance through the daytime. While the previous forecast kept a slight chance of thunderstorms across southern counties during the day, and an isolated elevated thunderstorm could still occur, did not have enough confidence to keep thunder in the forecast anymore, with barely any instability present in model profiles. Similar to today`s forecast, models keep the forecast quite dry tonight west of I-95. Pops were cut everywhere, and likely were not cut enough, considering how little precipitation is shown by the NAM, GFS, ECMWF, and HREF, especially in the Triad. Lows will be in the mid 60s. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 245 AM Tuesday... The changes to Wednesday`s forecast were not as dramatic as the changes to today`s forecast, but nonetheless pops were cut once again as the front will be closer to the coast. There are minimal areas with likely pops east of I-95, but otherwise chance pops will rule the day. Highs will inch up slightly, rising into the mid to upper 70s. Expect little change Wednesday night, with chance pops and lows once again in the mid 60s. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 320 AM Tuesday... Rain chances Thursday and Friday should largely remain confined to eastern/coastal NC, INVOF the weakening surface front that will remain pinned along the coast, with little of the way of PoPs west of I-95. As of right now, it appears that the best chance for rain area-wide will be on Saturday, owing to the approach of the mid/upper level trough. Thereafter, rain chances will primarily be diurnally driven. Well, our guaranteed rainfall this week has been changed to a hard “maybe.” Pretty crazy to see models go from 2-4 inches in the triangle for the week to some now showing absolutely nothing in the matter of just a couple days. Feels like snowstorm tracking! At least the cool air is a guaranteed lock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 5, 2021 Share Posted August 5, 2021 Next week’s heatwave looks muted for NC, but nearby VA and DC could see big heat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 10, 2021 Share Posted August 10, 2021 Could be flooding next week if tropical system tracks right. The mini drought appears to be about over for most everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 On 8/9/2021 at 9:34 PM, wncsnow said: Could be flooding next week if tropical system tracks right. The mini drought appears to be about over for most everyone. Looks like you are going to get your wish for some rain this next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Euro is putting down some big totals in western/central NC,bout 6''-12'' of rain on day 6/7. GFS/Ukie have rain but nothing that big. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: Euro is putting down some big totals in western/central NC,bout 6''-12'' of rain on day 6/7. GFS/Ukie have rain but nothing that big. Yeah the NWS is honking about the rainfall here the next 7 days. Big time totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 11, 2021 Share Posted August 11, 2021 Pattern change coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 3 hours ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Pattern change coming Calling for high's in the low 80's for us all next week. Looking forward to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 Looks like the 0z Euro still has a swath of heavy rain but more towards the west this run. 12z Ukie had good precip up in most of NC,GFS doesn't have much as the others.Waiting on the 12z Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 12, 2021 Share Posted August 12, 2021 12Z Euro looks similar to the Ukie in my opinion. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 0Z Euro and UK show crazy rain amounts along the SE Blue Ridge escarpment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: 0Z Euro and UK show crazy rain amounts along the SE Blue Ridge escarpment Yeah things look a bit wet but perfect timing for one of our most dry periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 12Z runs of the Euro,Ukie,and Canadian all have heavy rain in Western/west central NC.GFS still the only holdout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted August 13, 2021 Share Posted August 13, 2021 24 minutes ago, NC_hailstorm said: 12Z runs of the Euro,Ukie,and Canadian all have heavy rain in Western/west central NC.GFS still the only holdout. Yeah Euro laying down some big totals the the western part of the state for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted August 26, 2021 Share Posted August 26, 2021 Highs in the mid to low 90's for the next 6 days. Hopefully this will be our last heat wave for the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 15 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: Headed to the coast for Labor Day weekend... this might make it windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 It is going to be just ugly hot the next 5 days. Ugh. Hopefully this will be the last of the oppresive heat. I like the map above, Ill take it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 17 hours ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: I highly doubt that map. I don't think I have ever seen 50's in early Sept. in my area. Mid to late Sept. yes but not early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted August 27, 2021 Share Posted August 27, 2021 1 hour ago, yotaman said: I highly doubt that map. I don't think I have ever seen 50's in early Sept. in my area. Mid to late Sept. yes but not early. I can’t speak for your area, but it’s not uncommon in the Piedmont. The Triad had 50s in July this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 5 hours ago, yotaman said: I highly doubt that map. I don't think I have ever seen 50's in early Sept. in my area. Mid to late Sept. yes but not early. It's probably overdone and may not happen at all, but man it's nice to see a cool off show up repeatedly. Once we get to Sept summer's days are numbered, no matter what 2018 and 2019 have to say about it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 It's a bit warmer, but still a beautiful sight 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 It's a bit warmer, but still a beautiful sight I’ll take any temp below 80… yard work is miserable in these conditions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted August 28, 2021 Share Posted August 28, 2021 Seeing some low/mid 50's dew point after Ida passes by on day 5/6 on the GFS/Euro today. Relief is in sight. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsman Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 Forecast looks good for upper 50's in the RDU area tomorrow and Friday night. Gonna have the windows open if that holds true! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 1, 2021 Share Posted September 1, 2021 2 hours ago, marsman said: Forecast looks good for upper 50's in the RDU area tomorrow and Friday night. Gonna have the windows open if that holds true! Mid 60's for us. Should be a nice walk with the pups for the next few mornings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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