BornAgain13 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 12 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Both the Canadian and the Para GFS have significant events day 8. The GFS was close but with a more inland track... if the EURO shows something around then, we might have a storm to track.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 I know IT’S NEVER GOING TO SNOW AGAIN EVER EVER EVER but this is a solid look: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Euro is all by itself with the no storm idea 8 days from now. Gfs/gfs para/ Canadian/icon are all very similar with a significant storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Too much northern stream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CUJO38 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Nothing but a gut feeling but I believe we will have a storm or two In the next couple of weeks .. maybe this one will verify and we can bring this one home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: I know IT’S NEVER GOING TO SNOW AGAIN EVER EVER EVER but this is a solid look: Stop being the voice of reason to all the cliff jumpers 40 minutes ago, burrel2 said: Euro is all by itself with the no storm idea 8 days from now. Gfs/gfs para/ Canadian/icon are all very similar with a significant storm. It will be interesting to see who folds first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 A lot of cliff diving when all of us knew good and well that Friday’s system was a reach (and knew this for days). Let the pattern get there, nobody I’ve seen has changed their tune. We need that trough to get a little sharper than it’s been. In the meantime, never trust ANYTHING that’s not a classic Miller A 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 850s we seem to be able to work with. It's the boundary layers and the surface that we're still struggling to get cold. The ridging off the east coast is not our friend IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, BooneWX said: A lot of cliff diving when all of us knew good and well that Friday’s system was a reach (and knew this for days). Let the pattern get there, nobody I’ve seen has changed their tune. We need that trough to get a little sharper than it’s been. In the meantime, never trust ANYTHING that’s not a classic Miller A I understand. It I lived in Northwestern NC or S Va I would excited. But the rest of us are hoping and praying. Just don’t see the cold air for most of us. I would be pumped if I lived in your area but ...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Thanks guys for clarifying when winter is. I greatly appreciate it. 3 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 58 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Thanks guys for clarifying when winter is. I greatly appreciate it. I understand “cliff jumping” I understand hoping that 10-day forecasts are actually going to materialize I will never understand why people argue with posters like@Met1985, @griteater,@jburns,@buckeyefan1 (other than her choice of teams ), etc. Hammer . Pro 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 C'mon guys it's Jan 10. Deep breaths... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveRDU Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 3 hours ago, BullCityWx said: I know IT’S NEVER GOING TO SNOW AGAIN EVER EVER EVER but this is a solid look: It will definitely *NOT* snow with that look. Happiness = reality minus expectations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 18z GFS has almost a prefect track for central NC yet not cold enough. With the northwest adjust western NC could win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, Hammer said: I understand “cliff jumping” I understand hoping that 10-day forecasts are actually going to materialize I will never understand why people argue with posters like@Met1985, @griteater,@jburns,@buckeyefan1 (other than her choice of teams ), etc. Hammer . Pro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1/19 is still a period of time to watch.. we just need a high to the north to supply some cold air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Didn't you get the memo today? It's winter cancel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 No posts in 12 hours...this is good. Bring on hurricane season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Well 12 GFS isn't great but not a dumpster fire either. Will see some real cold this weekend and mountains likely to see some measurable snow. I am heading for a 2.5 hour trail ride at Blowing Rock Saturday. Hope to ride in a little snow. Monday - Wednesday next week will see a southern storm. Looks mostly liquid but things can change. Guess best news is artic cold builds back in Canada W/O 01/18 - 01/27. Too soon to tell where it dumps but just having the cold in Canada is a positive. Remember, it's not over until we say it's over!.....or at least until Burns says its over. https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-parameter.php?group=Model Guidance&model=GFS&area=NAMER&ps=area# Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Interesting article.. https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/polar-vortex-bring-cold-blasts-161935086.html 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Interesting article.. https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/polar-vortex-bring-cold-blasts-161935086.htmlI was just going to mention that....To those with a lot more experience, what thoughts do you have about “the polar vortex cometh”?. Pro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 53 minutes ago, Snow dog said: Interesting article.. https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/polar-vortex-bring-cold-blasts-161935086.html I'll believe it when I see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 The lack of snowstorms on the ops can be overcome with plenty of cold air around but up until the end of the run there is no real arctic cold showing up. I don’t get below 28 degrees the entire run. I feel like the last three weeks or so the gfs has been showing arctic air towards the end of the run but it hasn’t materialized. It’s getting to be mid January and we need something to break right for us. If we waste this blocking it’s going to be a gut punch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 hours ago, yotaman said: I'll believe it when I see it. Me too. Was reading the WPC long term outlook at they expect warmer than normal temperatures in the next two weeks. Confidence was low but it look like we will punt until very late January unless we get lucky over next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 GFS looked great around 144 tonight before the storm seemingly split in two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 21 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: GFS looked great around 144 tonight before the storm seemingly split in two. Man , don’t be such a weenie . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 6 hours ago, BullCityWx said: GFS looked great around 144 tonight before the storm seemingly split in two. Gfs been suffering from convective feedback issues. Which honestly most of the globals have been as well. Wouldn't really put much faith past 84 hours. Honestly the Canadian looks fishy at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jwisephoto Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 That storm at 384 is glorious... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 This isn’t too bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 00z icon had a doozy of a snowstorm on Monday. Gfs is close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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