Dunkman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 minute ago, Tacoma said: yep i would like a snowstorm with temps around 27 or lower so there's no doubt, oh and cold enough all thru the column.. Please no warm nose, leave it out in the Gulf. You can’t really expect a storm with that much cold in our climate this late in the season. It really can only happen in places like the frozen tundra of San Antonio. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I am not going to lie, this last storm really took a toll on my mental health lol! I am going to keep this potential on my radar, but I don't think I can check every model run for the next couple days. I may wait until Mon-Tuesday and if it has legs at that point I'll be sucked right back in like a hoover vacuum. Looking at 6z GEFS it did gain some ensemble support. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Suncat Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I'm not gonna get sucked in...I'm not gonna get sucked in...I'm not gonna get sucked in... 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Tuesday appetizer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 48 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: I will not get excited, I will not get excited! (Doing back flips in my mind!!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 4 minutes ago, Suncat said: I'm not gonna get sucked in...I'm not gonna get sucked in...I'm not gonna get sucked in... I'm usually fully convinced this will be the time I won't get sucked in, but... approximately one model cycle later I'm fully emotionally invested. Might as well go full weenie now and get it out of the way 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I am ready, let's do this thing play by play starting at 11-1:30 today. I am pretty sure the UKMET will save us and just wait until this storm gets into the NAM time-frame and don't forget about the RGEM, you know it's only going to be about 35 degrees colder than the rest of the models. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherWeenie87 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I'm excited about more opportunities but this quote comes to mind also... 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 8 minutes ago, WeatherWeenie87 said: I'm excited about more opportunities but this quote comes to mind also... Thirst trap me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 18 minutes ago, Suncat said: I'm not gonna get sucked in...I'm not gonna get sucked in...I'm not gonna get sucked in... Don't do this to yourself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 22 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Tuesday appetizer? For new England? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 What does the EPS look like for Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 11 minutes ago, wncsnow said: What does the EPS look like for Friday? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 12z GFS says hello VA, Para GFS I am staying suppressed. I can live with this, ensembles are the way to go for the next 3-4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 6z but I didnt see it posted: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Is this not the exact same time it snowed last year with almost the exact same look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davenc Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Is this not the exact same time it snowed last year with almost the exact same look... Dont know, but Charlotte has now gone over 800 days since our last 1" snowfall. '<( 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 As least for the western and northern half of NC, and VA, I don’t understand the “it won’t snow After mid February” faction here. If anything, March snows have become more prevalent In the last decade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 one thing to watch for is around day break on Monday if you live north of 85 around 77 and I40 models are showing some light precip with temps near freezing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 7 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: As least for the western and northern half of NC, and VA, I don’t understand the “it won’t snow After mid February” faction here. If anything, March snows have become more prevalent In the last decade. The likelihood plummets after Feb 15 or so. Sun angle kills any marginal events so it has to be anomalously cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: The likelihood plummets after Feb 15 or so. Sun angle kills any marginal events so it has to be anomalously cold. Last year it snowed ALL afternoon and frequently moderate during the storm at the end of February and only a couple inches stuck and it was to the grass. Greenville and places East had it fall during the night and ended up with 5-6 inches. Yes, it can snow and yes, it can accumulate late into February/early March but it has to snow HARD during daylight to stick and don’t expect it to last through noon the next day. A light to moderate snow will not amount to much during daylight this time of year, coming from experience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Canadian a touch south compared to last run. It’s in line with GFS. Much of the forum would prefer HP to strengthen a tad to get a bit more suppression. Something to watch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WSNC Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 45 minutes ago, WXNewton said: one thing to watch for is around day break on Monday if you live north of 85 around 77 and I40 models are showing some light precip with temps near freezing. 12z RGEM, 12z Canadian, 12z 12km NAM, and 12z GFS para all show it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, WSNC said: 12z RGEM, 12z Canadian, 12z 12km NAM, and 12z GFS para all show it. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 3 minutes ago, WSNC said: 12z RGEM, 12z Canadian, 12z 12km NAM, and 12z GFS para all show it. in-situ CAD can be sneaky little events for a couple of hours before warm air overtakes. If moisture does come in and temps dip below 32 Monday morning, I could see bridges and over passes being tricky right around rush hour. Tomorrow morning and Sunday morning lows will really cool the ground surfaces down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 2 minutes ago, WXNewton said: in-situ CAD can be sneaky little events for a couple of hours before warm air overtakes. If moisture does come in and temps dip below 32 Monday morning, I could see bridges and over passes being tricky right around rush hour. Tomorrow morning and Sunday morning lows will really cool the ground surfaces down. Meh. I’m so over freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 12z GEFS looks Good for next Th/Friday. Hopefully EPS will continue its stellar 0z look 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 2 hours ago, davenc said: I will not get excited, I will not get excited! (Doing back flips in my mind!!) My goodness that has a Classic NW heartbreaker trend look , I can’t wait to be hyped up all week and feel like this is the one as it trends South and Colder for 3 straight days just to hit Game Day and Watch NAM 3K/HRRR give anyone South Of “Along and N of I-40/VA Border” The middle finger lol 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1031 high in the ohio valley with a low developing in Louisiana on the Euro. Checks chip stack....shoves all in Edit: welp, high slides east and another ice storm for us (and yes, I realize models are mostly useless at this range) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Well I don't think its going to dry out anytime soon.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now