BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Lookout said: Yep. If this comes to pass, this high and cold is a different beast than the endless parade of marginal cad events we have had recently. The 12z gfs and Canadian are showing minimal temps of the wedge in the mid teens around 950 to 925mb all the way into ne ga. Been a long time since we have seen a cad event that cold. I figured this one would pull you out of the woodwork! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Lookout said: Yep. If this comes to pass, this high and cold is a different beast than the endless parade of marginal cad events we have had recently. The 12z gfs and Canadian are showing minimal temps of the wedge in the mid teens around 950 to 925mb all the way into ne ga. Been a long time since we have seen a cad event that cold. Who's this newbie? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, CaryWx said: Who's this newbie? Look out!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Who's this newbie? Certified bruh momentSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Look out!! Yeah, that's why I put the axe head icon in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Okay, lets think about this. If the evolution of all of this happens like it might, there's going to be snow cover to just 50 miles N of the NC/VA border. How is that cold air going to moderate? If the evolution goes like we've seen and we get the damming high over NYS, it's a matter of ptype. Someone is going to get clocked with freezing rain and I still think the snow cover already here is going to push the thermal boundaries south. I could see this being a damming event that reaches Birmingham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 the 0z 850 degree has moved about 100 miles south today on the euro for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 10 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Okay, lets think about this. If the evolution of all of this happens like it might, there's going to be snow cover to just 50 miles N of the NC/VA border. How is that cold air going to moderate? If the evolution goes like we've seen and we get the damming high over NYS, it's a matter of ptype. Someone is going to get clocked with freezing rain and I still think the snow cover already here is going to push the thermal boundaries south. I could see this being a damming event that reaches Birmingham. The fail scenario though is the high getting hung up too far west like the UKMet with the TPV not progressing east / ESE fast enough...or that would postpone things anyway 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The Euro has so much cold rain from Thursday to Saturday... I am not looking forward to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, griteater said: The fail scenario though is the high getting hung up too far west like the UKMet with the TPV not progressing east / ESE fast enough...or that would postpone things anyway yeah, it's definitely not air-tight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: the 0z 850 degree has moved about 100 miles south today on the euro for Friday. Is that to South Hill/Roanoke? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, griteater said: The fail scenario though is the high getting hung up too far west like the UKMet with the TPV not progressing east / ESE fast enough...or that would postpone things anyway Euro looking slower with the cold again through 102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, griteater said: The fail scenario though is the high getting hung up too far west like the UKMet with the TPV not progressing east / ESE fast enough...or that would postpone things anyway I think the ukmet would still deliver an ice storm Tuesday. I’m more worried about the cmc and gfs being so suppressive that they don’t develop any gulf involvement and show precip blossoming slightly to my East from the coastal low on Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, WinstonSalemArlington said: Is that to South Hill/Roanoke? Roanoke to Farmville to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: Euro looking slower with the cold again through 102 Back down in the dumps again? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Euro is trying to pull an ICON for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Roanoke to Farmville to the coast. Hmmm. But Euro is the coldest solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Back down in the dumps again? So you think its faster with the cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, wncsnow said: So you think its faster with the cold? I think it looks just fine. There's a "cold rain" warning criteria ice storm this run for the triad and northern triangle. It's slightly less impressive than the GFS and ICON but it's still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: I think it looks just fine. There's a "cold rain" warning criteria ice storm this run for the triad and northern triangle. It's slightly less impressive than the GFS and ICON but it's still there. The euro has burned me a few times this year, hard to take its solutions as serious as years past. Next week is our real chance, I don't think the Thursday or Friday systems will be cold enough except for the NC/VA border areas. Who wants multiple days of 35 and rain? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: The euro has burned me a few times this year, hard to take its solutions as serious as years past. Next week is our real chance, I don't think the Thursday or Friday systems will be cold enough except for the NC/VA border areas. Who wants multiple days of 35 and rain? I mean I sure dont but I have half an inch of ice accretion about 12 miles from my front door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 The differences between Euro runs is laughable, more marginal setup 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The differences between Euro runs is laughable, another cold rain for next weeks system Lining up with UKMET? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Look at the difference, its still ice for some but way warmer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Lining up with UKMET? No, much colder 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Euro has frz rain roughly NW of a line from Raleigh to Gainesville, GA at 168, then it blasts the freezing line north at 171 EPS Mean has been trending this way the last few runs...quicker with the shortwave in the SW states and slower with moving the TPV ESE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Comparing the two runs again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: Comparing the two runs again Still Uber cold for the majority of the forum. Would def cause some significant concerns for areas not accustomed to this type of stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 From freezing rain one run to almost 70 in SC the next 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, griteater said: Euro has frz rain roughly NW of a line from Raleigh to Gainesville, GA at 168, then it blasts the freezing line north at 171 EPS Mean has been trending this way the last few runs...quicker with the shortwave in the SW states and slower with moving the TPV ESE. Kinda been a theme all winter in a way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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