wncsnow Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 That low is so amped up, there is a legit severe threat for eastern SC and NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 996 Apps Rubber... Yeah, that is going to be badSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 This is 6z GFS for this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 This is 6z GFS for Tuesday: 12 to 16 Hour Sleet Storm Triad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 From RAH discussion this morning. LOL The great Appalachian chain has not moved that I have noticed (even with the Sparta earthquakes and tremors this year). So, unless the high becomes centered to our NNE (arctic air air will not roll down the eastern seaboard into the Carolina`s). It will stay west of the Appalachians. 2 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckfever2 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 35 minutes ago, NCSNOW said: This is 6z GFS for Tuesday: 12 to 16 Hour Sleet Storm Triad So...it looks like Atlanta is out of the mix wintry weather ? Yes, No, MAYBE or to early to tell? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Honestly this should be getting more attention. Definitely could be flooding issues with this amount of rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Honestly this should be getting more attention. Definitely could be flooding issues with this amount of rain I’ve been thinking the same thing. Going to be a hard pill to swallow if we day after day of rain and artic air lurking just to our west... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlover Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 42 minutes ago, Buckfever2 said: So...it looks like Atlanta is out of the mix wintry weather ? Yes, No, MAYBE or to early to tell? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 What happened with this weekend's system is notable, in that it did make significant steps colder. Keep in mind the significant shifts that have taken place within 3 days. Doesn't mean this one will turn out moving towards wintry, but an apps runner isn't set in stone, and even if it is impacts before flipping to rain could be significant. I've experienced all frozen storms with a low tracking to my west before (this was in virginia, so a little easier, but still...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, olafminesaw said: What happened with this weekend's system is notable, in that it did make significant steps colder. Keep in mind the significant shifts that have taken place within 3 days. Doesn't mean this one will turn out moving towards wintry, but an apps runner isn't set in stone, and even if it is impacts before flipping to rain could be significant. I've experienced all frozen storms with a low tracking to my west before (this was in virginia, so a little easier, but still...) In the old days, the wright weather days, you would've been banned for behaving like several people have behaved. We are, at a minimum, five days out. For anyone to believe we've reached our final destination with regards to this event is just silly. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 In the old days, the wright weather days, you would've been banned for behaving like several people have behaved. We are, at a minimum, five days out. For anyone to believe we've reached our final destination with regards to this event is just silly. No doubt about that, you see the 6z right? It brings ZR back into SC, which wasn't seen since 12z Monday. I am not buying that apps rubber because of how dense that arctic air is, but the more amped the low is the more likely it will cut, however a 995ish off the SC coast (if it went that route) would cause one hell of a headacheSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 6z icon would have been a major hit. At this point what’s most critical is the remnants of the Canadian vortex ejecting East Quickly for optimal high pressure placement. We can score a major winter storm even if the surface lows runs west of the apps in that scenario, with the classic high placement you’ll still have a locked in wedge and lower pressures along the Atlantic coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just took a peek at the 6z EPS for 12z MondayStill warmer than 18z yesterday, but colder than last night's fireball runSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, burrel2 said: 6z icon would have been a major hit. At this point what’s most critical is the remnants of the Canadian vortex ejecting East Quickly for optimal high pressure placement. We can score a major winter storm even if the surface lows runs west of the apps in that scenario, with the classic high placement you’ll still have a locked in wedge and lower pressures along the Atlantic coast Yep. 0z UKMET actually had something too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 6 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Yep. 0z UKMET actually had something too. @BullCityWx I agree with you brother. Anyone writing this off at this juncture is pure lunacy. The way the models have performed past 72-96 hours and beyond this year would leave any reasonable prudent person to realize giving definitives is a no go right now. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 33 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: Can u say incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orangeburgwx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Can u say incoming?Just that one panel alone shows wintery precip for NC/NW SCSent from my LGL322DL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 hours ago, SUNYGRAD said: From RAH discussion this morning. LOL The great Appalachian chain has not moved that I have noticed (even with the Sparta earthquakes and tremors this year). So, unless the high becomes centered to our NNE (arctic air air will not roll down the eastern seaboard into the Carolina`s). It will stay west of the Appalachians. Tell em the EURO Suite says Hello 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, BullCityWx said: In the old days, the wright weather days, you would've been banned for behaving like several people have behaved. We are, at a minimum, five days out. For anyone to believe we've reached our final destination with regards to this event is just silly. I miss those days Anywho.....I see the icy solution is still on the table as we get closer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Whoa guys, My comment on the NWS comment should have been followed with some silly icon probably. It was a bit more tongue-in-cheek than how it was likely interpreted. I highly respect the folks over there and to a great extent they have a thankless job. Also understaffed from what I'm reading. That said their stoic drollness in the forecast discussion needs a little spice once in awhile and sometimes they place a nice zinger in there to wake you up. Props to that. This one however lacked the clever wit they usually produce from time to time. If you are going to drop one in there make it funny. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Now that I’ve had to delete the last page of crap, keep the discussion on topic and the whining, complaining and unrelated opinions in the designated threads. Now back to your regular scheduled program 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Now that I’ve had to delete the last page of crap, keep the discussion on topic and the whining, complaining and unrelated opinions in the designated threads. Now back to your regular scheduled program Yep. Sorry to take us off point buckeye. Meanwhile back at the weather... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Yep. Sorry to take us off point buckeye. Meanwhile back at the weather... It’s more the whining, complaining and cliff diving every other model run. Thank you for your understanding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 12Z ICON looks like it could be setting up for something nice, HP moving to the east in conjunction with low pressure over the gulf. If the high can build in first and stay out in front it should be a big run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, WXNewton said: 12Z ICON looks like it could be setting up for something nice, HP moving to the east in conjunction with low pressure over the gulf. If the high can build in first and stay out in front it should be a big run. Yeah that would be crippling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Yeah that would be crippling. The southern fringes of the wedge warmed up some from 00z but in the heart of the CAD region temps stayed pretty close to 00z. Low did track toward the APPs this run and Miller-B around the southern edge of the wedge to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 ICON straight up doesn't make sense. A strong low low passing just to our north, and temps never rise above 25 for many? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Next week’s disappointment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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