griteater Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Boom 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Historically, good things happen in the south when the AO approaches -6 standard deviation 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, griteater said: Boom Thank God the PNA is trending positive, its been the nail in the tire all winter 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 PNA FOR THE WIN! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Not sure I have ever seen Grit post a "Boom" 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 hours ago, BullCityWx said: I think if you dig into the sounding a bit more, it may be more of a sleet than freezing rain event for north of 40. Heck I hope most of the 1.5million in the Triangle get in on the sleet more so than a crushing ice storm. A nice <.20 ice--to-heavy sleet-to-snow storm would be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, CaryWx said: Heck I hope most of the 1.5million in the Triangle get in on the sleet more so than the a crushing ice storm. A nice <.20 ice--to-heavy sleet-to-snow storm would be ok. I think that's what would actually happen if this scenario occurred. If I was FAY or south, I might be worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Not sure I have ever seen Grit post a "Boom" Gotta be a good sign! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Not sure I have ever seen Grit post a "Boom" Well, @burgertime is now a lazy european so we cant count on him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: Well, @burgertime is now a lazy european so we cant count on him. He is liv'n tha life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Well, @burgertime is now a lazy european so we cant count on him. He is about to get some snow in Amsterdam, maybe its karma we get a big storm too? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Generally thinking that the store brand version of this event is that late January event we had in 2014; Raleigh got about 2 inches of pixie dust, Wilmington got 2 inches of sleet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, ILMRoss said: Generally thinking that the store brand version of this event is that late January event we had in 2014; Raleigh got about 2 inches of pixie dust, Wilmington got 2 inches of sleet. YES, exactly what I was thinking. I'm also thinking about the SuperCAD storm from...2010 or 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: Generally thinking that the store brand version of this event is that late January event we had in 2014; Raleigh got about 2 inches of pixie dust, Wilmington got 2 inches of sleet. Not sure of this orientation relating to our up and comer next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Not sure of this orientation relating to our up and comer next weekend. I was living in Greenville at the time for this storm. A lot more sleet than forecast and the changeover took forever but it was a great storm regardless. That was an awesome winter. I think we had 3-4 good events and it was COLD! Snowed in March too that year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, CaryWx said: Not sure of this orientation relating to our up and comer next weekend. That was an event that was sniffed out really far in advance, and had some absolutely radical clown maps... Coastal plains getting blasted with 20-30 inches for a few runs. Cantore went down to Charleston for an ice storm, but i think he got cold rain. The orientation may be different, but in terms of long duration, plume of moisture ahead of a positively tilted trough with arctic air bleeding in, i think it's a decent match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I actually have a video from that storm of blowing pixie dust snow along Gold Hill Road in Fort Mill that if you didnt know I was in Fort Mill, you'd assume I was in Michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, ILMRoss said: That was an event that was sniffed out really far in advance, and had some absolutely radical clown maps... Coastal plains getting blasted with 20-30 inches for a few runs. Cantore went down to Charleston for an ice storm, but i think he got cold rain. The orientation may be different, but in terms of long duration, plume of moisture ahead of a positively tilted trough with arctic air bleeding in, i think it's a decent match. Seems like that was the case fairly close to the event as well, inside of 72 hrs either the Euro or the NAM was pasting us still.....was so frustrating watching heavy sleet for hours knowing it was costing me a lot of potential snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, downeastnc said: Seems like that was the case fairly close to the event as well, inside of 72 hrs either the Euro or the NAM was pasting us still.....was so frustrating watching heavy sleet for hours knowing it was costing me a lot of potential snow. I remember the frustration. It didn’t switch over until well past dark. It was a weird storm too, temps well into the 20’s and sleeting for hours. It was almost a powdery sleet, if there was such a thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: I remember the frustration. It didn’t switch over until well past dark. It was a weird storm too, temps well into the 20’s and sleeting for hours. It was almost a powdery sleet, if there was such a thing Was this the one in the Triangle where we had -zr for awhile and then it went over to heavy sleet before that freezing rain accumulated too much? Seems I recall that evening praying for the switchover which finally came so no power hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, jrips27 said: Wider ZR view of the whole region. Ouch Euro paints a pattern similar to late Jan/Feb of 96. Full scale arctic blast with overrunning on the SE side for the entire SE.... Really hard to get this to happen, so we need to reel this in to at least inside 7 days bf getting excited. This has more of mid 1990s look to it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Euro paints a pattern similar to late Jan/Feb of 96. Full scale arctic blast with overrunning on the SE side for the entire SE.... Really hard to get this to happen, so we need to reel this in to at least inside 7 days bf getting excited. This has more of mid 1990s look to it. I just thought the same thing! Feb 2, 1996 was the worst ice storm I remember in Catawba County. Trees popped all night long was without power for 8-9 days and temps got down near zero a day or 2 after the storm and had several inches of snow on the very end. That was the storm that had me hooked on winter weather. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Yea I agree this doesn't look similar to 2014 to me, looks more like some 80s or 90s setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, WXNewton said: I just thought the same thing! Feb 2, 1996 was the worst ice storm I remember in Catawba County. Trees popped all night long was without power for 8-9 days and temps got down near zero a day or 2 after the storm and had several inches of snow on the very end. That was the storm that had me hooked on winter weather. Yeah its #1 on my storm list. That's why some healthy skepticism is need for now. If we're still seeing this solution next week, it will be time to honk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
avianman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 16 minutes ago, WXNewton said: I just thought the same thing! Feb 2, 1996 was the worst ice storm I remember in Catawba County. Trees popped all night long was without power for 8-9 days and temps got down near zero a day or 2 after the storm and had several inches of snow on the very end. That was the storm that had me hooked on winter weather. This was northern Catawba County Feb '96 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 https://climate.ncsu.edu/climate/winter/event_details?e=163 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Katie, bar the door! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, avianman said: This was northern Catawba County Feb '96 Gave me goosebumps looking at this picture. I remember the mattresses in our house froze. That was a scary storm, I didn't sleep for 2 nights because of all the pine trees popping around the house. My dad worked for the DOT and he didn't come home for days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: Katie, bar the door! Get ready for the snowpocalypse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow dog Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, WXNewton said: Gave me goosebumps looking at this picture. I remember the mattresses in our house froze. That was a scary storm, I didn't sleep for 2 nights because of all the pine trees popping around the house. My dad worked for the DOT and he didn't come home for days. That is why a $500 investment in a generator is so worth it, even if its only used every other year! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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