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Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021


jburns
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Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track.  Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm for the mtns & piedmont.  Then top it off with wave #2 which will most definitely be a classic Miller A mover with that strong confluence zone forcing the sfc low to move from the gulf coast up the SE coast. :D 

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  On 2/1/2021 at 7:09 PM, BullCityWx said:

Imagine the damming showing up. It’s over frozen land. You’d push the damming to Birmingham. 

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Just checking on you, BullCityWx.......................  making sure you haven't passed out over that way.

IMO, pattern recognition says snow on snow might be a possibility somewhere in the southeast.

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  On 2/1/2021 at 7:14 PM, Wow said:

Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track.  Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm.  Then top it off with wave #2. :D 

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You and me both Wow!   

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  On 2/1/2021 at 7:14 PM, Wow said:

Oh i'm liking the looks of this now with the Euro keeping on track.  Two good shots here.. Ideally, I'd like the first wave to slow and string out to allow a weak wave move across to minimize WAA and have a classic overrunning storm for the mtns & piedmont.  Then top it off with wave #2 which will most definitely be a classic Miller A mover with that strong confluence zone forcing the sfc low to move from the gulf coast up the SE coast. :D 

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Yes.  Panel#30 from Grit's 12z GEFS post

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  On 2/1/2021 at 7:49 PM, BullCityWx said:

For some of y’all worried about ptypes a week out(sigh) have you ever seen an ice storm that stretches from Raleigh to Columbia? No. You haven’t. The triangle would be snow or sleet with that pattern. Freezing rain further East and South.

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That's sort of what I was thinking and hoped the ensembles would bear it out a bit.  Maybe next run. 

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  On 2/1/2021 at 7:29 PM, StantonParkHoya said:

Bet we see some MONSTER solutions in the coming days.

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Agreed. Already some showing on the ensembles. One of these models going going to suck everyone back onto this pages in next few days. Been fun seeing the mid-long range thread “hot” most of the day. This winter is already 100% better than last winter 

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  On 2/1/2021 at 7:56 PM, NorthHillsWx said:

Agreed. Already some showing on the ensembles. One of these models going going to suck everyone back onto this pages in next few days. Been fun seeing the mid-long range thread “hot” most of the day. This winter is already 100% better than last winter 

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Not where I sit but I'm willing to wait to see if Fab Feb comes through before passing judgement.

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  On 2/1/2021 at 9:11 PM, StantonParkHoya said:

8 people live in the mountains, for the majority, it went from SN+ to SN-/Ice/Rain

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If you want significant snow each winter you need to move. In the SE outside the mountains it is a shot in the dark and there is much more than 8 people in our thread. Don't be salty.

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