Upstate Tiger Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 3 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: February 79 or March 80 too Interesting you mention 79. Late yesterday afternoon the sky had almost completely clouded over except a little outline of the sun. The first time I saw a similar sky was the Saturday afternoon before the great Presidents Day storm of 79. Of course back on that Saturday, there was a stiff northerly breeze and temp was in the upper 20s. Friday the day before it had been 68 and sunny. Sunday was snowy and windy with temps in the mid teens. Wound up with 14” IMBY. I remember listening on the old weather radio for the hourly updates where they would give conditions around the Carolinas and Ga and it was snowing everywhere but Charleston and Savannah. Myrtle Beach reported heavy snow and 18 degrees. One of my favorites!! Multiple events that winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 31, 2021 Share Posted January 31, 2021 7 minutes ago, Wow said: It's been great seeing the Atlantic come back to a sustained seasonal -NAO after several years but then losing the Pacific to lock out the arctic air is just downright insulting. The last hope here something like this where the PNA ridge finally breaks through... So true, but to be fair the Pacific was various flavors of dumpster fire through 2018-19 and 2019-20. It's not like the Pacific and Atlantic immediately switched places from good to bad. Last year they were both horrible. Right now the Pacific looks the least bad it has all winter so maybe we can make hay while the sun is shining (figuratively speaking). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 18z GFS trending the right direction.. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 4 hours ago, Billypg70 said: That was the storm of my life and I'm now 50. I was in elementary school and it was my first winter in NC. We missed so much school that we had to go to school 2 Saturdays for a half day to make up all of the school we missed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 21 minutes ago, Wow said: 18z GFS trending the right direction.. I’m gonna need this a bit further south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: I’m gonna need this a bit further south Thats makes two of us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I gotta see the HP over the lakes or in the northeast. Enough of this Lucy business with a high over the plains or Waaaaayyyyyyyyyyy up in northern Ontario or Quebec. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 A high over the plains works if it is strong enough. One of the guys who posts on twitter a lot, either jonathan or eric, posted a detailed description of this ahead of last week's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 42 minutes ago, Wow said: 18z GFS trending the right direction.. Wow awfully early for it to be trending to the correction. Was 12 hours out this storm correcting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Man! Come back in to reset my mind from present to future after today’s event and the Euro just plants a weenies dream. Anyone with Euro maps access think this scenario is beyond plausible and if so what it is keying on vs the gfs? Is there enough spacing with the cutter and then the possible storm day 7? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tealsnowball Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: Man! Come back in to reset my mind from present to future after today’s event and the Euro just plants a weenies dream. Anyone with Euro maps access think this scenario is beyond plausible and if so what it is keying on vs the gfs? Is there enough spacing with the cutter and then the possible storm day 7? That Euro run was a thing of beauty. February 8th's temperatures though? Downright frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 00z GFS with another trend in the right direction for next weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 FWIW , The 0z GFS drops 6-10" of Snow in Southern and Eastern VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 0z CMC also keeps the idea of an interior storm next weekend , albeit weaker than it was at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The mid-long range does not look boring on on the GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 7 hours ago, BornAgain13 said: 0z CMC also keeps the idea of an interior storm next weekend , albeit weaker than it was at 12z. Then another round at HR 228. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Superbowl weekend looks interesting on GFS, but temperature suspect...especially in afternoon on Saturday... close to 40. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6Z GFS oh my...so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 hour ago, frazdaddy said: 6Z GFS oh my...so close Right!? It still drops 5-6” imby. The next couple weeks are going to be interesting for sure. I couldn’t help but notice that the Euro gives me a dusting in the early morning hours tomorrow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6z GFS is a shortwave flinging some overrunning precip ahead of a big trough; a no frills, time tested setup that usually yields a narrow but productive strip of frozen precip. I’m keeping my eye on it! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: Right!? It still drops 5-6” imby. The next couple weeks are going to be interesting for sure. I couldn’t help but notice that the Euro gives me a dusting in the early morning hours tomorrow My birthday is in that time frame. Told my bride to be ready to go. I will find snow some where. She just got back from Norristown Pa Friday, argh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 If only weather apps would verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Alchemist Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 If only weather apps would verify That’s why we can’t have nice things!!! Seriously though, Looks fishy to me, maybe the Saturday high of 48 occurs at 12:05 am in the morning? Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I love how the 12Z GFS shows the coldest air of the season on Monday... then the system that rolls through is rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Coldest since January 2019!in DC coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 And just like that, the GFS and CMC kick the weekend system out to quick... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 5 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: I love how the 12Z GFS shows the coldest air of the season on Monday... then the system that rolls through is rain. Ugly to see that for sure, but that's the time period of interest. Cold shot comes down and gets trapped a bit underneath the Greenland Blocking...hopefully after that we can see one or 2 legit chances emerge. The details on the various modeling will be murky for now 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Too much northern stream. GFS is known to amplify it too much but in this setup it could be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 The airmass incoming is extremely cold and extremely dry. Check out the dew points. If we get a system within a few days of the air mass settling in it will be frozen. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, burrel2 said: The airmass incoming is extremely cold and extremely dry. Check out the dew points. If we get a system within a few days of the air mass settling in it will be frozen. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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