BIG FROSTY Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: I thought for sure y’all would’ve found a way to score last night When I say brief, I mean brief like 15 minutes then tapered off the light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, BIG FROSTY said: When I say brief, I mean brief like 15 minutes then tapered off the light rain. Just one of those years it feels like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Comparing 12z EURO to 18z EURO , not huge changes. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Comparing 12z EURO to 18z EURO , not huge changes. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Looking like a general consensus at this stage that most major model guidance wants to bring in the WAA thump into western and central VA. I could def see you getting a couple inches but then mix before dry slot moves in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said: Looking like a general consensus at this stage that most major model guidance wants to bring in the WAA thump into western and central VA. I could def see you getting a couple inches but then mix before dry slot moves in. With the 18z euro taken verbatim , I would get about 4" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 A dry slot could be deadly for the escarpment. It rarely works out to be completely dry. With the upslope flow, that’s a recipe for drizzle/light frz rain in 30-31 temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Don’t think this is Raleigh’s storm so on to the next Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, StantonParkHoya said: Don’t think this is Raleigh’s storm so on to the next Wait, your location says DC so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, cbmclean said: Wait, your location says DC so... I am quarantining in Raleigh, my hometown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 43 minutes ago, griteater said: Yeah, always temper the long range...I do think the blocking is going to renew itself (with an assist down the road from the nor'easter going up the coast), but the SE ridge / La Nina tendency could be problematic Thanks Grit. It's the NW artic flow I was referring to. Have a good feeling the blocking may stick around BTW, your snow forecast was pretty much spot on for my location in Cary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 @ILMRoss I see you are on. Have you really dissected anything or overly looked into what 40 north looks like for this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 We had some first calls out at this range for the Thursday event. Anybody ready to take a stab at Saturday night? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 30 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Comparing 12z EURO to 18z EURO , not huge changes. Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk You sure you're in the right region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: We had some first calls out at this range for the Thursday event. Anybody ready to take a stab at Saturday night? DT is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PantherJustin Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, kvegas-wx said: We had some first calls out at this range for the Thursday event. Anybody ready to take a stab at Saturday night? Yea..... make a generator run big cat and maybe buy a boat 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 22 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said: You sure you're in the right region? Yep! I'm upper southeast/lower mid Atlantic. I'm in the middle lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 18z EPS Mean, slight shift south from 12z. Been fairly consistent Sent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 15 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: Yep! I'm upper southeast/lower mid Atlantic. I'm in the middle lol You and I are a short drive apart up hwy 29, so I’d say you’re more SE than MA for most events. Depends on the event though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 18z EPS Control went south from 12z fwiwSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 If the trends keep moving south the southern foothills might get something meaningful out of this storm hopefully. Keep trending south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Theirs a shortwave in New England that has trended stronger , thus seeing the storm trend a little south... maybe @griteater can chime in and detail it more...? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 @BornAgain13 hopefully this might help continue the southern trend for us. would love for someone to explain if this storm can keep trending south and keep the cold air in place longer for us all. thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Is there an area of sleet and Freezing rain south of the VA/NC border? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 DT has his first outlook map out. Pretty aggressive... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 57 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: DT is That'd be sweet if I was still living in my old home of Scranton, Pa. :-/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 That's some pretty dry air on the NAM on Saturday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: That's some pretty dry air on the NAM on Saturday afternoon Good predecessor to a solid storm. Large spread in temp vs dews. Will be tracking that Saturday night along with cloud cover 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 This run is a little less aggressive with the overrunning precip and thus a bit warmer for western NC so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Not as much moisture or cold as the 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 29, 2021 Share Posted January 29, 2021 Yeah this run of the NAM is definitely a step back... no snow just ICE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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