buckeyefan1 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 2 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Not too interested I hope. GSP..... .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 230 PM Wednesday...onset of precip will be Saturday evening, depending on placement of best moisture and timing of shortwave trough the region, which GFS and European models still disagree on. ECMWF still shows a coastal low developing and passing south of our CWA, which introduces a threat of winter wx, though it`s still too far out to pin down any details. GFS leans more into the coastal low setup as of the 12z run. Either case is likely to produce some snow showers in the mountains but if ECMWF guidance pans out then this could extend into the NC Piedmont. In any case, chilly temps will stay in place through Tuesday, before a new upper system approaches from the west. Models diverge greatly as far as timing and dynamics of this system. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 For 6Z Sunday, the NAM that just ran at 18Z is 6 degrees colder than the GFS at that same time and about 2 degrees colder than the euro. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 1 hour ago, Brick Tamland said: Still plenty of time for the Euro to shift south. It didn't shift south with the storm tonight into tomorrow until last night. What did the individual EPS members show? as far as snow for RDU? Yesterday's, all 50 members showed something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 27, 2021 Share Posted January 27, 2021 RGEM shows snow breaking out for pretty much all of NC west of 77 by 1AM Sunday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Nice snow pack . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, strongwxnc said: Nice snow pack . Fingers crossed, mark. Fingers crossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Fingers crossed, mark. Fingers crossed.Rooting for ya man. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Long long range NAm shows mostly ZR and mostly confined to Blue Ridge. Meh.. Starting to doubt this one 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Man we cannot catch a break in the foothills this winter. Hopefully the models trend better for snow this weekend but not looking good with this storm at the moment just like all the other storms this winter. Semi Cold air in place storm comes cold air leaves storms over cold air returns. Over and over all winter. Not giving up hope yet but very discouraging at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Jmoon said: Man we cannot catch a break in the foothills this winter. Hopefully the models trend better for snow this weekend but not looking good with this storm at the moment just like all the other storms this winter. Semi Cold air in place storm comes cold air leaves storms over cold air returns. Over and over all winter. Not giving up hope yet but very discouraging at this point. You are right my friend. We need a storm badly. We don't live in an area where it doesn't snow more than an inch in 25 months and it be the norm. We should be getting multiple 4 inch storms a season. Our average is 7 to 10 inches a season, and much more if you have a little elevation. GFS Continues to look dreadful 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 The Canadian is a big mess, lots of sleet and ZR in NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Just now, wncsnow said: The Canadian is a big mess, lots of sleet and ZR in NC Im In nw nc and have had only a dusting of snow this season. Just north of mount airy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Ghicks said: Im In nw nc and have had only a dusting of snow this season. Just north of mount airy You are in a good spot for this weekend if the Euro, UK and Canadian are right. A few inches of snow then sleet and ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 @wncsnow your exactly right i'm a little south of you in rutherford county and average 7 inches a snow a winter. I have had a whopping 1 1/2 Inches the last 25 months. I know how you feel as well because your closer to the snow in the mountains than I am. we should have put several 2-4 Inch snows on the board this season with so many storms. If it keeps up raining I will be flooding soon. great talking to you my foothill neighbor. Hopefully we can bring one home before our time runs this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 UK doesn't look too bad. Similar to past runs but maybe a bit more wintry precip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 0z EURO another big run of SNOW to ICE , mostly SNOW central and N VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Euro keeps creeping north though. Not trending the right way for most NC folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro keeps creeping north though. Not trending the right way for most NC folks I agree with that... don't like that trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 It's honestly trending towards the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 8 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It's honestly trending towards the GFS. Yeah this time the EURO Max snowfall is in Pennsylvania and not VA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Euro keeps creeping north though. Not trending the right way for most NC folks Trending towards more ice. Not good at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 [mention=3725]wncsnow[/mention] your exactly right i'm a little south of you in rutherford county and average 7 inches a snow a winter. I have had a whopping 1 1/2 Inches the last 25 months. I know how you feel as well because your closer to the snow in the mountains than I am. we should have put several 2-4 Inch snows on the board this season with so many storms. If it keeps up raining I will be flooding soon. great talking to you my foothill neighbor. Hopefully we can bring one home before our time runs this winter.In Rutherford also over in Bostic and I 100% agree. Been a rough two years. . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmoon Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 I know what you mean. I'm in danieltown. It's been tough sledding for us in the foothills the last 2 winters since the dec 2018 storm. I had a feeling we would pay for that storm because it was such a good snowstorm for us. Hopefully Things will turn around for us soon. We're sure do a decent snowstorm around here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 48 minutes ago, Jmoon said: I know what you mean. I'm in danieltown. It's been tough sledding for us in the foothills the last 2 winters since the dec 2018 storm. I had a feeling we would pay for that storm because it was such a good snowstorm for us. Hopefully Things will turn around for us soon. We're sure do a decent snowstorm around here. I literally thought the same thing yesterday watching the model runs come in. We were too fortunate with that storm! It’s almost as if we used up all of our good-will with Mother Nature for the foreseeable future when she decided to gift us with 1-2 ft. I still look back at that event thread and reminisce . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 6 hours ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said: Trending towards more ice. Not good at all If it’s only a shot at ice, I’d rather it be a cold rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 mount airy nc was shut out last night.. nothing except rain.. oh well.. im sure we will have more of the same sunday. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 1 minute ago, Ghicks said: mount airy nc was shut out last night.. nothing except rain.. oh well.. im sure we will have more of the same sunday. lol That was very weird to watch. Same in Stuart. We got the flip and then poof! Nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 Looks like some decent cold shots early to mid Feb. We shall see how it pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 28, 2021 Share Posted January 28, 2021 FWIW , the 6z EURO trended back south for SundaySent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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