wncsnow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Back to the weather- The UK shows a nice storm Sunday as well. I think it may be our best threat of the year for the I 40 corridor, northern foothills and mountains 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flair_2000 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 0z GFS back to showing some love for NE NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Big hit on 0z Euro for western NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: Big hit on 0z Euro for western NC Next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, Grayman said: Next week? Yes Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeNormanStormin Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Thunderstorms and lightning.....very, very frightening... Me: January January It just doesn't want to snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 06z GFS brings snow back into central and northeastern NC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said: Objectively, no, no they haven’t. That’s why we have record books. See May 1992..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 7 hours ago, magpiemaniac said: Those GFS clown map gradients in Alamance County at 1:00 AM Thursday are hilarious. Two-mile difference between 0” and 8”. LOL. Downtown Burlington? 8”! The academy sports on the west side? Nothing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 6zgfs, icon, nam... Still shows snow for northern NC. Still not out of realm of possibility that Thursday system over performs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Anybody want to chime in why the GFS all of a sudden jumps on board with the Para for the Thursday system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BornAgain13 said: Anybody want to chime in why the GFS all of a sudden jumps on board with the Para for the Thursday system? It's the gfs. It's got issues. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 10:1 Goes Beast mode both GFS @ 6z; THIS IS NOT KUCHERA: AND ITS THE GFS: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 So the latest GFS, Para, and NAM give me 10:1 snow amounts of 10”, 9” and 3” respectively less than 48 hours out. Surely I’ll get something out of this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 NWS expected amounts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SENC Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Lordy I just got Nammed/i].. I'll take it if it comes too fruition.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 the 6z NAM was a little juicer than 3K NAM, but both seemed to jump south... Still just having a hard time buying it with the cold chasing moisture scenario at the end of this system. Unless there is some banding at the end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Sunday is a really nice system for those in the western half of NC on the overnight run of the euro.... temps below freezing for the duration as well. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 8 minutes ago, BooneWX said: Sunday is a really nice system for those in the western half of NC on the overnight run of the euro.... temps below freezing for the duration as well. I can’t help but temper my expectations after this Thursday’s debacle. Mid Atl forum are highlighting the fact that euro is out on an island right now and its simply because there are 4 different s/w flying around and would take a perfect scenario to get the euro to come to fruition. My main concern from my own thoughts is having the fire hose setup too far to our north and missing the main slug of moisture. I hope it doesnt happen but that would be cause for concern or #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Depending on temperatures/dew points, saturday/sunday event could be an in-situ damming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1 hour ago, Buddy1987 said: I can’t help but temper my expectations after this Thursday’s debacle. Mid Atl forum are highlighting the fact that euro is out on an island right now and its simply because there are 4 different s/w flying around and would take a perfect scenario to get the euro to come to fruition. My main concern from my own thoughts is having the fire hose setup too far to our north and missing the main slug of moisture. I hope it doesnt happen but that would be cause for concern or #1 The UK agrees with Euro so not on an island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The 12z NAM really cut back on totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, magpiemaniac said: The 12z NAM really cut back on totals. It just oriented the precip differently. The HRRR is pretty enthusiastic about our chances even though it's at the end of its range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: The UK agrees with Euro so not on an island Canadian agrees too. If anything, the GFS is on the island. It should be comfortable there tho as it spends a lot of its time on it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 1Z NAM looks decent, but 3K NAM says nope... HRRR is a mix between the two. The end of the run is 12Z on Thursday and most of precip will be done by then anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magpiemaniac Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 Just now, BullCityWx said: It just oriented the precip differently. The HRRR is pretty enthusiastic about our chances even though it's at the end of its range. You’re right. I haven’t even looked at the HRRR yet. It’s pretty generous with snow IMBY. IIRC, the HRRR was did a pretty good job with the January 8 event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 The UKMET looks like it would be about 8 snow flakes, 16 ice pellets and then rain for 95% of the states population. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 4 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: The UKMET looks like it would be about 8 snow flakes, 16 ice pellets and then rain for 95% of the states population. Really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 26, 2021 Share Posted January 26, 2021 12z ICON still trying to make something of the Thur system from ROA and then southeast toward the eastern NC coast. Para and GFS also showing it as of 6z. Will see what it shows here shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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