wncsnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 That UK runs tells me the Euro may be decent for GSO to Roanoke Rapids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 0Z UKSent from my SM-N981U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 UK brings the snow way into NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: That UK runs tells me the Euro may be decent for GSO to Roanoke Rapids I know we’re probably out of the game. But The 00 runs have really trended out way. I’m still learning but you agree? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Grayman said: I know we’re probably out of the game. But The 00 runs have really trended out way. I’m still learning but you agree? We may as well be hopeful since there looks to be our last good shot for a long while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, wncsnow said: We may as well be hopeful since there looks to be our last good shot for a long while But 00z runs pushed snow right on all models minus Gfs. HP a little stronger each run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 It still being 5 days out at least makes this a bit entertaining to watch how it unfolds in the end. Noticed on the UKMet that the closed low over the Great Lakes is farther south compared to the GFS....so there's a bit of squashing effect there with the height pattern along the east coast. Best bet is to probably just put all the models in a blender right now and take the average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 11 minutes ago, griteater said: It still being 5 days out at least makes this a bit entertaining to watch how it unfolds in the end. Noticed on the UKMet that the closed low over the Great Lakes is farther south compared to the GFS....so there's a bit of squashing effect there with the height pattern along the east coast. Best bet is to probably just put all the models in a blender right now and take the average. Grit, do you agree most 00 models tonight trended well for N NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 9 minutes ago, Grayman said: Grit, do you agree most 00 models tonight trended well for N NC? It looks like the GFS and the CMC had a small bump south...GFS Para had more of a bump south...and the UKMet had a substantial bump south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Euro bumped south as well...some snow across northern and NE NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: That UK runs tells me the Euro may be decent for GSO to Roanoke Rapids Damn I'm good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris624wx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, griteater said: Wow! Let me lock that in for Norfolk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, chris624wx said: Wow! Let me lock that in for Norfolk! Yeah, that's a good track for your area if it can hold there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 It is absolutely amazing to me the Euro can spit out something like that when basically almost every other model is gung ho I mean even ukmet is more aggressive. I know I’ve seen and read thus far the euro is slower in ejecting the s/w out of the southwest and I think that’s a known flaw and bias in its model suite to where it’s now impacting its evolution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 And just for reference the more I dissect the 0z GEFS was GREAT IMO if you wanted a trend somewhat (P10, P23, P28 YES PLEASE!). There are many major hits in there for northern NC in this. There’s still time for this to trend the right way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 It is over for NC. It will be the usual crap, 38F-42F and rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 14 minutes ago, eyewall said: It is over for NC. It will be the usual crap, 38F-42F and rain. Is that prediction based on the 6Z suite or do you see updated info somewhere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 16 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Is that prediction based on the 6Z suite or do you see updated info somewhere? I think it’s premature to say NC in general. CLT and RDU I would agree but north of 40 I don’t believe so. That TPV is still flying all over the place on the models.That being said I’m not sure as to how many people in the forum actually live along or north of 40. I feel like I’m out on an island sometimes haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghicks Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I think it’s premature to say NC in general. CLT and RDU I would agree but north of 40 I don’t believe so. That TPV is still flying all over the place on the models.That being said I’m not sure as to how many people in the forum actually live along or north of 40. I feel like I’m out on an island sometimes haha I’m north of 40 well north lol. I’m in northern Surry county near the va border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 24 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said: Is that prediction based on the 6Z suite or do you see updated info somewhere? Based on the overall northward trend which shifts the snow axis well into VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KChuck Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 5 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I think it’s premature to say NC in general. CLT and RDU I would agree but north of 40 I don’t believe so. That TPV is still flying all over the place on the models.That being said I’m not sure as to how many people in the forum actually live along or north of 40. I feel like I’m out on an island sometimes haha I'm in northeast part of Forsyth county, so count me in the north of I40 crew. It seems like the RAH NWS crew is throwing in the towel also, as they've removed any mention of frozen precipitation in the official forecast for Wed thru Fri (70% rain Wed night) though they still are mentioning potential for wintry precipitation for Wed night and Thurs in the hazardous weather outlook. From their disco.: "Still expect high pressure to build into central NC through Wednesday, though to a lesser extent and with slightly less cold air advecting into the area than previous model runs........Also, despite the chance for precipitation, the potential for wintry precipitation has diminished significantly for Wednesday night/Thursday given the warming trend in temperatures." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 I still think it's a little premature to rule Wake County out.. all the globals showed *something* for Wake except GFS pretty much... The next two runs will be key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Guys by no means am I disrespecting eyewalls thoughts because he knows a hell of a lot more than I do but same time I truly believe he was referencing the majority of NC but again premature IMO to rule out Forsyth county, Surry etc.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Guys by no means am I disrespecting eyewalls thoughts because he knows a hell of a lot more than I do but same time I truly believe he was referencing the majority of NC but again premature IMO to rule out Forsyth county, Surry etc.. I think anyone north and west of 40/85 still has a shot right now, especially north of US 70 in that corridor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: I think anyone north and west of 40/85 still has a shot right now, especially north of US 70 in that corridor. I agree! I think dynamics alone as you get into north central and northeastern NC could really surprise someone as bombogenesis takes place. Gonna be one hell of a ccb that develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 Meanwhile, I'm interested in seeing what the NAM shows. It will begin coming into range today. Temperature wise, showing a weak CAD for Tuesday that could end up keeping those really warm temps away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 21 minutes ago, BullCityWx said: I think anyone north and west of 40/85 still has a shot right now, especially north of US 70 in that corridor. Not great landmarks considering Northeast NC stands to do the best with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 57 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: I think it’s premature to say NC in general. CLT and RDU I would agree but north of 40 I don’t believe so. That TPV is still flying all over the place on the models.That being said I’m not sure as to how many people in the forum actually live along or north of 40. I feel like I’m out on an island sometimes haha I'm in Stokes County, so definitely north of 40. Although the last system we got gave Kernersville more than me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 24, 2021 Share Posted January 24, 2021 36 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Not great landmarks considering Northeast NC stands to do the best with this I should’ve added East of I-77 to that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now