Grayman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 6:59 PM, BullCityWx said: Massive winter storm on Day 8.5 euro. Snow for CLT/GSO/RDU with a transition zone around the SC border. Expand That’s a beautiful storm. Can we hold it without too much of the Northwest trend getting us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:04 PM, Grayman said: That’s a beautiful storm. Can we hold it without too much of the Northwest trend getting us Expand Actually, Rockingham would be the best place in the state if this happened tomorrow. We'll see if the ensembles bite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 If you draw a line from New Bern straight back to the tennessee line in Macon County within about 30 miles N or S of that line, thats the focus of this run. Almost a true M&M storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 There's too many maps to post but it's a beautiful storm. Verbatim, not a big event for north of say 40 but there's no reason that wouldnt fill in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:21 PM, BullCityWx said: There's too many maps to post but it's a beautiful storm. Verbatim, not a big event for north of say 40 but there's no reason that wouldnt fill in. Expand Temps in the Mid 20s with potential for ratios north of 40 though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:21 PM, BullCityWx said: There's too many maps to post but it's a beautiful storm. Verbatim, not a big event for north of say 40 but there's no reason that wouldnt fill in. Expand Yeah that is a nice little storm. One thing I've been noticing is that any warmup per se has been muted by the midels time and time again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:25 PM, Met1985 said: Yeah that is a nice little storm. One thing I've been noticing is that any warmup per se has been muted by the midels time and time again. Expand That aint what I've been hearing I'd take the synoptics of that event as depicted 1000% of the time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 The blocking we are seeing is something we have not seen in a long while. The models are struggling even just a day or two out. I think the biggest takeaway recently is that we can expect things to pop up and be a legitimate threat in a relatively short time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:27 PM, BullCityWx said: That aint what I've been hearing I'd take the synoptics of that event as depicted 1000% of the time. Expand Yeah every time! Even in marginal temps but shoot the euro went from a mild day to an all out snowstorm for NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Yes the day 8.5 Euro would be a widespread winter storm taken verbatim and definitely would probably see the moisture more north than what is showing... let's hope the ensembles bite... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grayman Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:06 PM, BullCityWx said: Actually, Rockingham would be the best place in the state if this happened tomorrow. We'll see if the ensembles bite. Expand Yes, that scares me. That would be very rare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:29 PM, BornAgain13 said: Yes the day 8.5 Euro would be a widespread winter storm taken verbatim and definitely would probably see the moisture more north than what is showing... let's hope the ensembles bite... Expand Even if they dont I think the next three weeks especially are above average for seeing something pop here in the SE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:31 PM, Met1985 said: Even if they dont I think the next three weeks especially are above average for seeing something pop here in the SE. Expand Agreed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 There's still the same amount of interest on the GEFS for next Tuesday and Wednesday but there is significant interest in the same time period the Euro has this event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 DT is putting out a video this evening on the "possibility" of this storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:39 PM, BullCityWx said: There's still the same amount of interest on the GEFS for next Tuesday and Wednesday but there is significant interest in the same time period the Euro has this event. Expand Good Good!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Is this all one storm next week just the models haven't nailed down the right day yet possibly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:36 PM, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? Expand Your geography is off. SOtB barely sees any snow on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:40 PM, BornAgain13 said: DT is putting out a video this evening on the "possibility" of this storm... Expand Oh you mean the guy that had me in the 6-10 area for last Friday? After barely getting a trace, I'd rather find something on Netflix. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sarcean Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:36 PM, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? Expand Can i cash out now here in Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 8:08 PM, CentralNC said: Oh you mean the guy that had me in the 6-10 area for last Friday? After barely getting a trace, I'd rather find something on Netflix. Expand He’s excellent at mid range pattern recognition. I’ve never even a big fan of his in the short range. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNC Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 8:16 PM, BullCityWx said: He’s excellent at mid range pattern recognition. I’ve never even a big fan of his in the short range. Expand I get it and I agree on the mid range thing. But he blames everyone else for hype and he's just as bad as anyone. His short range maps he puts out are abysmal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 8:25 PM, CentralNC said: I get it and I agree on the mid range thing. But he blames everyone else for hype and he's just as bad as anyone. His short range maps he puts out are abysmal Expand Honestly, his maps would be really solid if he just cut his totals in half. It's like he posts his max potential map every storm by accident, or something 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:10 PM, BullCityWx said: If you draw a line from New Bern straight back to the tennessee line in Macon County within about 30 miles N or S of that line, thats the focus of this run. Almost a true M&M storm. Expand Dropping some macon county love! Of course I'll be in Florida next week 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 Mid range event still there on the 18z. Snow confined mostly east of Burlington. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:36 PM, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? Expand More like a New Bern Crusher 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 7:36 PM, NCSNOW said: The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been happy in 9 days. Is that place still open?? Expand I've been watching this board for many years now and I honestly cant recall a storm modeled like that. I'm gonna say that doesnt pan out quite that way. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornetsHomer91 Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 10:22 PM, BullCityWx said: Mid range event still there on the 18z. Snow confined mostly east of Burlington. Expand right where we want it at this stage over here on the I-77 Corridor lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 12, 2021 Share Posted January 12, 2021 On 1/12/2021 at 11:33 PM, PantherJustin said: right where we want it at this stage over here on the I-77 Corridor lol Expand Perfect for Roanoke to Richmond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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