FLweather Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 FWIW. 18z Nam Vs GFS. Still a border line system. Nam retains some of that energy in southern Canada. More of occluded frontal boundary. May or may not have the merit behind it to dig a good slp. Further east development. Granted nam shows slp in MO, MS, NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, FLweather said: FWIW. 18z Nam Vs GFS. Still a border line system. Nam retains some of that energy in southern Canada. More of occluded frontal boundary. May or may not have the merit behind it to dig a good slp. Further east development. Granted nam shows slp in MO, MS, NO. It's the NAM at 84 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: It's the NAM at 84 hours... True. But it's the gfs at 96, 108 324 hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 23 minutes ago, FLweather said: True. But it's the gfs at 96, 108 324 hour True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, wncsnow said: True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range. I'm ready to get Name'd!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 15 minutes ago, wncsnow said: True that! It will be interesting to see how it plays out on the NAM the next few days when it gets closer to range. 11 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: I'm ready to get Name'd!! I'm rooting for yall. I really am. Long long time over due. Considering how the globals have been... I've got more merit on short range. Globals have been blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Euro follows up the weekend storm with a classic NW Gulf to NE Gulf Miller A winter storm, though it goes negative tilt with the wave and warms inland 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, griteater said: Euro follows up the weekend storm with a classic NW Gulf to NE Gulf Miller A winter storm, though it goes negative tilt with the wave and warms inland VA and DC get hammered and its a nice system for central NC but temps are really marginal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Total snow map from the 2 systems. This is 10-1 so likely overdone but lots of potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Storm 2 only on the Euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Plymouth State soundings are down. Not sure how I get through a storm without them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 GFS has storm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 12z Euro is a hit again early next week with the 2nd storm from central LA to W NC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 34 minutes ago, griteater said: 12z Euro is a hit again early next week with the 2nd storm from central LA to W NC Someone is going to have an epic meltdown if they get outdone by Baton Rouge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, BullCityWx said: Someone is going to have an epic meltdown if they get outdone by Baton Rouge. Meltdowns are fun! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Just now, griteater said: Meltdowns are fun! Ji is gonna be volcanic 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 ECENS seemingly crushes Storm #2. I dont know if it's spread in warmer solutions or QPF. if I had to guess, it'd be QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Impressive look developing at the end on the EPS Mean here with heavy west based -NAO via Davis Strait ridging and deep blues off the Canadian Maritimes / and removal of Gulf of Alaska Low (Jan 12-19) 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Ice Man Cometh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 GSP still honking on both systems in this afternoon's AFD LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 230 PM EST Monday: No significant changes in the overall thinking for the Thursday night into Friday winter storm. A strong upper low at 500 mb will likely pass just to our south Thursday evening into Friday. A leading surface low pressure system will slowly strengthen Thursday night before more rapidly strengthening into Friday thanks to a stronger baroclinic zone near the coast. Steady moisture advection first off the Gulf of Mexico transitioning to off the of Atlantic combined with deep lift (strong isentropic lift at lower levels and large scale ascent aloft) should support at least moderate precipitation at times, possibly with periods of heavy precipitation during the best overlap between forcing and moisture Thursday night into early Friday. Temperature profiles should support mostly snow across the mountains and possibly into the I-40 corridor with a transition zone probably setting up between roughly the I-40 and I-85 corridors outside of the mountains, with mainly rain south of I-85. That being said, the latest EC showed a jogged a bit north with the upper low in its latest run, which would support warmer profiles and a bit more in the way of liquid precipitation should this trend continue. A brief period of northwest flow snow showers are possible in the storms wake late Friday or Friday night. High pressure will build in this weekend with mostly sunny skies and below normal temperatures. Another colder storm may be on the horizon for early next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 55 minutes ago, griteater said: Impressive look developing at the end on the EPS Mean here with heavy west based -NAO via Davis Strait ridging and deep blues off the Canadian Maritimes / and removal of Gulf of Alaska Low (Jan 12-19) This. This. This. There is nothing better for an active southern winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 18z GFS goes mini-boom with classic MIller A crossing N FL early next week (Monday)...busy in here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Southern Track Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 minute ago, griteater said: 18z GFS goes mini-boom with classic MIller A crossing N FL early next week (Monday)...busy in here Really can’t draw it better than the 18z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 2 hours ago, buckeyefan1 said: This. This. This. There is nothing better for an active southern winter You still in Fountain Inn ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 12 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: You still in Fountain Inn ? Yep, and I’m prepared for heartbreak imby Friday I will drive to tr and play if I have to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Well....I got my heart broken last Friday night so I am due a better Friday this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 56 minutes ago, Upstate Tiger said: Well....I got my heart broken last Friday night so I am due a better Friday this week. I don't know man, you guys have had PLENTY of fun over the past few years, need to let some others experience it for a change. Like maybe my Gamecocks... Kinda like how the mtns need to share their snow with the rest of us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, Iceagewhereartthou said: I don't know man, you guys have had PLENTY of fun over the past few years, need to let some others experience it for a change. Like maybe my Gamecocks... Kinda like how the mtns need to share their snow with the rest of us! #shanetrain #fail 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, Iceagewhereartthou said: I don't know man, you guys have had PLENTY of fun over the past few years, need to let some others experience it for a change. Like maybe my Gamecocks... Kinda like how the mtns need to share their snow with the rest of us! That’s what I’ve been saying about the west and the winters they’ve experienced the last few years. Maybe you’re on to something. If OSU can finally beat us maybe be we can finally get a Miller A in the middle of January . Best look over the next 10-14 days we seen in several years. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 8 hours ago, griteater said: 12z Euro is a hit again early next week with the 2nd storm from central LA to W NC One of these days we're going to get the nice pretty 32 surface line in to South Carolina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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