Mid to Long Term Discussion 2021

[jburns]

Let’s hope for a better year for weather and virtually everything else.

[BullCityWx]

No storm at day 9 on this run of the GFS. 

[buckeyefan1]

19 minutes ago, jburns said:

Let’s hope for a better year for weather and virtually everything else.

Indeed

12 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

No storm at day 9 on this run of the GFS. 

Toss it  

[BornAgain13]

0z GFS with Low Pressure near the coast around New Years , with a central/Eastern NC , Southern VA snowstorm.

[wncsnow]

Well today's Euro is pretty bad... 

[NorthHillsWx]

Piece of southern stream energy looks interesting a few days after New Years. In this run the phase occurs about 12 hours too late for widespread snow in the south, but it’s very close 

[FLweather]

27 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Piece of southern stream energy looks interesting a few days after New Years. In this run the phase occurs about 12 hours too late for widespread snow in the south, but it’s very close 

I was eyeballing it. 

Maybe 2 chances.

 

Again Mr Burns. Kind of early.

 

Jk.

 

 

[FLweather]

 

[jburns]

1 hour ago, FLweather said:

I was eyeballing it. 

Maybe 2 chances.

 

Again Mr Burns. Kind of early.

 

Jk.

 

 

Not early at all.  While you were eyeballing it did you happen to look at the date?

 

1 hour ago, FLweather said:

 

I like consistency.

[BullCityWx]

2 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Piece of southern stream energy looks interesting a few days after New Years. In this run the phase occurs about 12 hours too late for widespread snow in the south, but it’s very close 

Euro Control run did what you thought this might do and buried Hampton Roads and NE NC. I don’t think much made it west of Burlington if it even made it there.

[griteater]

The GFS keeps trying with the storm in early Jan

[griteater]

Canadian has the same setup as the GFS, but after the wave digs in TX, it gets squashed/weakened as it moves east so there is no storm east of TX/LA

[CaryWx]

Have a good feeling about this set up.  Not sure where but good for somebody outside the mtns

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

Let’s just enjoy this fantasy for the moment.

[Wow]

it's a 'players are on the field' time right now.  let's just see how they play.

[wncsnow]

So far on most of the models, they are playing like the New York Jets

[Wow]

17 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

So far on most of the models, they are playing like the New York Jets

Then one of them will accidently win soon enough

[wncsnow]

1 hour ago, Wow said:

Then one of them will accidently win soon enough

Not until we lose 13 straight first 

[msuwx]

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

Not until we lose 13 straight first 

I think we’ve lost about 37 straight....

[Grayman]

I fully believe I will go winless in South central NC. I think the NW  NC will eventually get a hit. Does that mean I get the first winter pick for 2021. 12z Euro no go.

[JoshM]

This is what happens when all the players are on the field in the southeast.

 

[BullCityWx]

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

[NorthHillsWx]

41 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

Last 2 winters probably had something to do with it...

[GunBlade]

13 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Last 2 winters probably had something to do with it...

Yea living in the SE is like the free beer tomorrow sign.  You go back the next day but it’s still free beer tomorrow.  Except we have to wait years....

[magpiemaniac]

All our players on the field were ejected and they’re ineligible for the first half of the next game.

[JoshM]

46 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

All our players on the field were ejected and they’re ineligible for the first half of the next game.

No, we settled for a field goal...

 

 

[Grayman]

3 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

I just don’t really see a lot to be optimistic about. The ensembles or the operational models look meh and we have been burned so many times. I just don’t see how anybody can be jacked up this far out 

[cbmclean]

3 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

The Atlantic High Latitudes are looking better than years past that is true.  But for the foreseeable future the guidance suggest that the Pacific will vary between "Meh" at best to "Ugly" at worst.  In addition; the relative warmth in our normal source regions (northern Canada) means that there won't be much cold to work with in general.

[buckeyefan1]

4 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

Me neither. Maybe they’re trying reverse psychology   

[RT1980]

6 hours ago, BullCityWx said:

I swear I don’t understand the pessimism. 

I don’t think it’s intentionally being pessimistic, more along the lines of not being mentally let down.  The stars, moons and planets seem to have to be perfectly aligned for what most want ( a historic storm). If expectations are lowered and model hugging doesn’t occur then we may be surprised by late March.  Who knows?