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Dec 29-Jan 2 potential storm event


Brian D
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8 hours ago, McHenrySnow said:

No one actually thinks the GFS has it locked in. 

He was showing a pretty distinct trend in a weather model for a mid-range storm. Worth noting it went west 5 times successively, instead of one run way east, then one way south, etc.

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At this juncture, as long as the snow isn't suggested to fall in msp, I could honestly not care less about the westward trend continuing for another day. In fact, it might be a good thing. Rather have it like this than our dumb asses locking a storm in five days out only for it to trend back to Ohio again or something. We always knew we were gonna have to fight for this one tooth and nail so let's show some spirit

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20 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:

At this juncture, as long as the snow isn't suggested to fall in msp, I could honestly not care less about the westward trend continuing for another day. In fact, it might be a good thing. Rather have it like this than our dumb asses locking a storm in five days out only for it to trend back to Ohio again or something. We always knew we were gonna have to fight for this one tooth and nail so let's show some spirit

Yeah the UKMET not on board with a closed low riding due north so weaker, SE, and OV not off the table

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26 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Tue/Wed wave continues to trend south on most guidance.

Decent snows into the LOT CWA now.


.

If your Chicago, do you want the Tuesday Wednesday wave to trend south though?  Do we hedge our bets with the first wave?  Or hope for the main event to pan out?  (In a perfect world we would have both)

 

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1 hour ago, ChiTownSnow said:

If your Chicago, do you want the Tuesday Wednesday wave to trend south though?  Do we hedge our bets with the first wave?  Or hope for the main event to pan out?  (In a perfect world we would have both)

 

It doesn't hurt to have the lead wave trend south in this case.

Definitely fully in play for both events still.

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2 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Pretty poor model agreement on the details with wave 1, including all-important thermal profiles.

I'd disagree overall.

Fairly solid agreement on a swath of at least 3-6" across portions of IA/WI/IL/MI.

South end of it, yea still a question. Will depend on how strong WAA is, with this wave lacking any significant SLP.

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