Hoosier Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Secondary low deepens rapidly... over 20 mb in 18 hrs on the Euro. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Euro definitely took a big step towards GEM but like hawkeye stated, it wraps it up later and the front end hit isn't as aggressive as GEM. Chicago area could luck out on this one esp with secondary low development. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Ride the gfs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
purduewx80 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Congrats, Plains, North Woods and Appalachians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Congrats, Plains, North Woods and Appalachians. Too soon.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Eastern Ohio Valley again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 The year of the Cleveland Crushers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 GEM throws another new scenario on the table.Lead wave ejects out as a glorified overrunning/frontal event, followed by a delayed ejection of the 2nd wave not until Thur/Fri, as a very wrapped up/occluded system...over DSM by Fri morning.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Para GFS.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Man Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 What is snow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Seasonal snow totals for ORD <15" by Jan.15th looking money. Bets on <20" by Feb.15th? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 FWIW, there is definitely still potential with this one but given the reoccurring seasonal qualifiers of a total lack of antecedent deep cold and requiring a well timed exotic phase to deliver deformation snows, makes it hard to bite too hard on the blockbuster scenario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 The models are certainly seeing the possibility of a robust southern wave cutting north somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Euro finally flipped. Cuts a 998mb SLP up to DTW. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 The question now is whether or not we can extract a locally viable solution, or if the models keep evolving into a whole different direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: Euro finally flipped. Cuts a 998mb SLP up to DTW. Looking...good?!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 1 minute ago, Malacka11 said: The question now is whether or not we can extract a locally viable solution, or if the models keep evolving into a whole different direction. Don't get too invested yet. 5-6 days is a lifetime to see changes in track. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Depicts a double-barreled rainer for Ohio...toss 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Looking...good?!? Rainer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Just now, Hoosier said: Don't get too invested yet. 5-6 days is a lifetime to see changes in track. That's the down side. The lead wave still has snow potential, but this second potentially main wave is now later on. Good news is that most of the players should be on land by Monday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 I'm just glad that for once we have more than a wild goose chase to track. Cherish it while you can guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 As I suspected a few days ago re my post. Too many moving parts for complete model consensus without proper sampling which won't be until Monday-Tuesday. The H5 look would support further southward adjustments but it all depends on timing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 The initial wave of snow appears to be aimed at northern Iowa, with just a bit here followed by mix and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 12/31/84 redux incoming. https://wgntv.com/weather/weather-blog/december-1984s-new-years-eve-snow/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 32 minutes ago, Malacka11 said: I'm just glad that for once we have more than a wild goose chase to track. Cherish it while you can guys Whether we call it the main or secondary system, I can make good arguments for it missing west or east of us. Maybe that's a good sign as it reflects that we are solidly in the envelope. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Whether we call it the main or secondary system, I can make good arguments for it missing west or east of us. Maybe that's a good sign as it reflects that we are solidly in the envelope.To your point, here are the low locations on Wednesday and Thursday night into Friday for the 12z EPS, followed by individual member total snowfall. Good support for a weaker primary and a stronger secondary, so I agree that we're in the envelope. Unfortunately it's another pretty much thread the needle setup. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Nice to see euro on board with robust secondary low development. But I'm feeling that the first wave will miss me to west with snow and second wave east. Sounds about right. Obviously it's early and track is far from locked in but that's typical luck for my area. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 29 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said: To your point, here are the low locations on Wednesday and Thursday night into Friday for the 12z EPS, followed by individual member total snowfall. Good support for a weaker primary and a stronger secondary, so I agree that we're in the envelope. Unfortunately it's another pretty much thread the needle setup. Sent from my SM-G965U using Tapatalk A miss west or east is on the table, but I think I'm a little more concerned about a deeper/western track (yes it goes against the trends that we have often seen in recent years). Ridging is pretty robust in the east and this type of upper level look with such a robust southern wave scares me. Would be nice if the system behind it could act as a bit of a kicker to limit how far west our system comes. Of course this assumes that the upper level pattern actually ends up looking like this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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