Wonderdog Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, Chris78 said: I would of thought the surface outcome would of been better with this look. GREAT look!! Do you think that the H5 look on the 14th has more potential? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: the para looks awful for next week. Thank goodness the GFS is still the main model Doesn't phase, so it's sloppy. Para has consistently showed a more sheared outcome vs. Op GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 5, 2021 Author Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Wonderdog said: Do you think that the H5 look on the 14th has more potential? I like the h5 look at 222 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 GGEM says no to next week. If the GGEM cant even give us snow smh. Looks terrible at 500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Just now, yoda said: I like the h5 look at 222 its amazing how every storm is doing whatever little thing it can to make sure we miss snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 There are timing differences showing with the gfs. Pretty big ones for two runs 6 hours apart. First with the ne and the late week system and then for next week. Next week has really slowed. This makes me think that we can expect big changes run to run for a while now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 "Right where we want it this far out" will more likely work for the January 12th than the 8th. The blocking around and leading up to January 8th is simply too much of a good thing. However, it relaxes some, and the models all seem to show a currently suppressed storm on the 12th. Based on past experience, I think this will shift NW. I think NW shifts will be real with this one. Our big snows usually come after a relaxation in the block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: "Right where we want it this far out" will more likely work for the January 12th than the 8th. The blocking around and leading up to January 8th is simply too much of a good thing. However, it relaxes some, and the models all seem to show a currently suppressed storm on the 12th. Based on past experience, I think this will shift NW. I think NW shifts will be real with this one. Our big snows usually come after a relaxation in the block. thanks psu 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, Ji said: the differences between 12z and 6z for the 15th storm You need two images in order to compare runs 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 As per a request... 1 1 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 its time to get out my annual reminder We are too North for southern Sliders We are too South for Miller B's We are too east for clippers We are too West for coastal scrapers 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 The pattern holds promise for sure, but hard to get invested or excited about anything right now when there is literally nothing showing up on the models. And when one even hints at something, the others say no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You need two images in order to compare runs i was too lazy but Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 12 minutes ago, Ji said: GGEM says no to next week. If the GGEM cant even give us snow smh. Looks terrible at 500 Yea. It's says what storm?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Chris78 said: Yea. It's says what storm?? GGEM has given us digital snow in some of the worst patterns imaginable lol....so if that model cant give us snow....yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 16 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: "Right where we want it this far out" will more likely work for the January 12th than the 8th. The blocking around and leading up to January 8th is simply too much of a good thing. However, it relaxes some, and the models all seem to show a currently suppressed storm on the 12th. Based on past experience, I think this will shift NW. I think NW shifts will be real with this one. Our big snows usually come after a relaxation in the block. Saw this on Twitter... 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 16 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: Do you think that the H5 look on the 14th has more potential? I'm sure it will look differnt in 6 hours because there are vorts everywhere . I counted atleast 6 vorts on the map I posted lol. My takeaway is that their are plenty of opportunities starting next week. Get your sleep this week lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: GGEM has given us digital snow in some of the worst patterns imaginable lol....so if that model cant give us snow....yikes Boom! Nice!! Mark that one off that bingo square! What was that like 3 minutes or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Scraff said: Boom! Nice!! Mark that one off that bingo square! What was that like 3 minutes or something? That one should have been the free space... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 GEFS looking like 2018. Nice hit for VA/NC border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 My wife, who cares none for weather, actually had a dream last night where her and I were prepping for a big snowstorm and I was talking about how the MJO wasn't lined up right and we were waiting for the Euro to run for new maps to help with our preps. 2 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 14 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GEFS looking like 2018. Nice hit for VA/NC border. for friday or next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 The GFS finally resolved not having the SER now its the only model that next Wed-Fri wants to pull a pre torch ahead of the PV drop...it'll end up wrong on that too 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, Ji said: for friday or next week? Sorry, for Friday. GEFS has a few decent hits for next week but generally favors suppressed/OTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 34 minutes ago, Ji said: its time to get out my annual reminder We are too North for southern Sliders We are too South for Miller B's We are too east for clippers We are too West for coastal scrapers We are just right for Miller A's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Sorry, for Friday. GEFS has a few decent hits for next week but generally favors suppressed/OTS. I counted 6 that look acceptable. Not as good as the 6z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, snowmagnet said: We are just right for Miller A's yes...which are the least likely of those options Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, CAPE said: I counted 6 that look acceptable. Not as good as the 6z run. One monster in there, too. Weenie in me says its that one which turns out correct. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: One monster in there, too. Weenie in me says its that one which turns out correct. Yeah that's the rare one that would make pretty much everyone happy. Has snow for the whole state of MD and almost all of VA. Lets do it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, Ji said: yes...which are the least likely of those options But the one most likely to produce a major storm. It's always threading the needle around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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