H2O Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Oh it will. And I’ll be raining while PSU gets 30” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Nice rainstorm on the 12th...more coal for Jis stocking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 GFS track is perfect, right? Don't these things always shift north? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Para is a very nice hit from the VA/MD border and south. All good trends at 12z in my eyes so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said: GFS track is perfect, right? Don't these things always shift north? LOL. Yes.. usually after they get snow in the south then it gets pulled NW and gets the folks up north! DC Snow Hole! I think we know this timeframe has potential - do we capitalize? Does anyone? We just have to wait and see how the actual outcome evolves! But waiting is the hardest part! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Yes.. usually after they get snow in the south then it gets pulled NW and gets the folks up north! DC Snow Hole! I think we know this timeframe has potential - do we capitalize? Does anyone? We just have to wait and see how the actual outcome evolves! But waiting is the hardest part! I'm just glad we have something to track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 5 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Nice rainstorm on the 12th...more coal for Jis stocking Today, it's a rainstorm. . Get off the ledge! That's what you taught me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 7 minutes ago, LP08 said: Para is a very nice hit from the VA/MD border and south. All good trends at 12z in my eyes so far. where are you getting the 12z para? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, Wonderdog said: Today, it's a rainstorm. . Get off the ledge! That's what you taught me. I’m good. Just thinking Ji would see it and cliff dive. Truth is things look better than they have since I can remember. I may get use out of those off road tires that I didn’t need other than they look cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, ryanconway63 said: where are you getting the 12z para? Pivotal 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 GGEM ticked south from 0z but still snows on VA. I’m getting fairly interested in the 11/12th period. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Pivotal Well we know where the pummeling wont be lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Pivotal 7” for me and flurries for @mappy. Seems legit 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Looks like all 12z guidance has bumped south a bit. Probably not a bad place to 5/6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, LP08 said: Pivotal This storm is reminding me of the one in early December 2018 with the sharp cut off to the north. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Well we know where the pummeling wont be lol. The Bay is due. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, Chris78 said: Looks like all 12z guidance has bumped south a bit. Probably not a bad place to 5/6 days out. More members with southern tracks on the GEFS. Still some good tracks too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 I'm happy with the current track. It probably won't happen but would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 7” for me and flurries for @mappy. Seems legit Ha yeah that’s quite the snow hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: More members with southern tracks on the GEFS. Still some good tracks too. This is your storm. The CAPE Crusader storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Locking in the 12z para. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 23 minutes ago, CAPE said: Well we know where the pummeling wont be lol. yea, I'll go ahead and take the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 It would be pretty remarkable if this solution holds for 6 days. My guess is it ends up more south, north, east or west but not right where it is now. I've learned this from reading experts like Jays Wintry Mix and JayH on twitter and Ji on here. Those three dudes know their stuff 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 All Globals are showing at least something moderate next weekend , depending on location... even the UKMet joined in... wonder what the euro will do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Gefs looks good for NC and Southern Virginia from what I have seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Gefs looks good for NC and Southern Virginia from what I have seenThe north trend does not apply if it helps us 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, WhiteoutMD said: Not showing at the surface but with that pass the precip would be more north and west I would imagine I like it at this point You should definitely ignore precip output on operationals past 100 hours. Frankly even inside that you’re better off applying common sense physics. Once in range meso’s can help pin down details on the banding. That said the op GFS is a sloppy phase and that’s part of why the ragged unhealthy precip at our latitude. You also won’t get as big a WAA shield to the north when there isn’t as much cold. You need cold to force the warm air to lift. Not enough depth of cold and the warm air just moves the cold and you don’t get the same fgen and VVs. That’s another reason for the spring storm type precip representation. Now the para GFS fits your description. It phases at our latitude clean. It captures and pulls the surface low and tucks it in just off Ocean City. That run is doing the typical not expansive enough CCB representation thing. That Para run would adjust to an area wide MECS if it actually verified like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 11 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Gefs looks good for NC and Southern Virginia from what I have seen That’s wonderful news 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 13 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Gefs looks good for NC and Southern Virginia from what I have seen 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Passing along from @mitchnick that the Ukie is a solid hit for Friday. Especially n/w. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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