psuhoffman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ji said: I remember the Christmas Eve euro run. I think it came out at 7pm back then lol but it gave Richmond 1-2 feet. Dt was going nuts . Yup only ran once a day, 12z, and didn’t come out until 7pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, Ji said: I remember the Christmas Eve euro run. I think it came out at 7pm back then lol but it gave Richmond 1-2 feet. Dt was going nuts . Please don’t ban me. Lol... The model lead up before this was pretty epic. A damn shame. Do you remember me texting you on AIM the night before the storm after the ETA went east? Think my messanger name was b35jnelley but idk haha. Don’t ask me why I remember that this storm is very nostalgic for me it was when I first got into wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 icon is tragic for the DC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 18z GFS Para is hillarious Jan 9 jan 12 jan 14 jan 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 no matter the track---the GFS simply will not give us snow for the Jan 8 event. Infuriating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 GFS says SW VA is the place to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 CMC pops a 1040 high out of nowhere 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Just now, Prestige Worldwide said: GFS says SW VA is the place to be seems like everywhere is the place to be for that event except DC/NOVA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Para a bit further north then little brother 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: good grief--that snowhole over PSU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2021 Author Share Posted January 2, 2021 Looks like 00z CMC is going to miss south of us for right now for the 8th... fine by me. Gets crushed because of what happens in NE Canada at h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Looks like 00z CMC is going to miss south of us for right now for the 8th... fine by me. Gets crushed because of what happens in NE Canada at h5 Dramatically colder on the Canadian at the surface as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 You guys are chasing things that are "fantasy". Just go outside and weather will be happening. Stop with the digital fantasy snowsSent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 wtf is the Gfs doing? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 25 minutes ago, Ji said: CMC pops a 1040 high out of nowhere Actually I should not have laughed a 1040 high to our north is exactly what we need and in the new pattern coming, hopefully that is what we will get a 1040 high with cold air coming from our cold source region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2021 Author Share Posted January 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, Ji said: wtf is the Gfs doing? It's trolling you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralVaNATS Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 wtf is the Gfs doing? It's doing the exact thing it needs to be doing. Screwing the entire east coast and CONUS Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 GFS had a New Years resolution to give up on blocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 42 minutes ago, Ji said: wtf is the Gfs doing? Nothing to worry about Check the para Way different Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 Pretty decent cluster for 7 days out. I'll be away on vacation until the 13th (go figure), but hopefully this storm can be willed into favoring a fair bit of the subforum. Not a terrible track, and it seems like some of the Ops/Ens want to deliver on that "gravy" as was mentioned earlier by PSU and others. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2021 Author Share Posted January 2, 2021 Euro has the SLP for the 8th... but it's a runner up the Delmarva and most if us are rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 4 hours ago, MJO812 said: Nothing to worry about Check the para Way different Euro op breaks down the NAO also rather abruptly. Replaces it with more of a WAR look. Might not be a transient displacement though....not quite sure yet. Could the SWE somehow be having the reverse effect of what we hoped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
howrdcounty snow Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 curious Anthony Masiello @antmasiello Replying to @antmasiello The SSW is far-reaching and affects every other thing you hear about in medium range forecasting. It's, again, like the ENSO of subseasonal forecasting. It reshapes the playing field in which the synoptic scale features evolve within. were all hoping that, as a result of SSW, cold and snow will be the end result of this paradigm going on in our atmosphere, except..... dec30 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Euro op breaks down the NAO also rather abruptly. Replaces it with more of a WAR look. Might not be a transient displacement though....not quite sure yet. Could the SWE somehow be having the reverse effect of what we hoped? EPS looks fine to me. There could be a relaxation, but pac improves. Rememver our pattern change wasn’t until after this potential event. This would just be icing on the cake. Still forever to go. I’d favor maybe the southeast and mid Atlantic right now. Think euro OP didn’t have a ton of support who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
howrdcounty snow Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 19 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: EPS looks fine to me. There could be a relaxation, but pac improves. Rememver our pattern change wasn’t until after this potential event. This would just be icing on the cake. Still forever to go. I’d favor maybe the southeast and mid Atlantic right now. Think euro OP didn’t have a ton of support who knows and the rest of the GFS run is rain-an inland runner and a cold front.- and that takes us to the 18th. I'm realistic about our snow chances regardless. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 16 minutes ago, howrdcounty snow said: and the rest of the GFS run is rain-an inland runner and a cold front.- and that takes us to the 18th. I'm realistic about our snow chances regardless. 6z para is a different story in the LR for now. I would never look at the OP gfs. Idk why but it seems a lot of excitement on wx forums doesn’t start until the LR gfs shows a hit, but it’s a horrific model. Stick to the ensembles. Not telling you to be unrealistic but we need some more patience. If we get to feb without a few inches yeah maybe start to get concerned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 The hell is going on in here? Late night weenie takeover? Led by Ji panic? 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2021 Author Share Posted January 2, 2021 06z GFS has a SE VA/NE NC special next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 2, 2021 Share Posted January 2, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: The hell is going on in here? Late night weenie takeover? Led by Ji panic? I pop in this morning after good runs yesterday and I'm like WTF happened overnight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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