stormtracker Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 27 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Haven't you heard the pattern is starting to break down I’ve been checking in every other day. So all I hear is the pattern is great and 1996, 2010 redux. Glad i didnt start on the days it was breaking down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 25 minutes ago, poolz1 said: My wife and I went to Cartagena in Feb last year...right before the shit hit the fan. Beautiful country....great people/culture/food. We loved it so much we discusses another trip there this winter. Obviously that idea got put on the back burner quick. Not gonna happen anytime in the near future but no doubt we will go back at some point. You definitely gotta go back. Been way too many times to count. I think I might qualify for Colombia citizenship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 41 minutes ago, Yeoman said: you couldn't make a better climo map if you tried.. This is a little better than climo & the amounts have increased a decent a amount over what they showed a few days ago. It is trending the right way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 WB 18Z 3K NAM is throwing down light frozen Sunday am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: Somewhere to consider.... Aomori City Well, you can build plenty of them in Aomori City in Japan, which is the snowiest city in the world. Aomori City receives a whopping 26 feet of snowfall on an average every year. He would be miserable. He loves the chase. You can’t chase something if it happens everyday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: He would be miserable. He loves the chase. You can’t chase something if it happens everyday. Probably true...as I get older I enjoy tracking much more than shoveling! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: Somewhere to consider.... Aomori City Well, you can build plenty of them in Aomori City in Japan, which is the snowiest city in the world. Aomori City receives a whopping 26 feet of snowfall on an average every year. I had to Google Aomori city. The pics from that place are outrageous: 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 He would be miserable. He loves the chase. You can’t chase something if it happens everyday. 80% of my love of snow has becomeDigital unfortunately. I used to enjoy it more when I was a kid and no models or radars. Usually I’m miserable during the event because it feels like it’s ending or it’s never as good as the modelHype or its not snowing as hard as i want. I do love heavy snow falling though. Prob top 5 favorite thing of my life. There is also a huge sense of loss when it’s over. I hate seeing the sun out and snow plows and dripping crap. Snow says are always stressful for me. But nothing like a great model run 3 days out. But it’s torture knowing the next run won’t be as good This is not a good hobby for me. 7 4 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: I had to Google Aomori city. The pics from that place are outrageous: That top pic can't be real. Perfect plow job cut in the snow? I like the no salt on the road, no dirt exhaust on the snow pile. Surreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: That top pic can't be real. Perfect plow job cut in the snow? I like the no salt on the road, no dirt exhaust on the snow pile. Surreal. I think Its real. Nuts. But real: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: I think Its real. Nuts. But real: Shame the snow is hardly sticking to the roads. But on the grass it's a different story 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 The 1003mb low over MN at 144hrs on the 06z GFS is now a 1037mb high on the 18z run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 10 minutes ago, Ji said: 80% of my love of snow has become Digital unfortunately. I used to enjoy it more when I was a kid and no models or radars. Usually I’m miserable during the event because it feels like it’s ending or it’s never as good as the model Hype or its not snowing as hard as i want. I do love heavy snow falling though. Prob top 5 favorite thing of my life. There is also a huge sense of loss when it’s over. I hate seeing the sun out and snow plows and dripping crap. Snow says are always stressful for me. But nothing like a great model run 3 days out. But it’s torture knowing the next run won’t be as good This is not a good hobby for me . Interesting I wonder what mattieg thinks 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Shame the snow is hardly sticking to the roads. But on the grass it's a different storyFringed...Sent from my motorola edge plus using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I think Its real. Nuts. But real: Its real lol. Ralph must have been kidding. Snow plow? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, Ji said: 80% of my love of snow has become Digital unfortunately. I used to enjoy it more when I was a kid and no models or radars. Usually I’m miserable during the event because it feels like it’s ending or it’s never as good as the model Hype or its not snowing as hard as i want. I do love heavy snow falling though. Prob top 5 favorite thing of my life. There is also a huge sense of loss when it’s over. I hate seeing the sun out and snow plows and dripping crap. Snow says are always stressful for me. But nothing like a great model run 3 days out. But it’s torture knowing the next run won’t be as good This is not a good hobby for me . This is what cocaine feels like. 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, Amped said: The 1003mb low over MN at 144hrs on the 06z GFS is now a 1037mb high on the 18z run. And the GFS spits out rain with 534dm...in January...nice show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Anyone want to tell me why the 18z GFS is not snow next Friday. Go ahead JI. Lol. For real. Seems like a great track. 540 thickness plenty south of DC. What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, Scraff said: Anyone want to tell me why the 18z GFS is not snow next Friday. Go ahead JI. Lol. For real. Seems like a great track. 540 thickness plenty south of DC. What am I missing? Surface furnace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Surface furnace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 26 minutes ago, Ji said: 80% of my love of snow has become Digital unfortunately. I used to enjoy it more when I was a kid and no models or radars. Usually I’m miserable during the event because it feels like it’s ending or it’s never as good as the model Hype or its not snowing as hard as i want. I do love heavy snow falling though. Prob top 5 favorite thing of my life. There is also a huge sense of loss when it’s over. I hate seeing the sun out and snow plows and dripping crap. Snow says are always stressful for me. But nothing like a great model run 3 days out. But it’s torture knowing the next run won’t be as good This is not a good hobby for me . The Sixth Winter, by Gribbin and Orgill might be a good for you. It’s about 40 years old, dated, but still interesting from that tines perspective. As always .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, Scraff said: Not thinking that will turnout as depicted. It does show what we are up against however with cold. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 7 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Surface furnace. Look at the evolution at 500 mb. It's wonky af. Short answer is it all comes together too late/too far north for us. eta- I meant to reply to @Scraff lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: Look at the evolution at 500 mb. It's wonky af. Short answer is it all comes together too late/too far north for us. Yep, too warm and too late. But, the general message could be as the long range turns to medium range the trend to colder wins out. Also, this may block could manifest itself with areas North of us cashing in first and then a general movement South mid month with a more Mid Atlantic type flavor finally going to a suppressed deep South hit. EPS shows several opportunities near mid month, with active tracking near or after the 8 th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 There used to be a site that you could view the top 10 analogs in detail (upper air, surface, measured snowfall, etc.). Does anyone remember what I am referring too? If so , do you have a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Interesting I wonder what mattieg thinksWho is that?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 11 minutes ago, Scraff said: Anyone want to tell me why the 18z GFS is not snow next Friday. Go ahead JI. Lol. For real. Seems like a great track. 540 thickness plenty south of DC. What am I missing? Because it’s the gfs I guess. Those thicknesses, 850’s solidly below freezing, surface temps near freezing, early January ... no way it rains. I’m looking where I live of course. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Look at the evolution at 500 mb. It's wonky af. Short answer is it all comes together too late/too far north for us. eta- I meant to reply to [mention=3211]Scraff[/mention] lolNo matter what track the gfs shows...it’s not snow lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Because it’s the gfs I guess. Those thicknesses, 850’s solidly below freezing, surface temps near freezing, early January ... no way it rains. I’m looking where I live of course. I’m with you. I think that might eventually turn into a legit threat. GFS just playing catch up perhaps to the changing teleconnections? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Because it’s the gfs I guess. Those thicknesses, 850’s solidly below freezing, surface temps near freezing, early January ... no way it rains. I’m looking where I live of course. Temps are marginal. We know that. It can still work. The problem is h5, h85, and the surface don't congeal in time for our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts