40westwx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 2 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: When I save images off of stormvista it gives me a blank map, well it used to I just tried again and it works lol try right click copy image and then paste Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Don save as an image at all. Just screenshot it, crop it, and save the screenshot. I can see it’s an iPhone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 19 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: 6z eps at end of its run 144hrs I think you posted 0z, but the thing that jumps out to me over the last 48hrs is the western ridging building behind that shortwave and the PAC trough pulling back. That helps force the low under us. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Ji, why are you recycling the last 10 pages of discussion on cold air or lack thereof like that horse isn’t already annihilated to death? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 32 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: 6z eps at end of its run 144hrs Thats a honkable map. But someone will undoubtedly remind everyone here that temps are marginal. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Thats a honkable map. But someone will undoubtedly remind everyone here thare marginal. marginal. Just has to be cold enough at the right time. Last winter we were staring down a gun barrel. Things are looking up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 But will it be cold enough? I’m worried 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 17 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: But will it be cold enough? I’m worried Don't know... It might be fleeting and not very 1996-like? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 48 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I think you posted 0z, but the thing that jumps out to me over the last 48hrs is the western ridging building behind that shortwave and the PAC trough pulling back. That helps force the low under us. The pac trough has crashed in a couple times only to quickly pull back, despite at times guidance indicating it would be a more extended problem. That’s one reason I was never too concerned about the pac ruining things in the longer term. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The pac trough has crashed in a couple times only to quickly pull back, despite at times guidance indicating it would be a more extended problem. That’s one reason I was never too concerned about the pac ruining things in the longer term. With that western ridging, it’s turning into a very classic snow look for us at 500mb. Yes, cold air is an issue @WinterWxLuvr 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 45 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: But will it be cold enough? I’m worried No 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: I think you posted 0z, but the thing that jumps out to me over the last 48hrs is the western ridging building behind that shortwave and the PAC trough pulling back. That helps force the low under us. Yeah woops here is 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 I am becoming interested in the Jan 8th period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 @CAPE will be happy to know the GEFS has a cluster of suppressed Richmond snowstorm solutions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: @CAPE will be happy to know the GEFS has a cluster of suppressed Richmond snowstorm solutions. Yeah I saw that. I like seeing some spread with at least a few southern solutions at range. I think the potential ramps up beginning around the 10th. Not too enthused for anything later next week for my yard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 6z EPS was considerably colder at the end of its run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah I saw that. I like seeing some spread with at least a few southern solutions at range. I think the potential ramps up beginning around the 10th. Not too enthused for anything later next week for my yard. Sometimes flukes happen but with a marginal airmass and that 8th system originating pretty far north to our west, I agree that would be a tough ask for the eastern shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 One seasonal trend I’ve noticed is things tending to trend colder overall. I had snowcover for a week that looked like a torch from long range. That storm was a lakes cutter from 10 days out. Right now I was supposed to be torching and I had a snow sleet mix all day yesterday and awaiting freezing rain now. So far this is not a year where warmer automatically wins on guidance. We are lacking any true arctic air but at least we have that going for us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 18 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Sometimes flukes happen but with a marginal airmass and that 8th system originating pretty far north to our west, I agree that would be a tough ask for the eastern shore. It's not out of the question with that EPS look. It would take a damn near perfect track to get it done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Looking better and better 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 On 12/31/2020 at 8:27 AM, yoda said: @PivotPoint This would be awesome news if we could indeed getting any stretch of +pna. We need some help in that department for our upcoming block Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Looking better and better Once they reverse they stay that way for at least 10 days, however, the event is still unfolding and the entire progression will be cool to watch for implications during the month of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: It's not out of the question with that EPS look. It would take a damn near perfect track to get it done. I doubt it can gain much (if any) latitude once to the east coast and with that h5 pass it’s possible. But the coastal plain needs 2 things to go well. 1. Get the storm to transfer to the coast quick and clean. 2. I say clean because once it does you need it to be a tightly wound system synced up at all levels (unlike the mid dec storm). Need the surface mid and upper levels to come together. No broad diffuse system that takes a while to redevelop off the coast. But if you get those 2 things with the current h5 look I could see a better result for the lowlands. But those are 2 big asks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, frd said: Once they reverse they stay that way for at least 10 days, however, the event is still unfolding and the entire progression will be cool to watch for implications during the month of February. It looks like one of the more impressive events we’ve tracked and given the already pathetic state of the TPV it wouldn’t take much coupling at all to knock it out for the count this winter. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 @poolz1 Ed was one of the first, along with Matt Hugo, calling for a Jan SSWE. This is a rare event as Ed mentions, regarding the 100hPa u winds. As for modeling the Euro seasonal also had a SSWE modeled for Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: It looks like of the more impressive events we’ve tracked and given the already pathetic state of the TPV it wouldn’t take much coupling at all to knock it out for the count this winter. Not saying there is a relationship, but this event is interesting on the heels of the SH SSWE which was remarkable, and I believe long lasting, with an extended period of very deep negatives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 12z ICON looks encouraging at the end of it's run for next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 @frd the gefs did finally fold to the euro on the timing of the wind reversal. To be fair the Euro was originally a couple days too fast but the GFS was over a week too slow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2021 Share Posted January 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, MD Snow said: 12z ICON looks encouraging at the end of it's run for next weekend. Icon has a totally different evolution then Euro. More GFS like. System for the 8th is all northern stream and runs to our north but then it has a wave right on its heels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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