Ralph Wiggum Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 17 minutes ago, CAPE said: Generally agree with your assessment. EPS looks pretty decent at h5. Looking at the individual members there are a handful that have a moderate snow event during that window similar to the op,. Idk, a weakish signal for something day 10? Mean eps has that pesky east-based -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Mean eps has that pesky east-based -NAO. EPS at 360 hours has an awesome Greenland block in the Davis Straights with another incoming +EAMT event. Maybe spur a +PNA . Mid to late Jan. could rock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 minute ago, frd said: EPS at 360 hours has an awesome Greenland block in the Davis Straights with another incoming +EAMT event. Maybe spur a +PNA . Mid to late Jan. could rock. If we could get a simple 2-4 to tide us over that would be swell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Mean eps has that pesky east-based -NAO. Not bad at D10. Gets a lot better after that. Not in love with the Pac look on the mean towards the end of the run. Still suggestive of too much energy dumping/amplifying out west. Better look than the GEFS though. Hopefully we end up in a good place rolling that forward, and the extended GEFS and CFS have the right idea with a more favorable look in the EPO domain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 20 minutes ago, frd said: EPS at 360 hours has an awesome Greenland block in the Davis Straights with another incoming +EAMT event. Maybe spur a +PNA . Mid to late Jan. could rock. Soooo, we're moving on to late Jan now? 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Soooo, we're moving on to late Jan now? Evolving pattern. Patience! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 SPV is MIA at the end of the GEPS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: SPV is MIA at the end of the GEPS run. Thaw!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Thaw!! Don't we need some actual cold before we can have a thaw? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 18z GFS continues the cutter parade. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: 18z GFS continues the cutter parade. All of the cutters are getting the pattern more primed each cutter for our 48'' BECS on January 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, JakkelWx said: All of the cutters are getting the pattern more primed each cutter for our 48'' BECS on January 10th. Can we get just a couple flakes here? A dusting maybe? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 21 minutes ago, CAPE said: 18z GFS continues the cutter parade. That was an ugly run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: That was an ugly run. Not a massive fan of the gefs either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Tomorrow Maybe. Most guidance says I might have to drive south to see a flizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Sign me up for what the euro weeklies are selling 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: That was an ugly run. Extraordinarily so. And the GFS has been on a cutter bender lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Extraordinarily so. And the GFS has been on a cutter bender lately. I know the gfs para is run sort of sporadically but is this para supposed to eventually replace the gfs op? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 32 minutes ago, CAPE said: 18z GFS continues the cutter parade. Hard to be a believer after a run like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 15 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I know the gfs para is run sort of sporadically but is this para supposed to eventually replace the gfs op? Believe so, and apparently it was a bit more consistent with last week's event as well. FWIW it's a good bit less cutteriffic in the LR but then again the GFS seems to have been pretty spot on with the Dec 28 and new years cutters so idk. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 The good news is the GFS isn't usually right. The bad news is it's usually right when it doesn't show snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Gfs and euro handling next weeks cutter differently seemingly impacts entire run. Let’s hope this isn’t a case where the euro caves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Sign me up for what the euro weeklies are selling Apparently the cutter crew doesn’t GAF about the Euro weeklies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, mattie g said: Apparently the cutter crew doesn’t GAF about the Euro weeklies. After the GFS took the Euro weeklies to school last year, I think many are hesitant to jump on them right now until more credibility has been re-established. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Gfs popping something on NYD Coastal scraper verbatim but close . And people punted this timeframe Totally fresh from 18z. Who knew Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Gfs popping something on NYD Coastal scraper verbatim but close . And people punted this timeframe The ICON had a similar idea with a trailing wave following the cutter but it was all rain. Split the difference and you’ve got a storm! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: North Carolina to OC hit Kind of like today's. All about timing. Nice to see though. 18z gfs was pretty brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Cmc may be trying to brew up something d9 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Cmc may be trying to brew up something d9 10 Congrats New Orleans?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 7 minutes ago, jaydreb said: Congrats New Orleans?! Actually looks remarkably close to the 12z euro....just more separation between PJ and STJ on the CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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