thunderman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Gotta post the weenie map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 9 minutes ago, Ji said: man that 1/11 storm looked huge coming out of the Gulf and just poooped on us as it approached our bubble Needed a little bit more confluence with that New England wave, but that was a HECS signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Para has a gulf low at 192 with more confluence then lil brother Gfs by the time it gets up here---it might be mid Feb 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 This was close to the first pure weenie runs of the new pattern. Hopefully euro comes a bit on board tonight 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 maybe now we are starting to see the model fruits of the new pattern 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: maybe now we are starting to see the model fruits of the new pattern and supression 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 GFS is finally getting a clue that the mid month setup is awesome. I am still more worried about squished storms than rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 38 minutes ago, Ji said: pretty good trends tonight. I dont think there will be the overnight panic that some caused last night You’re seriously hilarious sometimes 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 pretty good trends tonight. I dont think there will be the overnight panic that some caused last night 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 59 minutes ago, Ji said: this looks big guys...no way this can screw us right? That looks almost exactly like Jan 23 1966. Not actually good event until you get to I81 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 00z UKIE looks intriguing at 144 on h5 and precip map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, yoda said: 00z UKIE looks intriguing at 144 on h5 and precip map Too many moving parts on the UKMET. Bizarre looking H5 low over lake Huron that seems misplaced. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 Swing and a miss on the 00z Euro for this weekend (Jan 8/9 chance) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Swing and a miss on the 00z Euro for this weekend (Jan 8/9 chance) I was wondering about that. Thanks for the update. Almost expected that to be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Looks suppressed and never makes the turn up the coast. Much different than the other globals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Euro dives the NS down on top and phases but too late. Much colder solution but a close miss SE. get that NE feature to dive in a little further west and phase earlier and we could pull a rabbit out of the hat 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Gulf low looks pretty suppressed to me also later. Can’t see that turning up the coast. So we are left with cold and dry on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 I might be wrong about that gulf low. Lots of time to watch it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 GFS gets on board and the two with better grades bail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 10 minutes ago, RedSky said: GFS gets on board and the two with better grades bail GEFS was pretty suppressed. Op was probably a fluke. Consensus is suppressed. But it’s close enough on all guidance to be well within a normal error at that range. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: Euro dives the NS down on top and phases but too late. Much colder solution but a close miss SE. get that NE feature to dive in a little further west and phase earlier and we could pull a rabbit out of the hat If the Euro has the right idea, that will end up a big event IMO. That was just a sloppy phase. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 30 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: GEFS was pretty suppressed. Op was probably a fluke. Consensus is suppressed. But it’s close enough on all guidance to be well within a normal error at that range. You want the GEFS supprssed at this range. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2021 Author Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If the Euro has the right idea, that will end up a big event IMO. That was just a sloppy phase. Were EPS any better than the OP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Great GEFS run. Lots of SLP clustered over NC/ VA border (north of the mean). Compared to the previous runs looks like it is honing in on a solution: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 0z EPS- 6z GEFS- 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 Looking beyond the 8th...Can’t really ask for a better signal here. Obviously you hope the timing/strength/placement works out, but this is about as good as it gets at this range: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: GEFS was pretty suppressed. Op was probably a fluke. Consensus is suppressed. But it’s close enough on all guidance to be well within a normal error at that range. 6z gefs had a very nice improvement 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 6z GEFS individual ens members. Hard to get everything in the same 6 hour window, but you get the idea. Not bad. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 8 hours ago, Ji said: that would be fun. We deserve it man. Especially Leesburg 04 who announced for the 31st time he is leaving the board with Bob Chill and Mitchnick 32 if you don't start going to bed earlier 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 3, 2021 Share Posted January 3, 2021 6z GFS- Para ends up riding up coast late Friday. NOVA looks to do well according to the run. Don’t know if the ridging out west is where we want it. Maybe someone can comment on that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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