cbmclean Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 46 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: And as i look out big fluffy flakes are falling. What is happening lol bootleg snowflakes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Been tailgating for the WV / Army game and decided to check in. 1 page to catch up is all I needed to see. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 18 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: EPS has a signal for coastal storms again around the 11/12th and then again around the 14th. EPS has been signaling the 11/12th for a few days now....definitely a time to watch. Fun sht coming up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 The signal from mid January on is hawt. I haven't been this excited since 2010. 12 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Not super cold, but its in the right place, and at the right time of the winter. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 And we don't need super cold with the advertised h5 pattern. Lookin' good! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 6 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not super cold, but its in the right place, and at the right time of the winter. Nice little coastal precip signature too! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 That setup on the EPS is the kind of look you get with one storm happening and Ji looking for the next one only 5 days down the road. 2 1 5 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 New weeklies are fantastic through the end of Jan...basically a continuation of what we see on the ens now. 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 1 minute ago, poolz1 said: New weeklies are fantastic through the end of Jan...basically a continuation of what we see on the ens now. Yeah looks good through Jan, fwiw ofc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Weenie panel of the run. 6 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Yeah looks good through Jan, fwiw ofc. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: Weenie panel of the run. That's looks alot like your avatar lol 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 @CAPE I know it gets super extra weenie at the end but this is only 8 days away and we would have killed for this look at any point the past few years. This has been incredibly consistent and now it’s moving into the “it’s really happening” range. That collapse of the TPV in December plus the way two attempts to reconsolidate the TPV near Greenland were immediately deflected along with the persistent N Atlantic Ridge had me more confident then normal in the fantasy land block evolution but it’s still reinsuring to see it moving into the medium range now. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Of course HH gfs coming out like molasses. Happy New Year’s Eve, gfs must be drunk 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 I'm not expecting consistent double digit snowfalls, but this should at least get almost everyone to climo if the pattern holds. Hell, after the past two winters climo will feel great. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 8 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: That setup on the EPS is the kind of look you get with one storm happening and Ji looking for the next one only 5 days down the road. Why not the pattern matches 2010 when we did get 4 significant snows in 12 days. Obviously that was a lucky maxing of potential but it’s not impossible. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'm not expecting consistent double digit snowfalls, but this should at least get almost everyone to climo if the pattern holds. Hell, after the past two winters climo will feel great. Dude I just want to see snow covering the ground a time or 2, without immediately getting washed away by rain. My bar is sooo low. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 7 minutes ago, CAPE said: Weenie panel of the run. I would prefer that N pac trough tucked in closer to AK to get more ridge into the southwest but I’m being really picky. But that look there “could” be a miller B pattern. Please don’t think I’m saying it’s not good just a matter of good v very good here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I would prefer that N pac trough tucked in closer to AK to get more ridge into the southwest but I’m being really picky. But that look there “could” be a miller B pattern. Please don’t think I’m saying it’s not good just a matter of good v very good here. Well that's the trend beyond mid month. Still a damn good look for a super LR mean. We can really be Debs and bring up the SE ridge that pops towards Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: I would prefer that N pac trough tucked in closer to AK to get more ridge into the southwest but I’m being really picky. But that look there “could” be a miller B pattern. Please don’t think I’m saying it’s not good just a matter of good v very good here. You’re the Ji of upper level patterns 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: Why not the pattern matches 2010 when we did get 4 significant snows in 12 days. Obviously that was a lucky maxing of potential but it’s not impossible. That's for sure. Part of my snark was in reference to that map resembling our epic run in 2010. Obviously, capitalizing on every single wave phase we had is unlikely, but the recipe for multiple storms and/or a big Kahuna is raised pretty significantly with the addition of blocking and greater height falls focused off the Mid Atlantic coast with lower height averages over Dixie and the lower Tennessee Valley. The fact it's inside 10 days to the pattern evolution is the best part of this if you're a winter weenie in the east coast 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 @CAPE I’m starting to think that central pac Nina look the Uber long range guidance wants to go to around week 4-5 is just a model figment anyways. It’s been doing that since November weeks 4-5 and Keeps pushing it back. It’s forever stuck at 4 weeks away. Imo it’s the same phenomenon as in 2019 when the NWP continuously wanted to morph the pattern to a canonical modoki nino look as it was losing the forcing signal for whatever was running interference and was relying too heavily on enso at range. It’s been doing it this year (only the opposite way) and I am getting confident it’s not real. And even if it is we get 2 weeks of damn good before that. The good news is no guidance even hints at the NAM state flipping positive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: You’re the Ji of upper level patterns I didn’t mean it that way. We have the look I’m describing day 10-20 on guidance. After that it retrogrades the pac pattern a bit. I’m saying I prefer the look day 10-20 over 20-30...and it’s still good just not AS good. And it might be wrong as long range has been going that way falsely for a month now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 @MillvilleWx how’s your snow looking??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 15 minutes ago, CAPE said: Well that's the trend beyond mid month. Still a damn good look for a super LR mean. We can really be Debs and bring up the SE ridge that pops towards Feb. My deb alarm went off come on dood lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just now, leesburg 04 said: My deb alarm went off come on dood lol You are on a break. Get outta here! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 1 minute ago, leesburg 04 said: My deb alarm went off come on dood lol It's that stupid emoji he used that did it! I kinda despise that thing, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: It's that stupid emoji he used that did it! I kinda despise that thing, lol lol it's one of my faves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 31, 2020 Share Posted December 31, 2020 Just now, psuhoffman said: @MillvilleWx how’s your snow looking??? Pretty meager in Midland proper unfortunately. I provided a mini rant in the Banter thread. I got it out of my system lol A lot of my CWA got historic snowfall though, so I'm 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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