BristowWx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Only 15 days out for those cold anomalies. Day 15 is the new day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Omg cold anomalies...!!! Lol All you do is show 384 hour maps lol 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, Ji said: 30 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Omg cold anomalies...!!! Lol All you do is show 384 hour maps lol That’s not true...sometimes it’s 500 hours 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 That’s not true...sometimes it’s 500 hours That's not even cold to boot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dallen7908 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 In case anyone is hoping that changing to 1991-2020 for the new climatological baseline will help us get cold anomalies next week and later this winter - the shift won't occur until sometime this spring - May? In case anyone is hoping increased cold anomalies due to the new baseline will improve our chances of getting snow ... I have a bridge to sell you 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s not true...sometimes it’s 500 hours That's not even cold to boot Better than warm anomalies. Note also the extensive cold anomalies in Siberia, which is on top of their already frigid averages at this time of year. Residents of Verhoyansk might have to ditch the windbreaker and put on a heavy coat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s not true...sometimes it’s 500 hours That's not even cold to boot Ok have it your way 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 12 minutes ago, Ji said: 13 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That’s not true...sometimes it’s 500 hours That's not even cold to boot Dude just go pet your dog and play your guitar in the basement for the next 3 weeks 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Ok have it your way That's alot of snow over wv 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cbmclean Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 An interesting an informative article about SSW events. https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/stratosphere-major-winter-warming-watch-january-2021-fa/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Colder run for NYD. Closer frozen precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 CMC is an epic ice storm this run in the NW burbs . Yikes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 28 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: CAD starting to show up . Gfs for NYD am . Freezing rain totals . Could be a sneaky mix deal for n+w areas Can’t post Sv maps but cmc looks 10x more impressive. This ice potential may have quietly snuck up on us. Luckily I’m in Philly don’t have to deal with that crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Grasping at straws, but one of the best looking blocks yet on the op gfs in fantasy land. West based. Pac improvements too 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 34 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Can’t post Sv maps but cmc looks 10x more impressive. This ice potential may have quietly snuck up on us. Luckily I’m in Philly don’t have to deal with that crap. CMC keeps me frozen for the duration of the storm (sleet to start then freezing rain). Too bad CMC is a terrible model. I do think it bears watching for the far N&W areas for some frozen to start before flipping to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 16 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Grasping at straws, but one of the best looking blocks yet on the op gfs in fantasy land. West based. Pac improvements too Not seeing that. Step back in pac vs 18z. NAO tries to retrograde to epo at the tail end. So we *maybe* move towards a better PAC at the cost of losing the good Atl side. Chances of having both sides working together are slim this year. Actually its always rather rare...doesn't happen often at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 25 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Grasping at straws, but one of the best looking blocks yet on the op gfs in fantasy land. West based. Pac improvements too I agree Long range looks better on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 0z Euro trying to do something with our Jan 3rd costal but 850s are... pretty toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 0z Euro trying to do something with our Jan 3rd costal but 850s are... pretty toastyI think it has snow for western burbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 0z GFS has a nice little snow event from a trailing wave on the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 The better h5 looks- esp wrt the PAC- are showing up sooner in time the past few runs. Epic Baffin block with a +PNA and trough progressing east, and not at hour 384! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 6z keeps a lot of us wedged in for NYD. Shame it’s not colder or stronger high or something other than cold rain. Still this event has morphed into a different look from a flooding rain north south cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, BristowWx said: 6z keeps a lot of us wedged in for NYD. Shame it’s not colder or stronger high or something other than cold rain. Still this event has morphed into a different look from a flooding rain north south cold front. If nothing else, hopefully the flooding rain part is dead. It would be ridiculous to have a repeat of Xmas eve again, a week later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 hour ago, CAPE said: The better h5 looks- esp wrt the PAC- are showing up sooner in time the past few runs. Epic Baffin block with a +PNA and trough progressing east, and not at hour 384! 0z op didn't agree as much with the 0z ens map above,, but now at 6z it is coming together and much more evident on both. Finally getting nearer in time. Trying to get a link between the nao and pna ridge with a sprinkling of an epo extention bridging across. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: That's 13 days away . We got a CAD threat day 4 and coastal possible day 7. You seem to have that covered. The CAD deal doesn't interest me in the least here lol. I am still mildly interested in Sun-Mon, although the signal on the GEFS for anything significant/frozen has gotten weaker in recent runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 7 hours ago, nj2va said: CMC keeps me frozen for the duration of the storm (sleet to start then freezing rain). Too bad CMC is a terrible model. I do think it bears watching for the far N&W areas for some frozen to start before flipping to rain. lol... didnt @psuhoffman say two days ago that the models were struggling with this time period and they he wouldnt be surprised to see a shift to a colder look for this storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Mt Holly with just a mention of the early next week "potential". For Sunday...An upper-level trough gradually lifts out of the Northeast allowing ridging to arrive from the west. This should result in dry but chilly conditions, however may need to watch trailing southern energy with an offshore surface low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40westwx Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just to demonstrate how much the GFS is struggling with the medium range I have two maps.. Below is the SLP plots from the 6Z run of the GEFS on December 26 (48 hours ago) And here is the SLP plots for the same time period from this mornings run: 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 28, 2020 Share Posted December 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: Mt Holly with just a mention of the early next week "potential". For Sunday...An upper-level trough gradually lifts out of the Northeast allowing ridging to arrive from the west. This should result in dry but chilly conditions, however may need to watch trailing southern energy with an offshore surface low. Is this one of those “ne Maryland pummeled” deals? If so I’m shutting the blinds and turning off the internet LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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