BristowWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 7 minutes ago, chris21 said: There was a flash freeze with the last storm. My temp never got above 32. I just went from SN to ZR...to me a flash freeze is winter warlock blowing over my yard and it’s frozen. We shall see but this is way better than last year when I think it was 65. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 24, 2020 Author Share Posted December 24, 2020 Little better GFS run for frozen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 56 degrees with gusts to 9mph. Rocking and rolling here. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 N. Georgia and E. Tennessee get.more snow than DC on the HRRR. This is absolutely believable and shows how bad our snow climo is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I’m not seeing much evidence of a “flash freeze”. Maybe a 20-25 degree drop over a three hour period. The mountains really ruin it for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 14 minutes ago, BristowWx said: My temp never got above 32. I just went from SN to ZR...to me a flash freeze is winter warlock blowing over my yard and it’s frozen. We shall see but this is way better than last year when I think it was 65. Good point there. I’m in DC and we got up to 35. The CAD holding on until a frontal passage is a much more common way to get a “flash freeze” then this upcoming situation. Have seen a few flash freezes after 60 degree days when I lived near snowshoe but very few in dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 28 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z HRRR really bullish on snow showers throughout the day tomorrow. Gives many dusting-1”. 3k NAM naso much. The 12z HRRR is aggressive enough that it thinks that there will be enough snow cover to radiate on Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 40-41 and soaking rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Winds starting to crank up here ahead of the rain. Definitely gusting over 25. Temp up to 62. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 60F here just got the mower out to mulch up some leaves for the final time this year. No rain yet but closing in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Flash freeze talk should be limited to the mountain areas. We’re not talking some 1 hour drop of 20-30 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 BristowWx, I'm predicting a cartopper for early tomorrow. What say you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Still leaning strongly towards most of the best action being with narrow convective band along the front with the intense linear forcing and weak instability and then the snow showers ahead of the big mid-level vort during the day tomorrow. Post-frontal stuff will probably get shut down early by that enormous mid-level dry slot. It nearly always underperforms. The saving grace here is intense mid-level CAA ( <-20C temps at 700mb ) and good DPVA which allows for a great environment for snow showers. The tropopause height legit drops to 700mb with surface temps near freezing. Hard to find a much better environment for nice little mini-blizzard-like snow showers east of the mountains. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Heavy rain in Gainesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 MRB not reporting precip totals this morning. Strange how that always happens with large events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 13 minutes ago, Wonderdog said: BristowWx, I'm predicting a cartopper for early tomorrow. What say you? Why not..it’s Christmas. HRRRRRR says we are too far NW...that’s a donkey punch in the pills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 If this was a snow radar that would be sort of humorous .34 so far temps still at 43 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 12z GFS looks more robust with the snow squalls. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Breezy overcast. Still almost no rain in Annapolis, as of noon. Agrees with radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 14 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said: Breezy overcast. Still almost no rain in Annapolis, as of noon. Agrees with radar. Doesn't look like we're going to be in the max precipitation area for the first time since July. Kind of a bust here. Doesn't look like we get anything for at least a couple more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 59 minutes ago, wxtrix said: https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/metwatch_mpd_multi.php?md=0874&yr=2020 How nice of WPC to use Christmas colors. This makes the 50 and rain worth it. 3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 35 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: How nice of WPC to use Christmas colors. This makes the 50 and rain worth it. Its a natural law that we have the crappiiest weather imaginable each and every Christmas. Complain about 65F and sunny?? Well then, I give you 50s and flooding rains .... and then I will give you miserable wind and the cold that you needed several hours earlier. Light rain currently. Foggy and gross. Merry Christmas. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Yeah - you all in 81 corridor are getting slammed. Really not much here in balt city yet relatively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 You westerners can over-perform on the heavy rain for a change. I'll take the max on the snow showers tomorrow. 3 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Heaviest rain rates of the day here now. Up to 46 degrees. The remaining patches of snow in the yard are turning into fog. 0.75” so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 58/55 Light Rain 0.60 and counting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Haven’t had a chance to look into this one... I see the severe chances, just started gentle raining here in Gambrills. When are the temps supposed to drop? Any chance of squalls after frontal passage? Tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Where’s the front? Need temps to cool off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Potvinsux Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Over an inch of rain in Snowshoe. Front is about 90 minutes away. Need to get some of this snowpack back! Yesterday vs Today.... 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, H2O said: Where’s the front? Need temps to cool off KY...I’m dreaming of KY right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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