BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: . East of Lake Erie...some models move the band well into the Northtowns while others place it toward Metro Buffalo Friday afternoon. Regardless, the coldest airmass should pass overhead Friday evening and mark the period for the heaviest and most intense lake effect snow, where 2"/hr and thundersnow will be a possibility into Friday night as the band settles a little to the south overnight. As a result, there`s still quite a bit of uncertainty to both the start time and placement of lake effect snow. With concerns noted above, the watch will stand for now until there`s more confidence in timing and placement along with corresponding snow amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Well that's obvious lol Uncertainty for tomorrow too..But it was progged to go into the metro Friday like I said, of course things change it's lake effect.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 Light snow has started here. Band moving quickly north and expanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Nice. Enjoy, Buffalo crew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 22 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That band is consolidating into a pretty thick band. Going to run from the city all the way to Eden. Interesting radar depiction. Almost has the look of a meso low over the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Here we go , about to reorient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 Heavy snow Jeb walk time 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 26 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That band is consolidating into a pretty thick band. Going to run from the city all the way to Eden. The inland portion of the band is on the move north and quick! The past few hours it had the SW orientation along the lake shore but then it was taking that sharp right hand turn into Southern Erie. Looks like that convergence zone that was causing that bend is letting up as the shortwave digs in and is now going to let the band run smack up into the south side of the city. The additional bump from the added moisture I would suspect could blow this band up big time once it’s gets fully aligned down the lake in the next 60-90 minutes... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 3 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Interesting radar depiction. Almost has the look of a meso low over the lake. It’s weird, on the west end of Erie and also south of Huron, you can clearly see radar signals moving nearly due south while the band is oriented SW to NE. Almost perpendicular. Obviously, different levels. It’s surprising that shear isn’t tearing the band apart- but it’s not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 2” per rates 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Heavy snow Jeb walk time Light snow Jeb walk time here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Heavy snow Jeb walk time If I can get into it later this evening I’ll be out on a thundersnow prowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 I know my lake effect 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 This has to be 3” per holy **** 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 51 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Band is lifting north as we speak, a few miles from my house now. The only part that surprises me is how sheared it looks due to high winds. There seems to be a SW going through and it’s affecting the band. I’m not certain this really ever gets it’s act together...seems to be slit if interfering from nearby snow showers out over the Niagara peninsula. Best we might do up here is lake enhancement with the SW passing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 8 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: There seems to be a SW going through and it’s affecting the band. I’m not certain this really ever gets it’s act together...seems to be slit if interfering from nearby snow showers out over the Niagara peninsula. Best we might do up here is lake enhancement with the SW passing A little bit sheared, but that thing is ripping. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=BUF-N0Q-0-24-100-usa-rad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Cmon baby! Almost there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 My wife took this video and forgot to make it horizontal...But check out these rates!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: My wife took this video and forgot to make it horizontal...But check out these rates!!!! That is crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 @Thinksnow18 Highest rates at northern edge of band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: @Thinksnow18 Highest rates at northern edge of band. This band will not get into the north towns late tonight or tomorrow...it’s a lake shore hugger and those never get north of south Buffalo. Enjoy that BW that is sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: This band will not get into the north towns late tonight or tomorrow...it’s a lake shore hugger and those never get north of south Buffalo. Enjoy that BW that is sick. Tomorrow it will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Tomorrow it will. Well until then enjoy that band!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Well until then enjoy that band!!! Heaviest stuff is north of me. West seneca/Orchard Park/Blasdell. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 ...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT NORTHERN WYOMING... NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS...ERIE...NORTHEASTERN CHAUTAUQUA AND GENESEE COUNTIES... At 928 PM EST, A band of lake effect snow producing snow fall rates around one inch per hour is located from near Silver Creek to East Aurora to Attica on the southern edge, and from near Cheektowaga to Akron to Elba on the northern edge. This band of snow will slowly move into the Northtowns before moving back towards the Southtowns late this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Looks like I might barely miss tonight... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 7 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Looks like I might barely miss tonight... Oooph. That stings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 26, 2020 Author Share Posted December 26, 2020 Devin went chasing said 4-5" in west seneca/Op area. About 2-3" so far of new snow here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 So close... Just can’t get in! Still getting some good 1.5”/hr bursts on the edges of the band. It’s gotta be cranking inside it. Winds are really starting to howl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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