BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 Feels fantastic with the sun out today, around 40 and sunny here. It really makes my body feel better to see the sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Feels fantastic with the sun out today, around 40 and sunny here. It really makes my body feel better to see the sun. How are you feeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 2 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: How are you feeling? Much better, I decided to take the meds for now ( No benzos) because the symptoms were so bad. Going to see how I feel in a few weeks and if its all good start to slowly ease off of them and hopefully back to myself. Still getting dizzy/light headed episodes and it seems the nighttime makes it much worse. When I wake up from sleep it's when I feel the worse. Also cutting my caffeine intake way down and never taking preworkout again. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Much better, I decided to take the meds for now ( No benzos) because the symptoms were so bad. Going to see how I feel in a few weeks and if its all good start to slowly ease off of them and hopefully back to myself. Still getting dizzy/light headed episodes and it seems the nighttime makes it much worse. When I wake up from sleep it's when I feel the worse. Also cutting my caffeine intake way down and never taking preworkout again. Great to hear and caffeine is such a culprit. If I have too much coffee, I get palpitations that night. Since I stopped drinking coffee, essentially eliminating caffeine intake, palpitations disappear. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Yes, caffeine is a dangerous drug that I am shocked is so clearly accepted in society. As an individual who has a great interest in mental health (especially with my own OCD), I have done some research on chemicals and their effects on the body. Caffeine is a chemical produced by plants to mess up and confuse the nervous system of predators (consumers) that would otherwise eat them. So what do humans do? We put those nervous system-toxins INTO our bodies! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 @rochesterdave, this is for us.... LOL... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Pretty weak sauce when we are looking at tug only get 6"-8".... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 The first part of the event is semi short lived due to another northern stream disturbance..With that being said Globals tend to underestimate precipitation amounts from lake effect..Or it can just be weak in nature lol We'll have to wait for SR guidance to get a better view.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: The first part of the event is semi short lived due to another northern stream disturbance..With that being said Globals tend to underestimate precipitation amounts from lake effect..Or it can just be weak in nature lol We'll have to wait for SR guidance to get a better view.. They always underestimate. No global was showing Buffalo getting 20"+ for the Christmas event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 European has a similar scenario with a brief period of LES Sunday before another clipper Sunday night which sends the band north before sinking back south as the system moves east.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Whew...I sure hope they're underdoing our dusting for the next event....and we get half an inch. Gotta play with the big dogs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Parade of disturbances.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 I'm thinking the HRRR is probably too far south with band placement..It was with the dec 26th event and it's the southern outlier at the moment..It does look decent for whoever gets hit though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I'm thinking the HRRR is probably too far south with band placement..It was with the dec 26th event and it's the southern outlier at the moment..It does look decent for whoever gets hit though.. Taking the under wolf. max of 11" near KBUF. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 38 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: They always underestimate. No global was showing Buffalo getting 20"+ for the Christmas event. I think the metro, actually most of Erie county gets a good shot of snow Sunday through Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Taking the under wolf. max of 11" near KBUF. Scary thing is it is within range, but yeah it’s out to lunch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 First wave of synoptic snow activity pushing through the eastern Lake Ontario this afternoon. In wake of this activity, starting to see the first signs of activity developing over Lake Erie ahead of a shortwave trough digging across southern Ontario. The forcing and some additional moisture from the trough along with 850 mb temperatures lowering to near -10c will be enough to continue to see a lake response east and northeast of the lakes through tonight. Setup is a bit better off Lake Ontario where snowfall amounts could reach 3 inches, but likely remain under 2 inch off Lake Erie with lower inversion heights and less moisture. && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... A lake response will continue into Tuesday off of both lakes as a shortwave trough approaches from the Upper Great Lakes. Westerly winds off of Lake Ontario will initially keep the band over the Tug Hill Tuesday morning. As the trough approaches from the northwest, winds over Lake Ontario will shift to a slightly more west-southwest direction pulling the Lake Ontario band north some for the mid afternoon into evening on Tuesday night, focusing on the southern half of Jefferson County. Equilibrium heights on Tuesday of around 5k ft and 850H temps of only around -10C will be a limiting factor for areas over/east of Lake Ontario. Off of Lake Erie, even less favorable conditions will be in place the first half of Tuesday with 850H temps warming from around -10C early to around -7C by late morning ahead of the approaching trough, and equilibrium heights of around 3k-4k ft. This should result in a minimal lake response into early Tuesday afternoon. SW flow off of Lake Erie will place the weak band over the northern half of Erie County, including the Buffalo Metro area. Behind the passing trough axis, 850H temperatures will cool again to near -10C, allowing some lake snows to re-develop later in the afternoon east and northeast of the lake. High temperatures on Tuesday will be in the low to mid 30s, with some upper 20s possible for the higher terrain. Tuesday night, 850H temperatures of around -10C will continue through the early overnight before weak warm air advection begins Wednesday morning. This will cause 850H temps to warm to around -5C by Wednesday morning, essentially shutting down the lake response by Wednesday morning. Increased ridging will also help lower equilibrium heights across the area as well. Tuesday through Wednesday morning, an additional 2 to 4 inches of snowfall is expected northeast of Lake Ontario with the higher amounts on the Tug Hill and southern Jefferson County. Off Lake Erie, another inch to half an inch is expected, mainly limited to Northern Erie County. Temperatures on Tuesday night will be in the mid 20s to low 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2021 Author Share Posted January 11, 2021 3KM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Wether it's right or wrong it's hard to find a more consistent model than the RGEM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Whatever we receive will be at a lower LSR with a marginal set up..(Compared to what we are accustomed to) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Ever since the models started showing a secondary the initial LES this weekend looks meh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Becoming more of a coastal system..Light westerly flow verbatim, see how it trends the next few days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Wether it's right or wrong it's hard to find a more consistent model than the RGEM.. So two models both showing 6+” at KBUF yet barely a mention from the NWS...yeah that seems accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Not the best trend for this weekend.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Not the best trend for this weekend.. No but that wont verify either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Oh no doubt but the secondary could be real as all guidance shows it and we are starting to get closer.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 I wouldn't mind if it developed farther west and a little earlier.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 Ill take an Lp right on NYC everytime... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 11, 2021 Share Posted January 11, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Wether it's right or wrong it's hard to find a more consistent model than the RGEM.. Once again local in-house models are showing the band for tonight and tomorrow about 15 miles further south...I get their models show this but font they have the ability to remember the south bias??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now