rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Hate to be this guy. But 90% of the run looks like this. I’m promising myself not to bite this time. Hope it’s wrong. Binghamton proved you only need one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Euro runs it inside a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 What a trash winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 14 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Euro runs it inside a bit Yep. You can see how it keeps everything west of the Appalachians. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 56 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Hate to be this guy. But 90% of the run looks like this. I’m promising myself not to bite this time. Hope it’s wrong. Binghamton proved you only need one! Dave the entire 2nd half of GEFS look like this. This is also peak climo so any blue is 20s, and purple is teens/single digits for highs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 The pattern change begins next week around the 15th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 I’ve managed to keep a snow cover here in Brewerton courtesy of the 13 inches of LES almost 2 weeks ago. Probably down to a couple of inches but it’s like a glacier. Hopefully we’ll be adding to it in the next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 Weather in a nutshell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Meanwhile record snowfall in Madrid Spain. 12-18” in areas that normally only see a few light snowfalls a season... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Meanwhile record snowfall in Madrid Spain. 12-18” in areas that normally only see a few light snowfalls a season... I understand it’s their biggest snowfall since 1971. I also heard that they don’t have snowplows so they have to wait for the snow to melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Dave the entire 2nd half of GEFS look like this. This is also peak climo so any blue is 20s, and purple is teens/single digits for highs. While I agree it will be getting more wintry, that looks like maaaaybe 2 weeks of winter and then a ridge starts to form over the SE at the very end. Much of that run, the cold air is dropping SW into the Plains and Rockies with us getting leftovers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 56 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: I’ve managed to keep a snow cover here in Brewerton courtesy of the 13 inches of LES almost 2 weeks ago. Probably down to a couple of inches but it’s like a glacier. Hopefully we’ll be adding to it in the next week. Nice for you! It kills me it looks like solid winter not far away at all. If we hadn't had that stupid day of 40s and rain ONE DAY after this biggest snowfall (6 inches) it would still look like solid winter here. But that day just obliterated it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: While I agree it will be getting more wintry, that looks like maaaaybe 2 weeks of winter and then a ridge starts to form over the SE at the very end. Much of that run, the cold air is dropping SW into the Plains and Rockies with us getting leftovers. Why are you looking ahead to some potentially bad news? Enjoy whatever we get during this cold period and whatever happens after that we’ll deal with then. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Finally a clear sky over most of New York tonight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 minute ago, CNY_WX said: Why are you looking ahead to some potentially bad news? Enjoy whatever we get during this cold period and whatever happens after that we’ll deal with then. Good point. Hope it produces SOMETHING wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Super interesting image of the Northeast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 I just don’t buy the long term forecasts. Not in this winter (or last). The Pacific will can it. La Niña isn’t favorable for a western ridge either. Check please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 1 hour ago, CNY_WX said: Finally a clear sky over most of New York tonight. Where did you find that image? Very cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 00Z models are trying to give us some flurries/snow showers for the beginning of the week. Hey, at this point, snowflakes flying through the air are accepted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 Starting to look better for a decent LES band to form over Erie county Tues-Weds time period. Even the GFS is showing it. Could be a little sneaky event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 @DeltaT13 Is it going to happen for the Bills game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 That Bills game nearly gave me a heart attack. Most stressful last few minutes of any game in awhile. The Colts should have won it, the coach threw that game as well as their FG kicker missing that 30 yarder. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 8 hours ago, cleetussnow said: I have a camp there. I plan to skip the first big weekend. Lots of first timers out with 850s who will make mistakes. Will try midweek riding more often this year. I know what you are saying. But with the lack of snow it will make no difference. Week days will be wild like a weekend. Have to "ride today" as it could be gone tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Nice improvement on the gfs WRT Tues and Wednesday off of Ontario.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: @DeltaT13 Is it going to happen for the Bills game? That does not favor a passing team like the bills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 10, 2021 Author Share Posted January 10, 2021 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: That does not favor a passing team like the bills I agree and especially if we face the Steelers. I actually don't want this. Give me what we had today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 32 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said: Where did you find that image? Very cool Looks like BGM NWS shared it on their page. https://www.weather.gov/bgm/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: That Bills game nearly gave me a heart attack. Most stressful last few minutes of any game in awhile. The Colts should have won it, the coach threw that game as well as their FG kicker missing that 30 yarder. I completely agree. You know it makes me laugh, all the fans last week “play the starters we need to keep our momentum”...how'd that work today? They were very one dimensional and as you stated if colts don’t doink a chip shot field goal or kick the other chip shot field goal instead of going for it Bills lose...not to mention the fortuitous fumble bounce right to Williams hands on Josh’s best attempt at reliving last year at Houston. They play like that and they will not win next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 Nice hit for the tug.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 10, 2021 Share Posted January 10, 2021 25 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Starting to look better for a decent LES band to form over Erie county Tues-Weds time period. Even the GFS is showing it. Could be a little sneaky event. These can overproduce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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