rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 GRFS west but not as drastic as some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Meso Models say go buy some white paint if you want a white Christmas in Rochester or anywhere East. Not a god damn flake to be had. I knew it would be bad, but I didn't think it would be this bad. The wife is trying to kibosh my Christmas day chase too! Normally she would be into it, but she just wants to be lazy on Christmas and I really can't blame her. arrgggggggg 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: How much snow has survived back home in our community? Get any additional snow the past couple days? P.S. This post put me ONE over you in post counts!!! Your response will make us even again. we still have about 2" on ground, not much has melted at this point. In fact its flurrying now. It won't survive the quick torch and downpours Thursday but what the heck, its 2020. Expect the worst and you will still be disappointed! And...if you want to maintain holiday spirits...don't look at the 12Z GFS...lots of activity but...futility for the most part. Fortunately its likely to change over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, Syrmax said: we still have about 2" on ground, not much has melted at this point. In fact its flurrying now. It won't survive the quick torch and downpours Thursday but what the heck, its 2020. Expect the worst and you will still be disappointed! Thanks for the update! I was checking Syr 9's Bville cam and see there is still snow, as well as some big flakes coming down. Low dewpoints ftw? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Euro has the L right on top of ROC. yeah. L is right. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I'm feeling like this is going to be a winter where it's a cutter...then a miss to the East...then a cutter...with us in the screw zone. Remember the days when on-air mets used to talk about "Apps Runners" tracks?? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Euro actually looks okay for some synoptic west of ROC, 3-6”. Absolutely skunks from ROC east though. Really wish we could get a run to make everyone on here happy for X-Mas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 38 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Euro has the L right on top of ROC. yeah. L is right. What was the trend from 00z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Canadian Ensemble Mean right over head. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Canadian Ensemble Mean right over head. When did you move to Hudson Bay? Kidding. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 12z Euro was slightly weaker and slower, but a tad west from 00z. Hoping the trend is for a weaker wave as to not hold up the frontal passage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 K BUF jinxed the whole board with their stupid WSW 5 days before a LES event, absolutely horrible!!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just tracking last night's GFS parallel.... Not that I'm holding out hope for us in the East..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 On the bright side- this is what I 95ers feel like. All. The. Time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: K BUF jinxed the whole board with their stupid WSW 5 days before a LES event, absolutely horrible!! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Lol..Well the LES still looks like a go but synoptic shit the bed..I don't think they were ever enamored with the synoptic system...(Although their first map showed several inches) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 NAM is gonna be gross Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, rochesterdave said: NAM is gonna be gross 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Has a different look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I can't wait till 2020 is over. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Meh, NAM continues to crap. The Low retrogrades and dances around. No such thing as a "normal" track any more apparently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 16 minutes ago, tim123 said: I can't wait till 2020 is over. Don't worry, 2020 2.0 is just around the corner... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The only good thing here is that the models seem to be having a hard time with the wave timing and strength. Could be some favorable surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 12 minutes ago, vortmax said: The only good thing here is that the models seem to be having a hard time with the wave timing and strength. Could be some favorable surprises. An inch of rain versus 1.5”? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 The only good thing here is that the models seem to be having a hard time with the wave timing and strength. Could be some favorable surprises. I guess it doesn't hurt to have one optimistic poster, RLMAOSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 You have to admit this type of scenario isn't easily modeled. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 10 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I guess it doesn't hurt to have one optimistic poster, RLMAO Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk The GFS is SE again... So you’re saying there’s a chance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Looks wintry across Jamestown this morning, they got a couple inches overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 GFS is a little SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 White Christmas Hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Yeah it's definitely not an easy scenario for the models to work out so there could be some pleasant surprises on Christmas day!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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