CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 I'll take a measurement in the AM when the band settles to my South and effects Syracuse proper! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 5 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah WRF/3k/hrrr don't look too promising..The forecast would bust for Oswego county if it verified..Winds look to turn more NW overnight so obviously you have a chance, GL.. Yeah well the 3K, WRF and the HRRR were all dead wrong, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Looks like LEK nailed it with his forecast tonight and saying the event would overperform. That band looks like it means business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Last time I seen a steady state WNW band such as this one was earlier this yr when it stayed mostly rain but if it were snow we would of gotten clobbered like we are right now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Looks like LEK nailed it with his forecast tonight and saying the event would overperform. That band looks like it means business. It sure does mean business and its not moving yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 You can see the convergence occurring within the band as the winds are due West across the South shore while over the lake the winds are N-NW, which is definitely fueling this beast of a band. The best part is that theres absolutely no wind at all as its just falling straight down and accumulating very fast and efficiently! Flake size is just awesome as well. We did have some graupel at the beginning but that quickly went over to heavy snow as the heavier returns started to show up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 The fact that this band continues to TROLL me and sit just to my north and east.....arggghhhh....grrrrrrrrrrrr I expect it to fully sweep through here quickly and give me an inch or two. I need to move to a hill top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just glad I have off tomorrow from work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 11 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I'll take a measurement in the AM when the band settles to my South and effects Syracuse proper! Doubtful. It will probably fall apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, TugHillMatt said: The fact that this band continues to TROLL me and sit just to my north and east.....arggghhhh....grrrrrrrrrrrr I expect it to fully sweep through here quickly and give me an inch or two. I need to move to a hill top. Maybe Mt Washington, RLMAO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Doubtful. It will probably fall apart. Nah, ur gonna see something Matt guaranteed brutha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 If you ;literally drive 3-4 miles to ur North ull be in the heavy snow which makes it even more maddening, lol right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 19 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Tug, hopefully this will sag southward in the next few hrs and clobber you for a few hrs but who knows with these WNW bands as they are very anomalous to say the least! Congrats on your snow. I was checking out the Central Square webcam and did a doubletake when I noticed the snow depth reaching the 1 foot mark on the snowstick. I sure wish it would nudge south and west a bit. I've been waiting for hours and hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 There seems to be a triple lake connection right now as well which is fueling such a strong band which usually doesn't occur on its own! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Congrats on your snow. I was checking out the Central Square webcam and did a doubletake when I noticed the snow depth reaching the 1 foot mark on the snowstick. I sure wish it would nudge south and west a bit. I've been waiting for hours and hours. Thanks as I've waited just as long as you but you will definitely get something when it starts to head South later this morning. I'm exactly 3 miles to the SW of Central Square! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Thanks as I've waited just as long as you but you will definitely get something when it starts to head South later this morning. I want to go out for a middle of the night Jebwalk in heavy snow. I am getting bursts of snow and then clear skies. Like half an inch on the ground. lol WHY ME???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 If you have AWD, I'm 4 miles to ur North if you want to u can come chill and Jebwalk all you want my friend, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Hopefully that little pocket out in Wayne county that is forming is the start of a slight wind shift for me to join in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: If you have AWD, I'm 4 miles to ur North if you want to u can come chill and Jebwalk all you want my friend, lol! Lol..Thanks. My wife would kill me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Lol..Thanks. My wife would kill me! Im sure as I chased when I first moved here and drove to Mexico and went off the road and took out the Welcome to Mexico sign, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Here s a pic of my porch and I'm sure it's higher in some spots across my front yard!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Best part is, when it starts to sag Southward, it'll snow here for quite a while longer cause it looks like the lion share of the heavier returns are off to my North, !Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 You can see over the Lake that its starting to take a slight jog southward so that may be the start of the move, I hope for ur sake TUG! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: You can see over the Lake that its starting to take a slight jog southward so that may be the start of the move, I hope for ur sake TUG! Thanks! You may have enough snow now to survive this week's warmup. I am hoping for the same here. Would love to get a layer of ice on top of it Wednesday night to preserve it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Wait, are you in Lysander or up by the Great Northern Mall? I thought thats where u were but if ur in Lysander then you might have to wait a bit longer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 There are some reds and yellows coming my way which indicates rates approaching 3"/hr easily! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 1 minute ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Wait, are you in Lysander or up by the Great Northern Mall? I thought thats where u were but if ur in Lysander then you might have to wait a bit longer! I'm just outside Radisson in Lysander. My guess is Great Northern is already getting clobbered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 A band of heavy snow continues over southern Oswego County early this morning, and also clipping northern Cayuga and extreme northeast Wayne counties at times. This band has been far more stationary than model guidance has suggested overnight, allowing for greater accumulations in one concentrated area of southern Oswego County. With that in mind, the advisory was upgraded to a Lake Effect Snow Warning for Oswego County. Added convergence from the approaching cold front will continue to enhance the lake band generated convergence through about 12Z, and an upstream connection to Lake Huron will also aid in intensifying the band. Snowfall rates of 2"/hr will continue through early morning under the heart of the band. Expect some minor north/south oscillation of the band through 7AM, possibly drifting a little north into central Oswego County briefly. The band will then move quickly south and west across northern Cayuga and Wayne counties by mid to late morning and weaken as boundary layer flow veers northwest behind the cold front. Meanwhile the western end of this band will continue to clip the south shore of the lake at times from eastern Niagara County to western Wayne County, including the Rochester area. This will produce minor 1-2 inch accumulations mainly along and north of Route 104 this morning. All of the lake effect snow will end this afternoon as high pressure builds into the eastern Great Lakes. As far as accumulations go, expect snow totals to reach 8-12" across southern Oswego County, and 4-7" for northern Cayuga and far northeast Wayne County, with 2-4" farther west in Wayne County and 1-2" along the lakeshore in the Rochester area. This is why models are absolutely useless when it comes to the placement, intensity and most of all the movement of these bands! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 It looks like the southern edge of the band is taking a slight shift south. Getting a good burst at the moment. Hopefully I'm just about IN this thing. It may take one more tug north though before it settles in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 29, 2020 Share Posted December 29, 2020 Syrmax and CNY are going to wake up to quite a surprise this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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