Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Kind of a dryslot punching up into Central PA now, far northern edge is encroaching on Central NY. Interesting feature. Along with the curve in the R/S line down in WPA, assumedly associated with the sfc lp as @DeltaT13 noted. Just measured...0.74" rain thusfar and 45F currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 @DeltaT13 Are you able to see front cam? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 45 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm not a big snowpack guy. There is something special about watching it fall. The upcoming pattern is definitely the one for me. Snow and thaw for the next few weeks. Perfect for you Buffalo guys because you can still get the LES on mostly these SW winds on the backside of all these cutters. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 13 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Perfect for you Buffalo guys because you can still get the LES on mostly these SW winds on the backside of all these cutters. Last Xmas my records show we had 1.5" on 12/24 and another 1.0" Xmas morning. Back in 2018 we were saved by a rare local WNW LES flow and had 5.8" overnight Xmas Eve into the morning. That saved our bacon and was so cool. In 2017 we had 2.0" on 12/24 & 2.5" Xmas a.m. Can't luck out every year. Edit: 2016 had 5" on ground Xmas a.m.. 2014 & 2015 were also 0.0" snow depth on Xmas morning also. Just perusing my Cocorahs records. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: @DeltaT13 Are you able to see front cam? It’s gorgeous. Winter wonderland! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 12 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: @DeltaT13 Are you able to see front cam? Yup. Saw people tending to the luminaries 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Last Xmas my records show we had 1.5" on 12/24 and another 1.0" Xmas morning. Back in 2018 we were saved by a rare local WNW LES flow and had 5.8" overnight Xmas Eve into the morning. That saved our bacon and was so cool. In 2017 we had 2.0" on 12/24 & 2.5" Xmas a.m. Can't luck out every year. Is that right?. I just looked back and KROC had a positive departure both days with a high of 39 and then 48 Christmas Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Is this the 3rd storm this year you guys thought nothing was coming and ended up jack-potting? The theme of this year is the storm goes 50-100 miles further west than modeled last minute. Definitely Torontos winter so far. What are you guys at so far? YYZ is at almost 20" on the season before this storm. Where I live is in Haldimand County, about 15-20 minutes south of Hamilton. Ive received about 14" so far. The big difference was that storm earlier in the year where YYZ and most of the GTA got 7-11". I managed a decent 2-3" slop and then rain. That storm alone accounts for much of the disparity. Biggest storm of the year so far for me was 15.5cm or about 6". Im at a little over 3" fallen so far (taken about an hour ago) and it looks like this should end up my biggest storm of the year so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Is that right?. I just looked back and KROC had a positive departure both days with a high of 39 and then 48 Christmas Day. I just updated my post. But yeah those snowfall values are what I recorded....measured in a.m. which year were you referring to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Just now, DeltaT13 said: Is that right?. I just looked back and KROC had a positive departure both days with a high of 39 and then 48 Christmas Day. Yeah, last Christmas included melting snow both Eve and day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: I just updated my post. But yeah those snowfall values are what I recorded....measured in a.m. which year were you referring to? 2019. Rochester had 0 precip and well above normal temps. It sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 When you ride the line you get the goods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 18 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: 2019. Rochester had 0 precip and well above normal temps. It sucked. You are right! I was looking at the wrong column! I had 0 new snow 12/24-12/26/19 but we went from 2.0 to 1.5 to 1.0" o.g. each day so we were melting off each day and temps were mild 40s. I thought last Xmas was mild but then I looked at my recorded data incorrectly! Thx! Edit: So basically 2014, 2015, 2019 (iffy ?) , 2020 snowless. 2016, 2017, 2018 had snow on ground >1" with 2017 & 2018 having 2.5" & 5.8" new snow on Xmas morning, respectively. Here. Edit edit: 2016 had 5.0" o.g. on 12/25 but we were melting off an inch a day from 12/24-26. Temps hit 50 on 12/26 & 12/27 that year at KSYR, so we were white but hanging on for dear life... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Rochesters forecast demoted back to virtually no accumulation. Bah humbug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Rochesters forecast demoted back to virtually no accumulation. Bah humbug You're right the line isn't moving much =/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 Doesn't look like it on cam but pretty close to heavy snow here. Going to measure at 1 AM for 4 hour measurement. Had 1.2" at 11 pm. Going to wipe it clean and measure the rest in the morning. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: You're right the line isn't moving much =/ It won’t budge until that surface low is up and parallel with us. Then it will just roar east and northeast. But the moisture is pretty sparse by then. It’s all timing so we at least have a shot still (of having a coating that is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 20 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Doesn't look like it on cam but pretty close to heavy snow here. Going to measure at 1 AM for 4 hour measurement. Had 1.2" at 11 pm. Going to wipe it clean and measure the rest in the morning. Very cool and glad Buffalo is getting some snow for a change. Wanna know what is not cool? I went to your webcam and saw two people shoveling. So just my PO A) not that much snow that warrants shoveling- there is like 2”- would prefer a snow angel. B ) shoveling snow anytime last 10pm is just obnoxious if you have neighbors with little ones. Enjoy and Merry F’in XMas! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 5 minutes ago, SyracuseStorm said: Very cool and glad Buffalo is getting some snow for a change. Wanna know what is not cool? I went to your webcam and saw two people shoveling. So just my PO A) not that much snow that warrants shoveling- there is like 2”- would prefer a snow angel. B ) shoveling snow anytime last 10pm is just obnoxious if you have neighbors with little ones. Enjoy and Merry F’in XMas! haha yes I agree. Worry about it tomorrow morning. It is the wettest snow in quite awhile has to be 1:6 ratios. Merry xmas everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 Snow line moving a bit east, inching towards rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 There's your sfc lp...Slotting in CNY! Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 NAM picked up on the dry slot fairly well. Might have been a little slow with the progression of the rain/snow line in western NY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 3.6" as off 1 AM. Very heavy snow outside 1.5" per hour. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 We're going to get 6-10" from the synoptic part of the storm. Far exceeding my expectations. Radar looks great. Just pure slop too. Going to take cores tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: 3.6" as off 1 AM. Very heavy snow outside 1.5" per hour. Congrats! It’s an April night here right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 1.3" in the last hour 4.9" total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 Stuck in Genesee county now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 19 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: 1.3" in the last hour 4.9" total so far. We’re up to 3.5”, pure paste. I was up late assembling a dollhouse for my three year old. She loves snow, and is going to think that this is just what happens on Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, WNash said: We’re up to 3.5”, pure paste. I was up late assembling a dollhouse for my three year old. She loves snow, and is going to think that this is just what happens on Christmas. Today is a good day. I'm going sledding tomorrow afternoon with the family at chestnut ridge, our yearly tradition. Most years we cannot do it due to no snow. Got lucky this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Up early this year (dogs not kids for once) eyeballing 5 to 6 and still snowing. A little pessimistic about the lake effect later tonight and tomorrow as the NWS says it’s not sure how far north the band will make it but looking at 6 to 12 if it does late tomorrow morning into the afternoon...wait and see I suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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