BuffaloWeather Posted December 24, 2020 Author Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: The sickness was strong in me as a kid. I’d watch all night. Waiting for the radar. Or the crawl when NWS upgraded to a warning or watch. I nearly fell down the stairs when in 1993 the whole screen went red and announced a Blizzard Warning for all of NY. The Christmas music and a lake snow warning was pretty much my utopia as a kid. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 I thought I wouldn’t have to deal with this shit when I moved way from New Jersey. I guess the good news is that we may have oceanfront up here in due time as well. Merry Fn Christmas. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: The Christmas music and a lake snow warning was pretty much my utopia as a kid. Don't you mean Snow Squall Warning? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 12 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GEFS pretty tightly clustered, pretty much now casting time Typically the golden track for big snow in Rochester. Thermals are late. I’ve learned to never trust GEFS esp with thermals. They think sleet is snow etc. Who knows. Maybe rates turn it over sooner than expected and we get an inch. BUF looks pretty good. Especially the west side. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 15 minutes ago, 96blizz said: I thought I wouldn’t have to deal with this shit when I moved way from New Jersey. I guess the good news is that we may have oceanfront up here in due time as well. Merry Fn Christmas. Gotta say, running around picking up last minute trinkets for gifts...this XMas wx (and the NYE Gullywasher I saw on GFS yday) is a fitting end to 2020. I'm sure 2020+1 will be different. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just noticed the included Wayne Cty in the WWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 39 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The sickness was strong in me as a kid. I’d watch all night. Waiting for the radar. Or the crawl when NWS upgraded to a warning or watch. I nearly fell down the stairs when in 1993 the whole screen went red and announced a Blizzard Warning for all of NY. I almost fell off my chair at work when the Emergency Alert System went off a couple of days before the Superstorm of 1993. I was brought up as a kid thinking the only time that would be used is if the Soviet Union had launched a nuclear attack. I believe it was a heads up that there was an approaching storm that would drop 2-3 feet of snow. That was the first time the EAS was used for a weather event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Does anyone else think the transition to snow is going to be faster than 10pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Does anyone else think the transition to snow is going to be faster than 10pm? NWS has it around 9 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Does anyone else think the transition to snow is going to be faster than 10pm? Really hoping so. That would indicate the front is moving faster and mat bode well for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Anyone remember the old school weather channel on the 8s forecast. I remember watching this for dec 1995 LES event in the city as a kid. The nostalgia lol. Was my fav channel as a kid. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 16 minutes ago, Luke_Mages said: Was my fav channel as a kid. Then y’all will LOVE this if you haven’t seen it! My Christmas present to y’all! Better tracking and results in 2021! https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 2 things...it’s down to 39 right now in Williamsville and Cleveland is snowing already, also the slug of moisture from the south is massive! That’s a lot to come through once the freezing line crosses the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Thats a stupid amount of moisture right there, WOW just imagine if it was all snow???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 2 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Thats a stupid amount of moisture right there, WOW just imagine if it was all snow???? I think far WNY is going to be over 6” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 This isn't a bad set-up for the Cuse on Saturday so we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 1 minute ago, Thinksnow18 said: I think far WNY is going to be over 6” Shouldn't be hard to get to 6" so Merry Christmas KBUF as Syracuse and KROC got straight shit on and continue to! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Shouldn't be hard to get to 6" so Merry Christmas KBUF as Syracuse and KROC got straight shit on and continue to! Here’s to hoping the next one crushes you guys! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: I think far WNY is going to be over 6” Thing is that the front really stalls at a certain point. Ya gotta hope it makes it through before that slug swings north. BUF is fine. Wondering about those eastern suburbs. Who knows? East or west by 40 miles is possible still. I’m kinda glad Rochester is completely out now- you might not of noticed but I get a little obsessive compulsive and that don’t play well with family time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 NWS Cleveland upgraded their advisory over Akron, Youngstown and east to a winter storm warning, I will not be shocked to see northern Erie and Niagara county upgraded as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Congrats NE TN and Western WV, I feel like puking right now but our turn will eventually come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 NWS is straight nowcasting and changing flags if warranted as they have no clue and never did with this PIG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 6 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: NWS Cleveland upgraded their advisory over Akron, Youngstown and east to a winter storm warning, I will not be shocked to see northern Erie and Niagara county upgraded as well Change over looks to be right on cue. 12z NAM to current radar lines up nicely. As mentioned the front is going to slow down and then even stall so while it seems right now like the cold air is rushing in and we’ll be changed over soon the cold push is slowing down. I think we flip between 9-11pm. I think it will be an advisory for us as a Warning would need to be 7” in 12 hr and I just don’t think there’s going to be enough moisture for that but I could be wrong. I like 3-6” for BUF from the Synoptic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 As soon as the trough starts to pivot in conjunction with the trough going Negative thats when we'll see the CF come to a screeching halt but unfortunately we don't know when that'll exactly be so..... KBUF's a lock for at least 6" perhaps closer to 8-12" and Unfortunately I see the lake bands staying primarily South of the city but I never really follow LE events off of Erie unless the band is reaching US, lol, as that used to happen all the time, NOT NO MORE Man the weather sure has changed the last 10 yrs BIG TIME!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 The front just went through Erie PA and trucking along nicely but the Trough is starting to go negative so the race is on, Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 14 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Congrats NE TN and Western WV, I feel like puking right now but our turn will eventually come! My ex wife's fam is from the Ohio/WVA border area. I've been there several times. The fact that they are getting a White XMas dumping and we are manning lifeboats makes perfect 2020 sense. The hits just keep on coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 17 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: As soon as the trough starts to pivot in conjunction with the trough going Negative thats when we'll see the CF come to a screeching halt but unfortunately we don't know when that'll exactly be so..... KBUF's a lock for at least 6" perhaps closer to 8-12" and Unfortunately I see the lake bands staying primarily South of the city but I never really follow LE events off of Erie unless the band is reaching US, lol, as that used to happen all the time, NOT NO MORE Man the weather sure has changed the last 10 yrs BIG TIME!!! Not so fast. 18z 3k NAM skunks BUF big time. 0.2” even at BUF from the synoptic snow. Ouch! 12k NAM looks the same. Absolute crusher (not in a good way) for BUF verbatim. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 2 hours ago, 96blizz said: I thought I wouldn’t have to deal with this shit when I moved way from New Jersey. I guess the good news is that we may have oceanfront up here in due time as well. Merry Fn Christmas. Same!!!! I moved away from Lancaster, PA YEARS ago to get away from the bloody rain/snow line mix CRAP with every system.... isn't much better here!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Same!!!! I moved away from Lancaster, PA YEARS ago to get away from the bloody rain/snow line mix CRAP with every system.... isn't much better here!!!!! Matt are you in BUF right now lol? Can’t make this stuff up. If we’re gonna miss it by a few miles after being a lock for the better part of the last 2-3 days that’s really gonna be the cherry on top to 2020. I’d rather be in Cuse and miss it by 150-200 miles than miss it by 20 miles. Gotta take a break from the models for tonight or I’m gonna lose it, if I haven’t already lol. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 24, 2020 Share Posted December 24, 2020 5 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Matt are you in BUF right now lol? Can’t make this stuff up. If we’re gonna miss it by a few miles after being a lock for the better part of the last 2-3 days that’s really gonna be the cherry on top to 2020. I’d rather be in Cuse and miss it by 150-200 miles than miss it by 20 miles. Gotta take a break from the models for tonight or I’m gonna lose it, if I haven’t already lol. Ha! Nope...still in Tennessee where winter is still trolling me with developing snow off to my east. Lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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