Upstate/Eastern New York

[wolfie09]

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Cold air passing over the Eastern Great Lakes this weekend will bring
the potential for accumulating lake effect snow, with the possibility
for significant amounts. Lake snows are most likely Saturday night
through Sunday night.

 

Saturday, the surface coastal low quickly departs off to the
northeast towards the Atlantic coast. In its wake, cold air
advection nudges 850 hPa temperatures down to around -8C/-10C by
Saturday evening. It will likely be until after the upper level
trough of low pressure passes overhead that lake snows will
begin...with the best timing Saturday night and into Sunday. There
will be marginally cold enough lapse rates for lake snows, but with
lake induced equilibrium levels reaching 5 to 8K feet, as winds
align Saturday night and into Sunday, decent plumes of lake snows
are possible, especially east of Lake Ontario where lapse rates will
be slightly steeper. The 00Z ECMWF is most aggressive with ending
the lake snows, pushing a surface ridge towards our region Monday,
while the GFS and Canadian maintain the potential for lake snows
into Monday.

[wolfie09]

Gfs times it just right to give us a little synoptic snow..

Hammers the tug with lake effect..

 

[wolfie09]

Para also has synoptic snow with the developing secondary.. We'll see how this plays out lol

[BuffaloWeather]

New thread:

 

[cny rider]

24 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

New thread:

 

Great idea!  Shake up the mojo a little in here, it's been like a funeral for the past 2 weeks.

 

[rochesterdave]

Boy, weekends storm is funny. Clipper that tracks north and pops up SE only to retrograde NW. Wolfie, you’re the only person who that works for. Surprised to see the synoptic paint around Bing (well, not THAAAT surprised). 

[PerintonMan]

16 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

I grew up not far from 95....winters were MUCH sunnier.

Quite right. I was mixing and matching regions there.

The constant overcast is not unusual here (at least over the 3 winters I've been here), but it also reminded me of the years I spent in Boston. Other parts of I-95 are nicer.

The green ground, mild temperatures, and weeks without appreciable snow are rather mid-Atlantic-like.