wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Lucky to even get a flurry on the European.. Whatever snow falls is in the deep south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Dominated by HP.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: That’s interesting. I am from Elmira and down there they get ZERO lake effect even from long Georgian bay streamers. Binghamton can catch those while Elmira does not. So Elmira gets basically clippers, swfs, and possibly fringes of coastals, once in a blue moon they get the apps runner, and the weaker part of a Miller b since those are usually transferring just underneath the southern tier. Their average is 40 inches or so. That might be a baseline synoptic only average, plus or minus, for the western NY region. It’s a snow hole compared to anyone that gets lake effect. You and Wolfie settled it. Just about 50” or even less. Makes sense. Your point about Elmira being in a rough position for the Miller B’s is right on the money. It’s usually the counties up north or to your west that do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 CNY gets a little more than that I would think.. Mohawk valley for example is 60"-90" a year and while they do get some streamers down the MV they tend to be weak with t-1 type events east of utica.. First year in herkimer (2008) we had 108" of snow and most of that was synoptic.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Lucky to even get a flurry on the European.. Whatever snow falls is in the deep south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 10 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: CNY gets a little more than that I would think.. Mohawk valley for example is 60"-90" a year and while they do get some streamers down the MV they tend to be weak with t-1 type events east of utica.. First year in herkimer (2008) we had 108" of snow and most of that was synoptic.. Growing up in Little Falls I don’t remember lacking for snow. I am probably forgetting some lean years but what I do remember is being able to sled (flexible flyers back then) down the middle of the street. When the snow banks got too big the city would come and cut them back or remove them. That happened at least once a year. Later in the season when the snow started to melt we used to build dams in the street out of snow to catch the runoff then bust them after they filled up. Most of the snow was from synoptic systems but we would get into the tail end of some lake streamers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Wow! Mexico is showing more snow than Upstate NY? Did hell just freeze over? WTF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Yeah too bad that'll never happenSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Binghamton afternoon discussion says lights out til at least early next week. At least the temps are seasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 They need to retune that European model I don't know what's up with it latelySent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Well it's not impossible lol Gfs and Canadian have one storm the next 10 days, if we miss that then you get the European lol They all have some snow for the deep south as well with a mostly suppressed storm track.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 86" , that's what pulaski has seen in the last 2 winters so far lol Syracuse had more than that just last year haha Fulton proper had triple digits last year..We depend on Lake effect as much as any area in the eastern great lakes...We can't dink and dunk on a NW flow throughout winter or upslope like the tug... Lol 11/19- 5.9" 12/19- 23.5" 01/20- 11.2" 02/20- 27.7" 03/20- 1" 11/20- 0.6" 12/20- 16.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 If anyone was wondering i was just watching BW plow through 2 feet of snow I get one recommended per day by youtube..haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Latest GFS misses us day 7/8 with the southern stream, we see a little lake effect with the northern stream.. Obviously will be different in 6 hours.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Yowzer! Euro and GFS show a long, boring, snowless streak. A much needed break from the action we’ve seen in Monroe county. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted January 4, 2021 Share Posted January 4, 2021 Close shades for a week. Come back then and check to see if there is something to track. Can’t stand another January getting skunked. I wonder what housing costs are in Labrador? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brentrich Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 So it looks like my prediction from Nov 2020 is still on track that winter is cancelled before it even started. So far so good! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Latest GFS misses us day 7/8 with the southern stream, we see a little lake effect with the northern stream.. Obviously will be different in 6 hours.. These models are not handling the SSW well at all. I saw somewhere today, maybe the NE forum, that now the forecast is for 3 sister vortex to form in mid January! This might be why the GFS looks like it’s on a bender with Charlie sheen 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Wow, what a boring winter. Some posters on other subs, at least yesterday, were talking about some possibilities before "the pattern becomes unfavorable." Ummm, when has it BEEN favorable??? Yikes. Perhaps their "unfavorable" could be our "favorable" but I don't see it. Snizzle this evening added another light dusting to my car...only 998 more to average. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Canadian looks decent with a little synoptic and LES day 7+.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Gfs with a quick shot of LES day 7ish as well with a bigger system/LES a couple days later.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 6z was the first wall to wall wintry pattern ive witnessed in some time...which means cutter after cutter on the 12z... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Another dusting this morning. The winter of dustings...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 2 hours ago, Thinksnow18 said: 6z was the first wall to wall wintry pattern ive witnessed in some time...which means cutter after cutter on the 12z... The only issue is it keeps being at day 10 lol Euro and soon to be new gfs have zip over the next 10 days..Para has been extremely stingy of late and for good reason lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Mini snow snowpack still holding strong lol Best thing about this week is no days above freezing, so my snow will have some decent staying power.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Surface high pressure will remain in control through much of the period, giving way to a stretch of dry and quiet weather. Not overly cold either with highs generally averaging near to a bit below normal. Chances for precip potentially return for the start of the new workweek, with long range guidance beginning to hint at a Northern Stream trough passage across the Great Lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 Cohen has been going nuts about the SSW and PV disruption. I guess it’s real. My guess? It’s probably happening at the worst time. Looked like we might be on the verge of a natural reversion to winter. Now, who knows? Hey, it’s actually really hard to be wrong over 50% of the time. It’s the one thing Cohen and I have in common. That and a big dick. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Cohen has been going nuts about the SSW and PV disruption. I guess it’s real. My guess? It’s probably happening at the worst time. Looked like we might be on the verge of a natural reversion to winter. Now, who knows? Hey, it’s actually really hard to be wrong over 50% of the time. It’s the one thing Cohen and I have in common. That and a big dick. Models are looking good. Lakes might fire up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 24 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Cohen has been going nuts about the SSW and PV disruption. I guess it’s real. My guess? It’s probably happening at the worst time. Looked like we might be on the verge of a natural reversion to winter. Now, who knows? Hey, it’s actually really hard to be wrong over 50% of the time. It’s the one thing Cohen and I have in common. That and a big dick. And how would you know he has a big 3=====D I kid I kid..Did get my morning laugh in though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 5, 2021 Share Posted January 5, 2021 If the models are right then get ready for the lakes to be on fire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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