rochesterdave Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Merry Christmas!! 5” of paste here. Looks amazing clinging to the tree branches. I think the GFS did a good job with this storm. Seems like we tracked it forever...but GFS consistently showed snow in WNY as a storm road up the cold front with rain issues from ROC east. Pretty impressive for 7-day lead time. GFS actually performed very poor. It had it waaay east until just prior. It moved the storm at least 100 miles west in 24 hrs. It seems to grab the idea(long range) ok but just murders the details. RGEM did great once it was in range. As did the 3k NAM. Euro did well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Let's try this again? Lol Precipitation chances will then ramp up again Wednesday night into Thursday as the next stronger area of low pressure moves into the upper Great Lakes. The setup with this storm system looks similar to the situation we are are currently dealing with, even with a potential wave developing along the system`s trailing cold front and riding north along the boundary right across or near our area. This will bear watching as it could have impacts for New Years Eve into New Years Day. Stay tuned. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Let's try this again? Lol Precipitation chances will then ramp up again Wednesday night into Thursday as the next stronger area of low pressure moves into the upper Great Lakes. The setup with this storm system looks similar to the situation we are are currently dealing with, even with a potential wave developing along the system`s trailing cold front and riding north along the boundary right across or near our area. This will bear watching as it could have impacts for New Years Eve into New Years Day. Stay tuned. No thanks. One scar is enough. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geez150 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Not more rain...yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Roc area got shafted, once the temps dropped we got dry slotted. East getting snow now, west all last night. Man. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Yeah we flipped to snow here, starting to see a little white.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Bville webcam looks like it's snowing pretty good for the moment and trying to whiten the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Merry Christmas all!!!! I'm in Staten Island and the night we had was a memorable one for sure! Winds last night were just nuts, power outages everywhere down here. Temps stayed quite balmy throughout the night, as they stayed in the upper 50's all night. It looks like our weather in the Cuse will stay the same for the foreseeable future, as this horrific pattern just doesn't wanna budge! It does look like our area, at least where I live, will see some LE on Monday-Tuesday as the next system departs the NE so we'll see how that plays out as I'm not confident of anything I see from most guidance.Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 26 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Bare green grass here. Nary a flake to be had. Boooo.... however if you look super close there are couple ice crystals in a tiny pile from the snow last week Log it! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 16 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Yeah we flipped to snow here, starting to see a little white.. We have steady wet snow here. The grass is whitened so an "official" Trace accumulation will now stand up to rigorous scrutiny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Canadian is most aggressive for early next week, flow goes back and forth from West-WNW.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 My snowblower got through that heavy snow, it can get through anything. It struggled a little up the little slope of my driveway at the end where the plow came through, but other than that I love my new snowblower. I cannot imagine shoveling all of that stuff. The last 2 years I just shoveled, never again. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 39 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Let's try this again? Lol Precipitation chances will then ramp up again Wednesday night into Thursday as the next stronger area of low pressure moves into the upper Great Lakes. The setup with this storm system looks similar to the situation we are are currently dealing with, even with a potential wave developing along the system`s trailing cold front and riding north along the boundary right across or near our area. This will bear watching as it could have impacts for New Years Eve into New Years Day. Stay tuned. You know the definition of insanity? 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 A few pics. Pure paste 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 25, 2020 Author Share Posted December 25, 2020 More totals. Looks a general 4-8" across Erie county. Highest QPF was 1.18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Pic quality sucks on here... 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Based on current conditions, many in the Mid-Atlantic and PA are currently getting heavy snow showers with ground getting covered. A whiter Christmas far to the south compared to Upstate NY. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Pretty much identical lol Snow does move east verbatim with a low in eastern NY.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Pretty much identical lol Snow does move east verbatim with a low in eastern NY.. Round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Seriously, who cares at this point, . I think the Cuse should go after the least snowiest season as we're doing pretty good so far, so why not. The lowest season is I believe 32" so it's definitely possible. I say let's go for it!!Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 2 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Seriously, who cares at this point, . I think the Cuse should go after the least snowiest season as we're doing pretty good so far, so why not. The lowest season is I believe 32" so it's definitely possible. I say let's go for it!! Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk It's unreal how snow has danced around the Cuse these winters. Looks like you might be able to get in on some LES this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 It's unreal how snow has danced around the Cuse these winters. Looks like you might be able to get in on some LES this weekend.Yeah we'll see how things set up as I really can't believe any guidance until I see the band or whatever on radar, !Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Congrats on the white Christmas guys... technically had one here as there was an inch or two left this morning. I've never seen a foot of snow vaporize so quickly even at the coast. Now down to the upper 30s hoping for some mood flakes later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Man, what a depressing forecast discussion by BGM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said: Man, what a depressing forecast discussion by BGM! Hopefully we can see the light at the end of this crappy tunnel sometime next week at least on the 10 day ensembles. I don’t see a chance between now and Jan 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 1 minute ago, cleetussnow said: Hopefully we can see the light at the end of this crappy tunnel sometime next week at least on the 10 day ensembles. I don’t see a chance between now and Jan 5. I hope so! Three more months of November weather would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Happy New year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 Hugger after that one for central and eastern NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 25, 2020 Share Posted December 25, 2020 58 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Happy New year I don’t even see a mechanism for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 26, 2020 Share Posted December 26, 2020 Checking out webcams and radar, it is YET AGAIN snowing nicely just to the south of Syracuse. Ithaca to Cortland to Binghamton are getting their grounds covered, while Syracuse gets avoided. I just don't get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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