Geez150 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, 96blizz said: White Christmas Hope. At this point I will settle to just have white on the ground for Christmas, nothing worse than a green Christmas. Not sure how they do it down south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 GFS definitely a step in the right direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, Geez150 said: At this point I will settle to just have white on the ground for Christmas, nothing worse than a green Christmas. Not sure how they do it down south... Actually it would be a frozen brown Christmas if we don’t get that post frontal miracle! Only thing worse than a green Christmas is a MUD Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 And the icon lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Nws has 1"-2" Christmas morning so they expect at least something.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Track wise the GFS was pretty close to the last several runs of the ukmet and last nights european.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 hours ago, 96blizz said: New TV show - How the Grinch Stole Winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: FWIW Okay so that’s intriguing. The SE ticks after the NW movement from the original solution were and are always predominant on coastals. Here too? Still learning this area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 21 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Okay so that’s intriguing. The SE ticks after the NW movement from the original solution were and are always predominant on coastals. Here too? Still learning this area... They typically tick back SE after going NW. But the ensembles are for shit. You can’t ever trust them. But a LOT of eye candy here to be sure!!! It makes me hopeful anyway. Someone gets whacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 12z18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: They typically tick back SE after going NW. But the ensembles are for shit. You can’t ever trust them. But a LOT of eye candy here to be sure!!! It makes me hopeful anyway. Someone gets whacked. Plenty of variation on the ensembles which shows how difficult this will be to resolve by the operational models. I think this will become a nowcasting event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 41 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: They typically tick back SE after going NW. But the ensembles are for shit. You can’t ever trust them. But a LOT of eye candy here to be sure!!! It makes me hopeful anyway. Someone gets whacked. Just give me an inch on Christmas morning and I’ll be happy (not what she said). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 If we can will this SLP to head straight up the Hudson, then its game on for 75% of the board but I doubt that happens but ya never know. I will say one thing that its super WINDY right now and not even a mention of super high winds tday, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Look at the rain in CNY which is surrounded by SNOW!! I'm done tracking rain storms in Winter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 11 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Look at the rain in CNY which is surrounded by SNOW!! I'm done tracking rain storms in Winter Models are still figuring out what the hell they are doing so I will keep the towel in the hand until tomorrow. 48 hrs to go and a 50-100 mile shift is possible. (Sigh) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 18z NAM definitely east a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, vortmax said: 18z NAM definitely east a bit. 12z18zNot sure what you’re seeing but it looks almost the same to me. GFS was East for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Sounds like the 18z Euro ticked east. Toronto mets all of the sudden liking snow. Good sign for at least the western most zones! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: 12z18zNot sure what you’re seeing but it looks almost the same to me. GFS was East for sure. The LP was more east. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Sref have like this event from the start.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 I bet they are just like the Gfs/icon and give us snow once the system passes our latitude and the front comes through..You can even see the little enhancement east of Ontario..(up top) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Since it’s Christmas Eve and Christmas that may well be the most atrocious NAM run ever. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Since it’s Christmas Eve and Christmas that may well be the most atrocious NAM run ever. The front is so slow to move past my area also ( NYC ) Sustained winds 35 + in my area with gusts to 70mph. What a disgusting Christmas holiday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Ohio. Grrrrreat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Ohio. Grrrrreat The NAM has handled this event horribly...it’s in its own for the major globals and its westward position. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 I guess its something, a little enhancement east of Ontario.. Need it a little east and I think the lake can deliver a white Christmas.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 While the NAM cuts west the sref go north and are much less amped.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 18 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: While the NAM cuts west the sref go north and are much less amped.. What’s a thousand miles between friends? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 ICON is a tiny bit East. At least total snowfall is. Weird... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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