BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 It's officially winter today and winter solstice. Temps look right around normal for this time of year which should lead to some chances of snow. An up and down pattern looks to be the staple of this coming winter. Looks like we get a good cold shot this weekend with chance of synoptic event and LES on the backside. Indices look good, there will be shots of snow the next few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Merry effing Christmas.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 GEFS farther east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 It’s raining. And two more days of it on tap this week. The rest of the 0Z suite looks like a slow meltdown well into January. Where is this winter people speak of? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Brutal. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6z Euro is no better. What a swift kick in the nards... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 14 minutes ago, 96blizz said: 6z Euro is no better. What a swift kick in the nards... Where do you live? I always wonder what part of the state fellow weenies are getting screwed or jackpotting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Where do you live? I always wonder what part of the state fellow weenies are getting screwed or jackpotting Skaneateles NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 52 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Skaneateles NY. Hopefully you guys score something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Well. That was always my concern. Indices being stronger things are gonna cut. Hope we get a tick back east. We usually do but this is probably too far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Nam trends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 8 hours ago, Syrmax said: It’s raining. And two more days of it on tap this week. The rest of the 0Z suite looks like a slow meltdown well into January. Where is this winter people speak of? It has been a beautiful wintry stretch of weather in the southern part of the state. A few days of cold to freeze the ground, then 3ft of snow, then cold with snow showers daily to keep the snowpack looking fresh. Classic winter weather that has been so lacking down here the past few years. With that said, I’m about to be reminded that it takes days/weeks and/or a fluke snow storm to build a nice wintry scene around here and just 24hrs to destroy it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Great storm. For Detroit! Hahaha! Everyone loses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 RGEM pretty west too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Not a flake. Those greens will be 50-100 miles west of the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: RGEM pretty west too The meso’s are locked on. Now we pray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 17 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: The meso’s are locked on. Now we pray. GEFS mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 So the GFS everyone here liked for this storm was too far south and East? I think I’ve seen this before? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 29 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Great storm. For Detroit! Hahaha! Everyone loses. I still think we will get our inch or two of snow...not sure if its some post-frontal changeover for a couple of hours or some random LES that wings through at some point. Given the likelihood of an inch of rain with temps surging to around 50...the existing "pack" around SYR-ROC will be just about gone by the time the front passes through. Have to hope the 06Z GFS longer range is OTL as, while its active, it looks actively crummy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: I still think we will get our inch or two of snow...not sure if its some post-frontal changeover for a couple of hours or some random LES that wings through at some point. Given the likelihood of an inch of rain with temps surging to around 50...the existing "pack" around SYR-ROC will be just about gone by the time the front passes through. Have to hope the 06Z GFS longer range is OTL as, while its active, it looks actively crummy. Agreed! I’ve waited on too many post frontal snow accumulations. It just doesn’t happen in Rochester. The NAM was actually a great depiction. Rain, wind, rain- nothing. Hahaha! Hope ur right. But I’d still like to see this thing shift east 150 miles. Lol Annoying part is gonna be seeing BUF get 2 feet. They always get their best stuff when we are green. Ehh. It’s been a long time for them. I hope they get buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 And there’s the ICON with nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Tom Niziol started a blog where he talks about all things winter, pretty interesting. Last topic was about ocean effect snow https://itsallweather.blogspot.com/2020/12/japans-epic-snows-december-14-17-2020.html?fbclid=IwAR1Ft1L8kDtUDyjBstJuuS_XqX77CPafjQYmrqmp2ukRYhW7I0tuXaM6hdU 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, 96blizz said: The High in the Atlantic is much farther East on the GFS early. Christmas miracle? Or more 2020 coal? That’s what I’ve been watching. It’s providing blocking and was moving west all week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 As far west as I’ve seen it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: That’s what I’ve been watching. It’s providing blocking and was moving west all week It corrected later and this looks the same. Ugh. Coal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Should be a little east of 6z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Author Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, wolfie09 said: Should be a little east of 6z.. Yep 2 MB weaker, definitely SE. The GEFS were all farther SE, should follow the trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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