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I am living vicariously through this thread. Pulling hard for all you Tennessee folks. It’s 35 in Birmingham with a stiff and steady wind. No ground truth to the snow on radar unfortunately as of yet. 
 

I sure would  love to be in a cabin tonight with some elevation. Y’all have a Merry Christmas and reel this one in! I’ll be back for another storm before winter is finished.

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For posterity....

National Weather Service Morristown TN
258 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020

.SHORT TERM (Tonight and Friday)...

Obs and webcams around the Cumberland Plateau and eastern KY are
showing that the change to snow is beginning. Radar shows precip is
blossoming, likely in response to increasing midlevel frontogenetic
forcing. Over the next few hours, cold advection will continue to
strengthen across the area and the changeover line will push east,
with all precip in our area expected to be snow by 00Z. Snow banding
will be possible as negative EPV values will coincide with the
strong frontogenesis zone over NE TN and SW VA from 23-02Z. A rumble
of thunder cannot be ruled out in that area, and snowfall rates near
or above 1 inch per hour will be possible. The dynamic forcing will
exit our area by midnight, but we will continue to have very steep
lapse rates under the mid/upper level closed low that will keep
scattered to numerous snow showers going through the night. As this
low slows progresses over the area, the chance of snow showers and
flurries will persist into Christmas Day for locations north of I-
40, although additional accumulations will be very light and mainly
confined to the mountains.

The trend of the most recent model runs has been to reduce snow
amounts slightly. This forecast package will follow that trend, with
just a slight reduction in snow totals for the TN Valley from the
previous forecast. Expecting 1-3 inch amounts in the Advisory area,
with 3-5 inches in the lower elevations of the warning area, and 5-
10 inches in the higher elevations. The Warning and Advisory areas
will not be changed. Travel conditions tonight continue to look very
poor as heavy snowfall rates this evening will reduce visibility,
and the very cold temperatures coming in tonight will create an icy
layer underneath snow-covered roads.

Wind chill values tonight will be dangerously low, in the range of -
5 to -15 F, and the Wind Chill Advisory will be continued.
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For posterity....
National Weather Service Morristown TN258 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020.SHORT TERM (Tonight and Friday)...Obs and webcams around the Cumberland Plateau and eastern KY areshowing that the change to snow is beginning. Radar shows precip isblossoming, likely in response to increasing midlevel frontogeneticforcing. Over the next few hours, cold advection will continue tostrengthen across the area and the changeover line will push east,with all precip in our area expected to be snow by 00Z. Snow bandingwill be possible as negative EPV values will coincide with thestrong frontogenesis zone over NE TN and SW VA from 23-02Z. A rumbleof thunder cannot be ruled out in that area, and snowfall rates nearor above 1 inch per hour will be possible. The dynamic forcing willexit our area by midnight, but we will continue to have very steeplapse rates under the mid/upper level closed low that will keepscattered to numerous snow showers going through the night. As thislow slows progresses over the area, the chance of snow showers andflurries will persist into Christmas Day for locations north of I-40, although additional accumulations will be very light and mainlyconfined to the mountains.The trend of the most recent model runs has been to reduce snowamounts slightly. This forecast package will follow that trend, withjust a slight reduction in snow totals for the TN Valley from theprevious forecast. Expecting 1-3 inch amounts in the Advisory area,with 3-5 inches in the lower elevations of the warning area, and 5-10 inches in the higher elevations. The Warning and Advisory areaswill not be changed. Travel conditions tonight continue to look verypoor as heavy snowfall rates this evening will reduce visibility,and the very cold temperatures coming in tonight will create an icylayer underneath snow-covered roads.Wind chill values tonight will be dangerously low, in the range of -5 to -15 F, and the Wind Chill Advisory will be continued.


Takes them days to adjust when mods are showing an increase in snow but one run of showing a slight decrease in snow amounts gets a full paragraph in the AFD.


.
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