SchaumburgStormer Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 hours ago, Spartman said: 06z GFS: 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Never seen so much model agreement. Looking fairly clear now, for ohio crew, gonna be rain with a switch to snow for a brief period when the front passes. Will it be enough for a white Christmas, not sure. Barring changes within the next couple model runs I'd say dusting to 2" is looking to be the likely scenario. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 37 minutes ago, dilly84 said: Never seen so much model agreement. Looking fairly clear now, for ohio crew, gonna be rain with a switch to snow for a brief period when the front passes. Will it be enough for a white Christmas, not sure. Barring changes within the next couple model runs I'd say dusting to 2" is looking to be the likely scenario. Probably going to be all east of me, maybe a coating. Just a slight tick west and I could see an inch or two. Eastern Ohio will do well again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Potential for huge LES event off of Erie for this weekend. Still lots of details to iron out, but could be a big one. Getting a little excited. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 25 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Probably going to be all east of me, maybe a coating. Just a slight tick west and I could see an inch or two. Eastern Ohio will do well again. I'm in mount vernon. Looks like you'll see about what we will. Dusting to couple inches. Still holding out some hope, but its quickly dimished. If we arent seeing any changes on the 18z runs to signal something for 0z, id say its over for most West of Youngstown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 40 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Potential for huge LES event off of Erie for this weekend. Still lots of details to iron out, but could be a big one. Getting a little excited. Definitely looks pretty good for your area, not expecting to much in NWL Mich, having probably the worst LES season I have experienced since moving up here back in 2012. It was bound to happen sometime. UP just as bad.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 49 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Potential for huge LES event off of Erie for this weekend. Still lots of details to iron out, but could be a big one. Getting a little excited. What kind of color is expected? W, NW, N, NNW lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 31 minutes ago, dilly84 said: I'm in mount vernon. Looks like you'll see about what we will. Dusting to couple inches. Still holding out some hope, but its quickly dimished. If we arent seeing any changes on the 18z runs to signal something for 0z, id say its over for most West of Youngstown. Looks decent for you in Mt. Vernon. Painfully close for me. Euro wants to keep that snow in the general area for about 9 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, Gino27 said: Looks decent for you in Mt. Vernon. Painfully close for me. Euro wants to keep that snow in the general area for about 9 hours. You are in Marysville right? I’m in Powell so a tad southeast of you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 2 minutes ago, pondo1000 said: You are in Marysville right? I’m in Powell so a tad southeast of you. Right in between Dublin and Marysville. It's technically Plain City. It's gonna be a razor thin cut off I'm afraid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 15 minutes ago, josh_4184 said: Definitely looks pretty good for your area, not expecting to much in NWL Mich, having probably the worst LES season I have experienced since moving up here back in 2012. It was bound to happen sometime. UP just as bad.. It's been pretty bad here, not 1 LES event so far, only 8" on the year. Binghamton and central NY had 3-4 feet of snow. We've been the odd man out. Just hiked some peaks in the Adirondacks and 2-3 feet of snow up there as well. 8 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: What kind of color is expected? W, NW, N, NNW lol? Looks to be meandering wind directions from W to SW from late Thurs into Sunday morning. Coldest airmass of season pours across the region on Christmas Day with synoptic snow giving way to moderate to heavy lake snow east of both Lakes. Travel likely to become an issue, mainly from southern suburbs of Buffalo to PA line and east of Lake Ontario. Heavy lake snows Christmas night east of both lakes. Cap 8-12k ft so rates >2" likely with DGZ fully in play. Thunder/lightning will also be possible (esp east of Lk Ont). Impressive lake snows will persist through Saturday, possibly lingering into Sunday morning, while remainder of the region will experience occasional snow showers under cyclonic flow aloft and mid winter temps well below freezing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 11 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Right in between Dublin and Marysville. It's technically Plain City. It's gonna be a razor thin cut off I'm afraid. Cool. I work with someone from Plain City. Here’s hoping for a westward jog. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 hour ago, josh_4184 said: Definitely looks pretty good for your area, not expecting to much in NWL Mich, having probably the worst LES season I have experienced since moving up here back in 2012. It was bound to happen sometime. UP just as bad.. At least you've had snow OTG and 2 foot to date Iirc. Better than so many in this sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just chillin on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
josh_4184 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, RogueWaves said: At least you've had snow OTG and 2 foot to date Iirc. Better than so many in this sub. True but as with anything in life its all relative, I'm still about 25" down on snowfall IMBY, APX is about `20". Many areas in this sub only average 25-50" for the year. At leas local impacts really don't matter at this point due to COVID already destroying it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 31 minutes ago, Gino27 said: Just chillin on the edge. I could live with 2-3 for xmas & some sledding w/ the kids the days after. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 More Good News for Northern Ohio: Overnight on Wednesday, temperatures will slowly begin to drop from the 40s into the 30s as the cold front approaches from the west. The cold front is expected to move through the area Thursday morning into the afternoon hours. As a result of this, Thursday`s high temperature will occur early in the day and be in the mid 30s to low 40s, steadily decreasing to low in the mid teens for overnight Thursday. As these temperatures steadily decrease from west to east, the widespread rain showers will gradually switch over to primarily snow showers driven by a synoptic set up including strong upper level support for lift from the jet stream. There remains quite a bit of uncertainty with snowfall totals from the synoptic event at this point, however models are trending towards much of the area having a white Christmas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, StormfanaticInd said: What model is the GDPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormfanaticInd Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Just now, pondo1000 said: What model is the GDPS? Canadian model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, StormfanaticInd said: Canadian model Ahh, thank u!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Honestly at this point I'll take a dusting on Christmas Eve and lake effect showers on the day of 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 48 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Honestly at this point I'll take a dusting on Christmas Eve and lake effect showers on the day of Your area’s looking pretty decent for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gino27 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Wut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 minute ago, Gino27 said: Wut NAM trended west on this particular run. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoachLB Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 4 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: NAM trended west on this particular run. 3K looks even further west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, CoachLB said: 3K looks even further west. Wow, didn't see that coming. The NAM runs had been awful up until that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 stoked for my dab Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chuckster2012 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 39 minutes ago, Jim Martin said: NAM trended west on this particular run. West? Indiana has practically nothing. How is that west? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Just now, chuckster2012 said: West? Indiana has practically nothing. How is that west? The 0z NAM shifted the snowfall deeper into Ohio, along and east of Interstate 75. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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