daxx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 This band moving through parts of York county is dumping. Up to 3.7 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Quote Snowfall rates will increase over the next two hours, however, the warm air aloft is approaching...and I expect sleet to mix in over SoLanco by 5 or 6pm...and likely all the way to the Turnpike by ~8pm. There will be a change back to all snow around midnight, so really there are 3 phases to this storm: 1. front-end snow (now), 2. period of icy mix, 3. back-end snow (after midnight). This scenario is what my 6 - 12" inch forecast (issued yesterday) was based on...and includes the possibility of an inch or two of sleet during "phase 2". I've always been a believer in a mid-storm "changeover" across soPA counties for several reasons, including (simply) climatology of snowstorms in Lanco. But the northward extend of sleet may exceed my expectations...in which case I've overdone snow totals in the T'pike corridor. https://twitter.com/horstweather?lang=en Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, daxx said: This band moving through parts of York county is dumping. Up to 3.7 inches. Still snowing in Parkton, MD which is good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 At 4.0". Rates really picked up within last 20-30min.. it's really going to start piling up. Very heavy snow and visibility under 1/8th. This stuff is straight powder snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 14 minutes ago, dj88 said: LOL why is any line for any map always drawn through Elysburg... I swear we are always on a "line" Same here in Tamaqua. Never in the center of a contour or jackpot zone. Always on the gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, NeffsvilleWx said: https://twitter.com/horstweather?lang=en I was going to post that and make a comment - in all seriousness, when was the last time that a changeover didn't happen sooner, or end up farther north, than anticipated? I remember so many storms that were only to mix south of the turnpike that ended up near IPT. I'm NOT suggesting that will happen this time, but I have to believe that the idea of my first 2 points has some merit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Still snowing in Parkton, MD which is good. Yep...I keep checking there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Over 4” with heavy snow just made my first plow of driveway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 At 4:00pm the heavy snow has just arrived within the past 10 minutes and it looks like it means business! During the past hour I picked up an additional 1.0" giving me a storm total of 2.8". Temp 23.4 / 21.2. Hopefully this keeps up as per SPC earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 16, 2020 Author Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Still snowing in Parkton, MD which is good. If we can hang on for a few more hours, I'll still be happy. With these rates, we'll do alright. Not 20" alright, but we'll have snow on the ground for days w/ the sleet that is progged for us. Just turnin lemons into lemonade.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I was going to post that and make a comment - in all seriousness, when was the last time that a changeover didn't happen sooner, or end up farther north, than anticipated? I remember so many storms that were only to mix south of the turnpike that ended up near IPT. I'm NOT suggesting that will happen this time, but I have to believe that the idea of my first 2 points has some merit. There is truth to that. I've seen many a forecast bust for to mix and change much farther north. For my backyard, if the Lehigh Valley or Reading changes, we go over about 15-30 minutes later, even if it's not forecasted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, pasnownut said: If we can hang on for a few more hours, I'll still be happy. With these rates, we'll do alright. Not 20" alright, but we'll have snow on the ground for days w/ the sleet that is progged for us. Just turnin lemons into lemonade.... You got that right! It is piling up very quickly. We're going to have a glacier tomorrow. Hoping that the glacier is a deep one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Haven’t been out to officially measure but we have to be closing in on 4” now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 im surprised at how cold the temps are holding at some places. models kept showing it warming up gradually. by now it should have been 29 degrees but its still 25 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Still looks like between 2z and 4z for mixing....heavy rates before it and heavy rates after change back to snow. Per HRRR 20z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Still looks like between 2z and 4z for mixing....heavy rates before it and heavy rates after change back to snow.Mix line racing up along border.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, Superstorm said: Mix line racing up along border. . It seems to be heading SE though not north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Had some pingers mix here on and off. Pinging now as I type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 It is pouring snow here right now. Anyways whatever mixing occurs by 1am it is back to snow. 18z NAM shows extensive mixing more than the HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3.8" as of 4:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 It is dumping! Just hit 5” and very low visibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Boy, the HRRR has the low literally going over Cape May and riding right up the coastline to around Long Beach Island, then suddenly exiting stage right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, Porsche said: Had some pingers mix here on and off. Pinging now as I type. Flakes are HUGE here...the mixing is near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Sweet on the 18z GFS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Flakes are HUGE here...the mixing is near. Yep same here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 5.8 inches and still snow here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caveman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The mail is being delivered here in Etters! 4"+ and visibility about 1/8 mile... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I was ready to cliff jump last night but we are getting pretty crushed out here. Some of us are probably going to break the 10 inch mark. Looks like a deform band might be forming just west of the city. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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