jm1220 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Off to the races in State College. STATE COLLEGE PA / PENN STATE Webcams & Traffic Cameras (williamrusk.com) Good luck to all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Wow, this might have been the snowiest GFS run of them all right at game time. Both that and the 3k NAM have 3' at IPT (via Kuchera). Huge difference in the York/LNS realm though. That's going to be something to watch today which model wins with the thermals. Heck the 3k NAM got sleet all the way to KAOO on a huge surge of >0ºC 850mb temps, that's probably not going to happen. York and Lancaster probably aren't quite going to get to 20+ either as there should be some mixing. Given already solid establishment of cold air at 925mb and below via the Canadian high, I still feel most mixing is going to be in the form of sleet north of the mason-dixon. Here's the latest HRRR, which probably represents accums in the LSV a bit better currently with limited erosion of the accumulations in far southern York and Lancaster . Still snowing at 18hr in pretty much the whole eastern half of PA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Larger flakes than I expected this early. Good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdskidoo Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 snowing near Sunbury. 28 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just your average 18" difference between the GFS and NAM with the storm underway... I'd gladly take the HRRR and it's depiction and be happy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just your average 18" difference between the GFS and NAM with the storm underway... I'd gladly take the HRRR and it's depiction and be happy. Anything over a foot is a huge win.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Ripping out here already. Hopefully means more expansive and not just “early” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Wow, this might have been the snowiest GFS run of them all right at game time. Both that and the 3k NAM have 3' at IPT (via Kuchera). Huge difference in the York/LNS realm though. That's going to be something to watch today which model wins with the thermals. Heck the 3k NAM got sleet all the way to KAOO on a huge surge of >0ºC 850mb temps, that's probably not going to happen. York and Lancaster probably aren't quite going to get to 20+ either as there should be some mixing. Given already solid establishment of cold air at 925mb and below via the Canadian high, I still feel most mixing is going to be in the form of sleet north of the mason-dixon. Here's the latest HRRR, which probably represents accums in the LSV a bit better currently with limited erosion of the accumulations in far southern York and Lancaster . Still snowing at 18hr in pretty much the whole eastern half of PA. I was just going to say this Mag. I just looked at the GFS now and my god, this has to be one of the snowiest runs I've seen in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 29/20 in Gap. Still sniffing virga but not for long.Once it gets started it ramps up quickly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Wow, this might have been the snowiest GFS run of them all right at game time. Both that and the 3k NAM have 3' at IPT (via Kuchera). Huge difference in the York/LNS realm though. That's going to be something to watch today which model wins with the thermals. Heck the 3k NAM got sleet all the way to KAOO on a huge surge of >0ºC 850mb temps, that's probably not going to happen. York and Lancaster probably aren't quite going to get to 20+ either as there should be some mixing. Given already solid establishment of cold air at 925mb and below via the Canadian high, I still feel most mixing is going to be in the form of sleet north of the mason-dixon. @Eskimo Joe mentioned that temps in Baltimore County are lower than forecast, so that's gotta be a good sign for those of us closer to the Mason/Dixon since Baltimore is generally "upstream" of the expected warm air. Wonder if that temp delta is true for Port Deposit and Wilmington, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, NeffsvilleWx said: @Eskimo Joe mentioned that temps in Baltimore County are lower than forecast, so that's gotta be a good sign for those of us closer to the Mason/Dixon since Baltimore is "upstream" of the expected warm air. That is good. I'm watching the sleet line on radar...it's JUST south of the Potomac right now. More than anything else including ground temps, I'll be watching that line advance north this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 first flakes earlier than expected Wellsboro, pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kerplunk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 First plow just went by (blade down). Roads caved immediately so they must have not done any pre-treating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Roads Caved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Centerville, Road and Route 30, “Linkaster”, PA:27F, Light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 i was just told the roads are like a sheet of ice. Safe travels everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Centerville, Road and Route 30, “Linkaster”, PA: 27F, Light snow . WTF.... Imperial Drive and Marietta Ave. Get outta my backyard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, sauss06 said: i was just told the roads are like a sheet of ice. Safe travels everyone Big wreck on 581 east (it's closed) would confirm this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, canderson said: Big wreck on 581 east (it's closed) would confirm this. wE wErE ReFeRRinG tO sNoW, nOt PoThOLeS aNd SiNKhoLeS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 WTF.... Imperial Drive and Marietta Ave. Get outta my backyard!Lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Roads Caved, Grass unCaved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 HRRR brings the mix north a bit: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Looks like the more steady stuff has arrived here by looks of the radar. Moderate rate currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 The good thing per MA forum obs, most of Maryland is all snow including DC. Mix is down south in VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 at least a solid 1" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 0.8" in State College as of 12:40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 A steady light snow for the past 90 minutes or so has diminished to just a few flurries currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yard-stick Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Hello All...just joined the site and looking forward to an exciting winter season! I'm in the mountains just southwest of Hazleton @ 1800' on the Luzerne/Schuylkill border. Snowing steady now and roads are already snow covered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeffsvilleWx Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 13 minutes ago, paweather said: The good thing per MA forum obs, most of Maryland is all snow including DC. Mix is down south in VA. I wouldn't expect the mixing threat to materialize until the offshore low really picks up steam, so not sure that's a valid reference point (unless it differs significantly from model guidance) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Moderate snow in Gap, Eastern Lancaster County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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