LakeEffectKing Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 GFS parallel handled this pretty well on Sunday!!! And were close to my thoughts then. A little overdone on the northern fringes. Post from Sunday on other thread: Hey all. IMO, as has been discussed a bit earlier and needs to be emphasized, for much of Upstate NY, the exact track of the slp is less important than the evolution of the mid and upper level features, particularly at the h850 and h700 levels. The models currently indicating a more favorable set up with these features for our area is euro ensemble mean, Icon, para GFS, and probably extrapolated NAM. I like where we are right now, particularly BGM, SYR and points SE. 00z Parallel GFS "feels" like a nice candidate for verification. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SUNYGRAD Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Snowfall Extremes | Snow and Ice | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) (noaa.gov). for BGM or Broome county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 KBGM had 33.8 as of 3:45. Do believe we will pass the 40" mark... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Would not be shocked if we get reports of Hunter going over 50”. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lurkerhero Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 13 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Terrible rates huh yep looks like i've been spoiled haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Has to be 4"/hr right now. Probably the heaviest snow I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 I'm jealous of my fellow New Yorkers Just an amazing storm up there Alot of areas on the coast are seeing snow and sleet right now with gusty winds. 6+ in many areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 19 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Has to be 4"/hr right now. Probably the heaviest snow I've ever seen. You're thoroughly entrenched in that band now like Binghamton was earlier. Will probably be in it a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Not BGM numbers, but 16” here at 4:00, then 2.5 new while I plowed until 4:50. Road untouched so not headed to work yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Good grief. Here we go again. Another impressive band setting up near Binghamton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 For posterity: From BGM 12/17/2020 06z 1 am update... Update to add Madison and southern Oneida in the winter storm warning. Radar and the models show a band of very heavy snow from Bradford County PA to Otsego County NY. The band is expected to slowly pivot into southern Oneida and Madison Counties between 3 and 6 AM before weakening. Upped snow amounts under the band from the twin tiers into the upper Susquehanna Region of NY. Reported snowfall rates as high as 3 to 5 inches an hour. Totals now in the southern tier double digits. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Amazing night here, closing in on 2' 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Amazing night here, closing in on 2' Enjoy my friend!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Enjoy my friend!! Fun ride. Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 16 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: Amazing night here, closing in on 2' How does this compare to Jonas and Boxing Day when you lived in the City or even 1996? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_rules Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 In NW Delaware County we have been on the southern fringe of that intense band all night, after expecting to be on the northern fringe all night! I just measured 24-26” in various spots. Heavy snow continuing. 15°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Only got a foot....somehow but it is still coming down 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just now, MJO812 said: How does this compare to Jonas and Boxing Day when you lived in the City or even 1996? Boxing day 20" total always seemed like BS... no blowing and drifting so it's a different animal bit idk if I've ever seen it snow so hard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 All hail thundersnow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 Just took my puppy for a walk - so peaceful out there! Probably 6” or so and I think the best part was willing this one back from the dead up our way! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Just took my puppy for a walk - so peaceful out there! Probably 6” or so and I think the best part was willing this one back from the dead up our way! Just remember into the future....Pretty much all the models do not handle the placement of mesoscale banding features very well. Usually, (but not all the time), placement seems 30-50 miles to the NW vs. model consensus...even at lead times of 12 hours!!! Miller B's are complicated buggers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 8 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Just remember into the future....Pretty much all the models do not handle the placement of mesoscale banding features very well. Usually, (but not all the time), placement seems 30-50 miles to the NW vs. model consensus...even at lead times of 12 hours!!! Miller B's are complicated buggers. There will be a massive gradient here with me only getting a foot and everywhere north getting so much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said: Jesus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 4 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Yea it did It did not, just stop please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 2 hours ago, BGM Blizzard said: That’s what a lake effect event looks like...welcome to the party! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 3 hours ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Snowing hardest it has whole event. Probably about 1” an hour right now. Wish this would last a few hours but it looks pretty transient with drying out behind it. Finished at 3.1” as if this am. The totals in Binghamton are incredible. Great pictures from everyone downstate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 IEMBot BGM @iembot_bgm · 13m At 5:50 AM EST, Endicott [Broome Co, NY] TRAINED SPOTTER reports HEAVY SNOW of 40.50 INCH https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#BGM/202012171050/202012171050 IEMBot ALY @iembot_aly · 2m At 6:27 AM EST, Clifton Park [Saratoga Co, NY] SOCIAL MEDIA reports HEAVY SNOW of 26.50 INCH. ESTIMATED BY PICTURE https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/lsr/#ALY/202012171127/202012171127 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 17, 2020 Share Posted December 17, 2020 057 NOUS41 KBGM 171153 PNSBGM NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047- 048-072-172353- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 653 AM EST Thu Dec 17 2020 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...New York... ...Broome County... 2 SW Nws Binghamton 41.0 in 0640 AM 12/17 NWS Employee Endicott 40.5 in 0550 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter Nws Binghamton 39.1 in 0605 AM 12/17 Official NWS Obs Johnson City 37.5 in 0455 AM 12/17 Public Vestal 37.0 in 0600 AM 12/17 Public 1 WSW Endwell 35.0 in 0510 AM 12/17 Public 2 E Vestal 31.7 in 0300 AM 12/17 NWS Employee 2 NNE Johnson City 31.0 in 0500 AM 12/17 Public Nanticoke 29.0 in 0636 AM 12/17 Public 2 SW Vestal Center 29.0 in 0235 AM 12/17 NWS Employee 2 NNW Port Crane 28.6 in 0615 AM 12/17 NWS Employee 1 WSW West Corners 28.5 in 0245 AM 12/17 NWS Employee 2 SE Union Center 27.0 in 0225 AM 12/17 NWS Employee Kirkwood 24.0 in 0625 AM 12/17 Public Whitney Point 21.0 in 0157 AM 12/17 Public ...Cayuga County... Union Springs 4.0 in 0530 AM 12/17 Public ...Chemung County... 1 ESE Horseheads North 13.0 in 0200 AM 12/17 Broadcast Media ...Chenango County... Preston 29.1 in 0535 AM 12/17 Cocorahs 1 N Mt Upton 25.0 in 0455 AM 12/17 Public Sherburne 21.0 in 0456 AM 12/17 Public Plymouth 19.5 in 0400 AM 12/17 Public Greene 15.0 in 0200 AM 12/17 Public ...Cortland County... 2 N Harford 15.0 in 0515 AM 12/17 Public 2 NW Mcgraw 11.5 in 0641 AM 12/17 Public ...Delaware County... Davenport 9.5 in 0110 AM 12/17 Public ...Oneida County... New Hartford 9.1 in 0601 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter Utica 8.6 in 0445 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter ...Onondaga County... Jamesville 8.0 in 0615 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter 1 NW Syracuse 3.5 in 0345 AM 12/17 Broadcast Media Baldwinsville 2.6 in 0626 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter ...Otsego County... Edmeston 24.0 in 0550 AM 12/17 Public 3 NE Mt Vision 20.5 in 0500 AM 12/17 Public Unadilla 19.5 in 0630 AM 12/17 Public Unadilla Forks 17.0 in 0600 AM 12/17 Public Laurens 12.0 in 0100 AM 12/17 Public ...Steuben County... Caton 18.0 in 0625 AM 12/17 Public ...Sullivan County... Kiamesha 12.0 in 0200 AM 12/17 Public ...Tioga County... 1 N Foster 38.0 in 0630 AM 12/17 NWS Employee Apalachin 38.0 in 0510 AM 12/17 Public Tioga Terrace 36.0 in 0445 AM 12/17 NWS Employee Newark Valley 35.0 in 0515 AM 12/17 Public Owego 26.0 in 0317 AM 12/17 Public ...Tompkins County... Freeville 16.0 in 0640 AM 12/17 Public Ithaca 9.0 in 0455 AM 12/17 Public 1 ESE Ithaca 9.0 in 0345 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter Etna 9.0 in 0315 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter ...Yates County... Italy Hill 8.5 in 0500 AM 12/17 Public Penn Yan 6.0 in 0445 AM 12/17 Public ...Pennsylvania... ...Bradford County... Litchfield 40.0 in 0445 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter 3 ENE Alba 36.0 in 0445 AM 12/17 Public 1 N Sayre 32.0 in 0500 AM 12/17 Public 1 SSW Sayre 32.0 in 0332 AM 12/17 Public 1 S Sayre 31.0 in 0545 AM 12/17 Public Alba 26.0 in 0420 AM 12/17 Trained Spotter Towanda 25.5 in 0234 AM 12/17 Public 3 WSW Browntown 20.0 in 0456 AM 12/17 Public ...Lackawanna County... 1 NNE Oakhill 8.0 in 0115 AM 12/17 Public Scranton 7.5 in 0100 AM 12/17 Amateur Radio ...Luzerne County... Dallas 12.5 in 0100 AM 12/17 Amateur Radio Lehman 12.0 in 1255 AM 12/17 Amateur Radio 1 SE Albert 10.0 in 0619 AM 12/17 Public ...Susquehanna County... Lenoxville 21.5 in 0217 AM 12/17 Public 1 N Montrose 18.0 in 0400 AM 12/17 Public Forest City 14.0 in 0630 AM 12/17 Public ...Wayne County... Hawley 14.0 in 0620 AM 12/17 Public && 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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