DeltaT13 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Well my point and click just went from 1-3 total, to 2-4 tonight and 1-3 tomorrow. A sizeable jump! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Euro at 10:1 That’s roughy 5” at KBUF at 15 : 1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Looking at radar everything's seems more nw of where models have been showing. Anyone else agree? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steffen Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 started snowing here in Ithaca in the last 15 minutes or so 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Looking at radar everything's seems more nw of where models have been showing. Anyone else agree? Agree for up here but I’m eager to see how long it takes for the moisture to eat away the dry air. Read: Virga worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, steffen said: started snowing here in Ithaca in the last 15 minutes or so YUGE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Looks like a little bump up for pulaski.. Not like that's saying much lol Tonight A chance of snow showers before midnight, then snow, mainly after midnight. Low around 20. East wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday Snow before 10am, then a chance of snow showers, mainly between 10am and 2pm. High near 25. North wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Heard on another forum that the low at 700 has closed off not depicted in other models. Anyone have any insight on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 0z vs 12z Really big jump this close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 35 minutes ago, vortmax said: Watch. BUF will start to up the totals along the S. Shore on their map...and hoist WWAs (at least, as Tim said). As predicted...click on map below to see updated map for compare. Plus they issued an HWO so far... Gonna see this happen again later this evening! Guaranteed. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Expected boost! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Buffalo so stingy all the time. They hate snow I swear. Lol. Any thoughts on 700 mb low closing off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Really big jump this close. I remember someone on here saying they don’t believe KBUF is getting .3 or .4” of liquid equivalent... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, tim123 said: Buffalo so stingy all the time. They hate snow I swear. Lol. Any thoughts on 700 mb low closing off? Kickin' & screamin'...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted December 16, 2020 Author Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, vortmax said: As predicted...click on map below to see updated map for compare. Plus they issued an HWO so far... Gonna see this happen again later this evening! Guaranteed. lol This map is from yesterday at 12:49. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Sterling WFO is releasing a special 18z balloon. It'll be worth checking when it's posted on SPC's page, especially for the lower Susquehanna Valley crew that's worried about mixing. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: This map is from yesterday at 12:49. I know. Just to show the difference when you click it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Can see the cloud deck starting to lower here. Good news... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Really big jump this close. Thanks for posting because for us in western pa this is a massive expansion west of Heavier precip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, tim123 said: Buffalo so stingy all the time. They hate snow I swear. Lol. Any thoughts on 700 mb low closing off? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 4 minutes ago, KPITSnow said: Thanks for posting because for us in western pa this is a massive expansion west of Heavier precip. It’s all happening real time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, DeltaT13 said: This could bode VERY well for our whole CWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 This would be why a expansion more nw with precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Lol...but what does the 700 closing indicate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Thats the primary 700mb low which will soon fizzle away. We are interested in when the secondary low can close off at 700mb and thats still many hours away 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Was not modeled to close off though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 It seems the models didn't give enough oomph to the primary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Who wants to predict the 18z NAM jumps NW as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Way the models are probally goes south east 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 It had been spitting snow off and on since 1:15. Now steady light snow. Roads are starting to get dusted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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