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Dec 16-17 obs/nowcast thread


ORH_wxman
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3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Boxing Day it never even snowed half as hard as this has already.  This already out did it here. And Don’t bring that POS up anymore.  

you are right about that and i won't......just really hate that POS......the opening round tonight has been great....and seems the rates are better than radar suggests

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Just opened up mesoanalysis to take a peek as to what is causing that dryslot down there. 700mb center is still over PA. Once it moves east things should approve for anyone dryslotted. But make no mistake, this will hamper some totals. Not sure what okx was thinking in some areas with wide-spread 10-18" south and along the mid level low. Asking for disaster. 

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1 minute ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Just opened up mesoanalysis to take a peek as to what is causing that dryslot down there. 700mb center is still over PA. Once it moves east things should approve for anyone dryslotted. But make no mistake, this will hamper some totals. Not sure what okx was thinking in some areas with wide-spread 10-18" south and along the mid level low. Asking for disaster. 

ya shes not stacked......would be nice.....

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2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Just opened up mesoanalysis to take a peek as to what is causing that dryslot down there. 700mb center is still over PA. Once it moves east things should approve for anyone dryslotted. But make no mistake, this will hamper some totals. Not sure what okx was thinking in some areas with wide-spread 10-18" south and along the mid level low. Asking for disaster. 

That office stinks.

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3 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

Just opened up mesoanalysis to take a peek as to what is causing that dryslot down there. 700mb center is still over PA. Once it moves east things should approve for anyone dryslotted. But make no mistake, this will hamper some totals. Not sure what okx was thinking in some areas with wide-spread 10-18" south and along the mid level low. Asking for disaster. 

When you expected snowfall matches up with the 90th percentile forecast you release too.... that's normally a bad sign. 

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Current conditions here are far out performing anything I ever expected from this storm. It's a complete white out and is snowing several inches an hour. Visibility is now below 100 yards here. And this is only the WCB meat. Really impressive stuff. Wind is only scheduled to pick up from this point onward and then we should see enhancement from the coastal front heading toward dawn. The latest hrrr runs buries Boston up to Ray and down into the northern south shore also out to Framingham with 1-2 feet. 

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Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Current conditions here are far out performing anything I ever expected from this storm. It's a complete white out and is snowing several inches an hour. Visibility is now below 100 yards here. And this is only the WCB meat. Really impressive stuff. Wind is only scheduled to pick up from this point onward and then we should see enhancement from the coastal front heading toward dawn. The latest hrrr runs buries Boston up to Ray and down into the northern south shore also out to Framingham with 1-2 feet. 

0z Euro agrees, no major changes

Surpassing my expectations

Visibility easily < 1/4, and this has been going on for > 1 hour so far... I'm wondering how close we will be to blizzard criteria... seems like only winds might fall short, but they will pick up through the night, already gusts to 37 at KBOS

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1 minute ago, CCHurricane said:

FWIW 0z Euro really amps up precip totals north of MA boarder into central and southern VT and NH.

NAM did a great job showing this trend and sticking with it across what was really the past +8 model runs.

17D9FB08-F71C-4BD6-BF85-1FB9617904E2.gif.3e64c572b7ff43803ed3ab428048b35e.gif 

The qpf is catching up to what the 7h track would assume to do.... The track it takes is prime deform right up to brian/dendrite 

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